BMIE Market 45415
Montgomery County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 12,465 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±804 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,202 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±449 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 12,631 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,794 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $81,176 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,527 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 45.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $967 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±72 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $188,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,824 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 6.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45415 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 13.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -15.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -30.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -5.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 15 (range 13–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.59) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 16 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45415. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.59, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 70.0 | 70 | 40% | +28.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 48.2 | 48 | 35% | +16.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 15.5 | 16 | 25% | +3.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 12,465 | 74 | 40% | +29.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 81,176 | 64 | 40% | +25.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,202 | 75 | 20% | +15.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -15.8 | 16 | 35% | +5.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.8 | 61 | 25% | +15.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 12,465 | 74 | 20% | +14.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 81,176 | 64 | 20% | +12.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 16 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -11.1 | 18 | 50% | +8.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -15.8 | 16 | 30% | +4.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -30.4 | 10 | 20% | +2.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (42)
By cuisine
American 8 · Coffee 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Mexican 4 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 3 · Italian 3 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · African 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 9 · Quick service 9 · Café 6 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Other 2
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5899 N Main St | open |
| Boston Stoker Coffee Co. Boston Stoker Coffee Company | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 8321 N Main St | open |
| Boston's Bistro & Pub | Casual dining | 7500 N Main St | open | |
| Burkey's Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 670 Shiloh Springs Rd | open |
| Cafe Attaleia - Englewood | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Breakfast | 8383 N Main St | open |
| Cafe Terra Mediterranean Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Mediterranean · Coffee | 8351 N Main St | open |
| Cassano's Pizza King Cassanos Pizza King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 8327 N Main St | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 9208 N Main St | open |
| Chopstick | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Chinese · American | 8146 N Main St | open |
| Donatos Pizza Donatos Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5120 North Main Street | open |
| El Toro Bar and Grill Englewood El Toro Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 9190 N Main St | open |
| Freshway | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | American · Chicken / wings | 5200 N Main St | open |
| Heroes & Legends | Casual dining · Bar | 5832 N Main St | open | |
| Huey Magoo's Chicken Tenders Huey Magoo's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 9196 N Main St | open |
| La Fiesta La Fiesta Toledo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 8331 N Main St | open |
| Matty G's Salsa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5300 Philadelphia Dr | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 9285 N Main St | open |
| Members Only 937 | Other | Sandwiches | 5515 N Main St | open |
| MOD Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 9196 N Main St | open |
| My Brother's Place | Bar | 7508 N Main St #2546 | open | |
| Nanya Cafe | Café | Coffee · African | 5214 N Main St | open |
| OinkADoodleMoo BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 8383 N. Main St | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 9194 N Main St | open |
| Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 8363 N Main St | open |
| Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5215 N Main St | open |
| PreGame Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 5201 N Main St | open | |
| Ray's Wine Spirits Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Italian | 8268 N Main St | open |
| Shuckin Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5515 N Main St | open | |
| Sporty's Taphouse And Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5202 N Main St | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 9198 N Main St | open |
| Steak 'n Shake | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 9150 N Main St | open |
| Subby's | Other | Sandwiches | 8351 N Main St | open |
| Submarine House Submarine House | Bar · Casual dining | 7850 N Main St | open | |
| SUBWAY Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 8146 N Main St | open |
| The Corner Club | Bar | 7500 N Main St | open | |
| The Markey | Bar | 5202 Markey Rd | open | |
| The Palms Lounge & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 4950 Old Barn Rd | open | |
| Tumbleweed | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9190 N Main St | open | |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 9295 N Main St | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4997 N Main St | open |
| Zappia Foods | Bakery | Bakery | 3210 Early Rd | open |
| Barnsider Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5202 N Main St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 21 | 17 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 18 | 14 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 21 | 14 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 21 | 14 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 21 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 24 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 27 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 24 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 23 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 22 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 21 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 22 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 24 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 25 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 25 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 25 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 27 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 24 | 19 | 6 | 12 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 22 | 18 | 5 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 20 | 16 | 5 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 21 | 18 | 7 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 21 | 17 | 7 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 20 | 16 | 5 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2022 |