BMIE Market 45417
Montgomery County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 28,186 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,696 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 11,722 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±648 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 31,281 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 16,127 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $36,945 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,769 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $907 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±57 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $75,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,366 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 32.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45417 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 4.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -40.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 10 (range 6–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.6 per year, r² 0.52) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 41 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 55 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 45 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 14 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45417. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.52, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 41 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 54.6 | 55 | 40% | +21.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 44.8 | 45 | 35% | +15.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 14.5 | 14 | 25% | +3.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 55 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 28,186 | 88 | 40% | +35.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 36,945 | 5 | 40% | +1.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 11,722 | 89 | 20% | +17.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 45 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -40 | 8 | 35% | +2.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 4.3 | 94 | 25% | +23.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 28,186 | 88 | 20% | +17.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 36,945 | 5 | 20% | +0.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 14 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -20 | 13 | 50% | +6.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -40 | 8 | 30% | +2.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 0 | 28 | 20% | +5.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (54)
By cuisine
American 14 · Burgers 7 · Chicken / wings 6 · Pizza 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Coffee 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Quick service 18 · Bar 12 · Casual dining 9 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 937flavorgrill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2119 germantown street | open | |
| Advance Clinical Research - Dayton, Oh | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1 Elizabeth Pl | open | |
| Big G's Food Service | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 750 Albany St | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1110 N Gettysburg Ave | open |
| Burger King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1420 Cincinnati St | open |
| C J Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 4080 Germantown Pike | open |
| Cassano's Pizza King Cassanos Pizza King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 6308 W 3rd St | open |
| Chicken Kriket's | Casual dining | Chicken / wings · Hot dogs · American | 2301 Germantown St | open |
| Church's Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2131 W 3rd St | open |
| Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1113 N. Gettysburg Avenue | open |
| Club Aces | Bar | 2027 Nicholas Rd | open | |
| DAYUD The Bistro - Eat. Drink. Connect. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2006 S Edwin C Moses Blvd | open | |
| Delphos Carryout | Quick service | Sandwiches | 2903 W Third St | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 4399 W Third Street | open |
| Dragon China | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 4211 Hoover Ave | open |
| Five Brothers Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | 6218 W 3rd St | open | |
| Hardee's Hardee's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2217 S Edwin C Moses Blvd | open |
| J & J Fish and Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Seafood · Chicken / wings | 1133 N Gettysburg Ave | open |
| K9 - Knine Nite Club | Bar | 5100 Germantown Pike | open | |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4023 W 3rd St | open |
| Kinfolks Lounge | Bar | 3200 W Third St | open | |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 4799 Germantown Pike | open | |
| Lounge Noir | Bar · Casual dining | 2027 Nicholas Rd | open | |
| Malt Products | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 4744 Wolf Creek Pike | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1219 North Gettysburg | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2166 S Edwin C Moses Blvd | open |
| Mosher Leadership Team Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1219 N Gettysburg Ave | open | |
| Napoleons Reloaded | Casual dining · Bar | American | 4150 Germantown Pike | open |
| Our Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 6068 W 3rd St | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3706 germantown pike | open |
| Perkins American Food Co. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2120 S Edwin C Moses Blvd | open | |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4315 W 3rd Street Montgomery | open |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1023 N Gettysburg Ave | open |
| Pop's World Famous Dawg Hse | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 845 Marvine Ave | open | |
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1300 N Gettysburg Ave | open |
| Q's Mobile Kitchen Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 5350 W 3rd St | open |
| Rally's | Quick service | 1205 N Gettysburg Ave | open | |
| Sam's Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | American | Miami Chapel Rd | open |
| Snickers Bar & Restaurant | Casual dining · Bar | American | 9372 W Third St | open |
| Soul Food Carryout | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 3907 W Third St | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | One Elizabeth Place Suite WMP-1070 | open |
| The Candy Shack | Dessert | 2320 W Third St | open | |
| The-slab | Bar | 3509 Kenesaw Ave | open | |
| Third Perk Coffeehouse | Coffee shop · Café · Bar | Coffee | 3907 W 3rd St | open |
| Twisted River Coffee Roaster LLC | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 1133 S Edwin C Moses Blvd | open |
| Two-Bob's Inn | Bar · Casual dining | 5996 Germantown Pike | open | |
| University of Dayton Boesch Lounge | Bar | 1801 S Edwin C Moses Blvd | open | |
| Vibez Lounge and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 5350 W Third St | open | |
| Victoria's Country Inn | Casual dining | American | 6925 W 3rd St | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2120 Edwin C. Moses | open |
| West 3rd Coney Island | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2725 W 3rd St | open |
| West Town Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4315 W 3rd St | open | |
| YoungBloods Clubhouse | Bar | 134 Arlington Ave | open | |
| Elaine’s Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4080 Germantown Pike | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 14 | 12 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 16 | 13 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 15 | 14 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 12 | 11 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 9 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 10 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 10 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 10 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 12 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 13 | 12 | — | 11 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 12 | 11 | — | 10 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 15 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 26 | 22 | 2 | 18 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 27 | 20 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 21 | 16 | 1 | 15 | — | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 20 | 16 | 1 | 15 | — | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 16 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 23 | 18 | — | 16 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 20 | 15 | — | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 21 | 16 | — | 16 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 24 | 18 | — | 18 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 19 | 12 | — | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 20 | 14 | — | 13 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 17 | 12 | — | 12 | — | — | NAICS2022 |