BMIE Market 43612
Lucas County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 28,480 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,591 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 12,140 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±527 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 29,674 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 13,770 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $50,728 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,183 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 35.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,028 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±54 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $93,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,826 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 11.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 60 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 43612 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 20.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +7.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +1.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -14.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 59 (range 54–64) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 59 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 43612. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 59.3 | 59 | 40% | +23.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 46.0 | 46 | 35% | +16.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 51.9 | 52 | 25% | +13.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 59 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 28,480 | 88 | 40% | +35.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 50,728 | 16 | 40% | +6.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 12,140 | 89 | 20% | +17.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 1.7 | 48 | 35% | +16.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 21.1 | 35 | 25% | +8.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 28,480 | 88 | 20% | +17.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 50,728 | 16 | 20% | +3.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 7.1 | 64 | 50% | +32.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 1.7 | 48 | 30% | +14.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 0 | 28 | 20% | +5.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (131)
By cuisine
American 29 · Pizza 16 · Burgers 10 · Sandwiches 10 · Coffee 9 · Mexican 9 · Chicken / wings 6 · Italian 6 · Chinese 4 · Dessert 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Asian 3 · Hot dogs 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Bakery 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 68 · Bar 31 · Quick service 28 · Casual dining 17 · Dessert 7 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Bakery 5 · Food truck 4 · Buffet 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Other 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd Chance Food Truck | Food truck | 857 Matzinger Rd | open | |
| 5 Pints Toledo Bar & Grille | Casual dining · Bar | American | 1519 Eleanor Ave | open |
| 7 Brew Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 847 W Alexis Rd | open |
| Agenda Sports Bar and Grill | Bar · Casual dining | 159 Matzinger Rd | open | |
| All Juice | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies | 4949 STICKNEY Ave | open |
| Andrew Z's Travelin' Pizza Show | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1508 W Laskey Rd | open |
| Antojitos Laredo Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 5146 Lewis Ave | open |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Bar | American · Burgers | 266 East Alexis Road | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1540 E Alexis Rd | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1205 W Alexis Rd | open |
| Augie's Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 938 W Laskey Rd | open | |
| Awesome Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Chicken / wings | 1488 W Sylvania Ave | open |
| Ayana's Coney Island & Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1488 W Sylvania Ave | open |
| Bambinos Pizza & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1515 Eleanor Ave | open |
| Barbie's Place | Casual dining · Bar | American | 5025 Bennett Rd | open |
| be.brandon | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 944 Phillips Ave | open |
| Big Slice Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 236 New Towne Square Dr Ste 1b | open | |
| Big Slice Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 236 New Towne Square Dr | open |
| Blimpie | Quick service | 5820 Hagman Rd | open | |
| Bob Evans Bob Evans | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1220 E Alexis Rd | open |
| Boston Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 930 W Alexis Rd | open |
| Boyd's Retro Candy Store | Dessert | 954 Phillips Ave | open | |
| Brickhouse Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 535 W Alexis Rd | open |
| Brisket's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5801 Telegraph Rd | open |
| Brownstone Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 847 W Alexis Rd | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1110 W Alexis Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1535 E Alexis Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 902 Phillips Ave | open |
