BMIE Market 45426

Montgomery County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,114 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±825 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,040 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±435 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,239 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,950 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$51,908 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,128 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±57 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$123,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,641 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	19.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45426
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-21.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-54.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-63.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 8–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.30) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	38 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45426. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.30, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	53.1	53	40%	+21.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43.5	43	35%	+15.2
Market Momentum Score	38.2	38	25%	+9.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,114	76	40%	+30.3
Median household income (ACS)	51,908	17	40%	+6.9
Households (ACS)	7,040	79	20%	+15.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-21.4	13	35%	+4.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.8	81	25%	+20.3
Population (ACS)	14,114	76	20%	+15.1
Median household income (ACS)	51,908	17	20%	+3.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	10	68	50%	+33.8
10-year restaurant growth	-21.4	13	30%	+3.9
20-year restaurant growth	-54.2	2	20%	+0.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (35)

By cuisine

American 9 · Burgers 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Pizza 3 · Coffee 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Quick service 11 · Casual dining 4 · Bar 3 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Food truck 2 · Other 2 · Bakery 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Applebees Neighborhood Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Bar	American		open
Broadway Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	203 N Broadway St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	5341 Salem Ave	open
China Cottage China Cottage Huber Heights	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1983 Shiloh Springs Rd	open
Darrius Eats	Restaurant (service type not stated)		332 Outer Belle Rd	open
Donut Palace	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	5264 Salem Ave	open
Frank & J's	Bar		5042 Free Pike	open
Grill's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		4949 N Union Rd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5321 Salem Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	728 E Main St	open
Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	885 E Main St	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5300 Salem Ave	open
Mar’Tae Kitchen And Cocktails	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	5212 Salem Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5360 Salem Ave	open
MeeMaw's Country Market LLC	Food truck		9395 Millard Rd	open
Mr Bourbon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	5212 Salem Ave	open
Mysterium coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	486 E Main St	open
New York Pizzeria Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	498 E Main St	open
Nimbus Comic Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	486 E Main St	open
O’Brien Burgers	Food truck		5230 Salem Ave	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1000 E Main St	open
Poppin Freshh	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	5527 Salem Ave	open
Sharks Fish and Chicken	Quick service	Seafood · Chicken / wings	5256 Salem Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5260 Salem Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	706 E Main St	open
Super Subby's	Other	Sandwiches	5527 Salem Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	5281 Salem Ave	open
Taquitos Uruapan # 3	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2190 Shiloh Springs Rd	open
Taste TASTE	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2555 Shiloh Springs Rd	open
The fleamarket at the olive rd	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2222 Olive Rd	open
The Palmer Place LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4823-B Salem Ave	open
Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5196 Salem Ave	open
White Castle White Castle	Quick service	Burgers · American	5201 Salem Ave	open
Your Vegan Chef	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian	486 E Main St	open
Zappia Motors Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5010 Salem Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	32	30	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	29	27	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	29	27	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	31	28	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	31	28	5	18	4	3	NAICS1997
1999	29	24	3	17	3	5	NAICS1997
2000	26	24	3	19	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	27	24	3	17	3	3	NAICS1997
2002	25	23	3	19	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	26	24	5	19	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	21	19	3	14	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	25	24	7	16	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	23	21	5	15	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	18	17	4	12	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	15	14	4	9	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	12	11	3	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	13	13	3	9	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	15	5	9	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	13	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	14	14	5	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	13	4	9	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	13	13	3	9	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	11	11	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	10	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	12	—	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	11	—	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	13	—	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	12	—	10	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	11	—	10	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 45426. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
45416	3.0 mi	3	2023
45415	3.8 mi	16	2023
45406	3.9 mi	16	2023
45315	4.2 mi	8	2023
45417	4.9 mi	12	2023
45428	5.0 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.