| Carousel’s Toledo Icery | Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 5511 Telegraph Rd | open |
| Cater You Family Diner | Casual dining | American | 3928 Lagrange St | open |
| Chefdad17 Cafe | Café · Casual dining · Bar | Coffee | open | |
| China King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 5801 Telegraph Rd #11 | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1206 E Alexis Rd Ste 100 | open |
| Chirstopher hundley | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4225 Vermaas Ave | open | |
| Cinco De Mayo Cinco de Mayo Mexican Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 304 E Alexis Rd | open |
| Club Chablis | Bar | 5405 N Detroit Ave | open | |
| Coffee Populace | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 643 W Sylvania Ave | open |
| Cottage Inn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 240 W Alexis Rd | open |
| Daffy's Thirsty Duck | Bar | 5134 Lewis Ave | open | |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 5741 Lewis Ave | open |
| Dandino's Pizza and More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4804 Lewis Ave | open |
| Dog House | Bar | 4935 Lewis Ave | open | |
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 240 W Alexis Rd | open |
| DonQ's Catering | Food truck · Delivery-focused · Catering | 1210 W Sylvania Ave | open | |
| DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill | Quick service | 5741 Lewis Ave | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 1210 East Alexis Road | open |
| El Tajin | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1640 W Sylvania Ave C | open |
| Fire Wings Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Sandwiches | 4254 Lewis Ave | open |
| Four Horsemen | Casual dining · Bar | 4452 Lewis Ave | open | |
| Fresh Start Diner | Casual dining | American | 4704 N Detroit Ave | open |
| Frisch's Big Boy | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 925 W Alexis Rd | open | |
| Funky Turtle Brewing Company Production Facility | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 643 W Sylvania Ave | open | |
| Glass City Fried Guys | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 828 Phillips Ave | open |
| Golden Corral Golden Corral Buffet & Grill | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5730 Opportunity Dr | open |
| Ground Round | Bar | 5806 Telegraph Rd | open | |
| Hammer's Grill Llc | Casual dining | American | 302 W Laskey Rd | open |
| Happy Hour Saloon | Bar | 1519 Eleanor Ave | open | |
| Happy's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1472 W Sylvania Ave | open |
| Home Town Buffet | Buffet | 821 W Alexis Rd Ste E19 | open | |
| Icmc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3835 Baltimore St | open | |
| Ideal Hotdog | Quick service | Hot dogs · American | 1135 W Alexis Rd | open |
| Inky's Italian Foods | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 3945 N Detroit Ave | open |
| J&D's Side Trip | Bar | 1534 W Sylvania Ave | open | |
| Jamaican Spice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1540 W Sylvania Ave | open | |
| Jeds | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4935 Lewis Ave | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1201 East Alexis Road | open |
| Knotty Pine Cafe | Bar · Casual dining · Café | Coffee | 5204 Lewis Ave | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 950 W Alexis Rd | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · Chicken / wings | 812 Matzinger Rd | open |
| Las Delicias de Vargas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4704 N Detroit Ave | open |
| Level Lounge | Casual dining · Bar | 5710 Telegraph Rd | open | |
| Lil Sheba | Bar | American | 1380 W Alexis Rd | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4302 Lewis Ave | open |
| Long John Silver's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 1641 W Sylvania Ave | open |
| Longhorn Saloon | Bar | 944 Phillips Ave | open | |
| Los Agaves Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 30 E Alexis Rd | open |
| Louie's J J's Cafe | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 3922 Lagrange St | open |
| Lyric's Lounge | Casual dining · Bar | 704 W Sylvania Ave | open | |
| Mancy's Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 953 Phillips Ave | open |
| Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 309 W Alexis Rd, Ste 2 | open |
| Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1234 W Sylvania Ave | open |
| May Flower Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1400 W Sylvania Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1560 E Alexis Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 831 W Alexis Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1205 W Sylvania Ave | open |
| N And G Service Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1135 W Alexis Rd | open | |
| Netty's | Casual dining | Hot dogs · American | 1244 W Alexis Rd | open |
| Oasis Mediterranean Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1520 W Laskey Rd | open |
| Ocean Garden Buffet | Buffet | Chinese · Asian | 821 W Alexis Rd E19 | open |
| Panda Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1531 W Sylvania Ave | open |
| Patient Help Network Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1618 W Sylvania Ave | open | |
| Peacemaker Coffee Company, LLC | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 5265 Tractor Rd | open |
| Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 821 W Alexis Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 1116 W Sylvania Ave Lucas | open |
| Pour House | Bar | 4301 Bennett Rd | open | |
| Rally's Checkers and Rally's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1647 Laskey Road Toledo, OH | open |
| Rudy's Hot Dog | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 946 W Sylvania Ave | open |
| Sally B's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1534 W Sylvania Ave | open | |
| Sheilas Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 5870 Skyview Dr | open |
| Sidelines Sports Eatery - Telegraph | Bar | 5806 Telegraph Rd | open | |
| Skillet Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5042 Lewis Ave | open | |
| Smoker Town | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Dessert | 1121 W Alexis Rd | open |
| Smoothie King Smoothie King | Quick service | 930 W. Alexis Road | open | |
| Sneaky Pete's | Casual dining · Bar | American | 5347 N Detroit Ave | open |
| Sparky's Donuts , ice cream &coffee | Dessert · Coffee shop · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee | 1357 W Sylvania Ave | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 833 W Alexis Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 1455 W Alexis Rd Bldg 59 | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 5820 Hagman Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 20 E Alexis Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 942 Phillips Avenue | open |
| Taco Bell | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1525 E. Alexis Rd. | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 1220 W. Alexis Rd. | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 815 Philips Avenue | open |
| The Antidote | Bar | 704 W Sylvania Ave | open | |
| The Black Swan Cakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 4031 Westway St | open |
| The Grapevine Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 3835 N Detroit Ave | open | |
| The Original Gino's Pizza Gino's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 1280 W Alexis Rd | open |
| The Original Royal Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4843 N Detroit Ave | open |
| The Palace | Bar | 1260 W Alexis Rd | open | |
| Tokyo Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse | 337 W Alexis Rd #2 | open |
| Top Shotz | Bar | 5860 Lewis Ave | open | |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 1202 E Alexis Road Unit B | open |
| Trot'N Charlie's | Bar | open | ||
| Vito's Pizza and Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4804 Lewis Ave | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1410 East Alexis | open |
| Wendys | Quick service | 30 E Alexis Rd | open | |
| Wheelin' On The Rocks | Bar | 1515 W Laskey Rd | open | |
| White Tower | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1515 W Slyvaina | open |
| Wingstop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1206 E. Alexis Rd, Unit B | open |
| Wit Logistics | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 315 Matzinger Rd | open | |
| Sigma Restaurants Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 942 Phillips Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 94 | 70 | — | — | — | 24 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 88 | 65 | — | — | — | 23 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 91 | 63 | — | — | — | 28 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 99 | 70 | — | — | — | 29 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 102 | 65 | 25 | 33 | 6 | 29 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 100 | 67 | 27 | 32 | 7 | 27 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 96 | 65 | 26 | 33 | 5 | 25 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 97 | 67 | 27 | 34 | 5 | 26 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 96 | 63 | 25 | 34 | 3 | 29 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 87 | 60 | 24 | 31 | 4 | 23 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 92 | 60 | 23 | 33 | 3 | 28 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 94 | 62 | 25 | 33 | 3 | 28 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 89 | 54 | 19 | 33 | 2 | 31 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 87 | 57 | 22 | 32 | 2 | 26 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 92 | 60 | 20 | 37 | 1 | 29 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 90 | 62 | 21 | 38 | 1 | 27 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 90 | 61 | 22 | 36 | 1 | 26 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 90 | 59 | 24 | 31 | 2 | 29 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 88 | 60 | 25 | 31 | 1 | 25 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 86 | 59 | 22 | 35 | 1 | 23 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 85 | 59 | 21 | 35 | 2 | 23 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 85 | 63 | 23 | 38 | 1 | 19 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 81 | 59 | 17 | 39 | 1 | 19 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 81 | 59 | 18 | 38 | — | 19 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 79 | 56 | 20 | 35 | — | 20 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 34 | — | 17 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 76 | 58 | 23 | 34 | — | 15 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 80 | 62 | 26 | 34 | — | 15 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 79 | 61 | 21 | 38 | — | 14 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 75 | 60 | 20 | 38 | — | 12 | NAICS2022 |