BMIE Market 45449
Montgomery County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 19,066 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,137 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,265 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±504 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 18,175 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,921 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $63,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,953 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 35.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,039 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±57 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $163,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,550 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 6.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 40 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45449 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 18.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +17.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +11.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 37 (range 33–42) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.11) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 60 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45449. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.11, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 63.4 | 63 | 40% | +25.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53.6 | 54 | 35% | +18.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 60.1 | 60 | 25% | +15.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 19,066 | 81 | 40% | +32.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 63,800 | 37 | 40% | +14.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,265 | 82 | 20% | +16.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 17.7 | 61 | 35% | +21.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 21.0 | 35 | 25% | +8.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 19,066 | 81 | 20% | +16.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 63,800 | 37 | 20% | +7.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 60 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 14.3 | 72 | 50% | +36.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 17.7 | 61 | 30% | +18.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 0 | 28 | 20% | +5.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (80)
By cuisine
American 13 · Pizza 10 · Sandwiches 9 · Burgers 7 · Coffee 7 · Chicken / wings 5 · Mexican 5 · Asian 4 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Bakery 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Seafood 3 · Chinese 2 · Italian 2 · African 1 · Breakfast 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Quick service 29 · Bar 14 · Dessert 7 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Other 4 · Food truck 2 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Taste Of Elegance | Bakery | Bakery | 810 E Dixie Dr | open |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Bar | American · Burgers | 105 Springboro Pike | open |
| Arby's | Quick service | 660 Fame Rd | open | |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5770 Springboro Pike | open |
| Arctic Fox Shaved Ice | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | 5516 Springboro Pike | open | |
| B&Gs Cigar Lounge | Bar | 319 W Central Ave | open | |
| Baskin-robbins Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 27 N Springboro Pike | open |
| BIGGBY COFFEE Biggby | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 5894 N Springboro Pike | open |
| Brew and Brews Drive Thru and Pizza | Café · Bar | Pizza · Coffee | 326 Springboro Pike | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2082 S Alex Rd | open |
| Burger King | Quick service | 7785 Springboro Pike | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5778 N Springboro Pike | open |
| Canndlez Terpene Infused Ice Cream | Bar · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2775 Orchard Run Rd | open |
| Captain D's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 109 Springboro Pike | open |
| China 1 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 5570 N Springboro Pike | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican | 5850 N Springboro Pike | open |
| Cousin Vinny's Pizza Cousin Vinny's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 834 Watertower Ln | open |
| Culver's Culver's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1100 E Dixie Dr | open |
| Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 5668 Springboro Pike | open |
| Donatos Pizza Donatos Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 2076 S Alex Rd | open |
| Down the Pike Bar | Casual dining · Bar | 1603 S Alex Rd | open | |
| Dunkin' | Coffee shop | Coffee | 801 E Dixie Dr | open |
| Eden Spice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 501 E Dixie Dr | open |
| El Meson Restaurante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 903 E Dixie Dr | open | |
| El Rancho Grande El Rancho Grande | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 2008 S Alex Rd | open |
| ele Cake Co. ele Cake Company | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 810 E Dixie Dr | open |
| Ele' Cake Co. | Bakery | Bakery | 2020 S Alex Rd | open |
| Falcon’s Sports Bar & Grill | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | 2082 S Alex Rd | open | |
| Fricker's Fricker's Restaurants | Bar · Casual dining | 251 N Springboro Pike | open | |
| Full Circle Productions 7 Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 834 Watertower Ln | open | |
| Gibbs Ole Tyme Hamburgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 535 E Dixie Dr | open | |
| Godfather's Pizza Godfather's Pizza Dayton, OH | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 291 N Springboro Pike | open |
| Harley's Tavern | Bar | American | 546 E Dixie Dr | open |
| Holly's Home Cooking | Casual dining | American | 501 E Dixie Dr | open |
| Hook Fish & Chicken Hook Fish & Chicken | Quick service | American · Seafood | 810 Watertower Ln | open |
| Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs | Other | Sandwiches | 654 E Dixie Dr | open |
| Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 216 N Springboro Pike | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 253 N Springboro Pike | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 680 East Central Avenue | open |
| La Perla Tapatia | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 501 E Dixie Dr | open |
| La Poblanita Mexican Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 470 N Springboro Pike | open |
| Legacy Pancake House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 489 E Central Ave | open |
| Marco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2076 S Alex Rd | open |
| Mariah's Cookies | Dessert | Dessert | 834 Watertower Ln | open |
| Marina seafood and wings | Quick service | Seafood · American | 654 E Dixie Dr | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 741 E Dixie Dr | open |
| Mi Lindo Guadalajara | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Latin American (other) | 5855 N Springboro Pike | open |
| Miami Valley Sports Bar | Bar | 930 Watertower Ln | open | |
| Mixi Noodles | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 231 N Springboro Pike | open |
| Okinii Express Hibachi & Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 231 N Springboro Pike | open |
| Orchid Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1917 S Alex Rd | open |
| Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1935 S Alex Rd | open |
| Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 5400 N Springboro Pike | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 733 E Central Ave | open |
| Pizza Hut Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 195 Mall Woods Dr., Dayton South 16 Ste 1103 | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 5798 N Springboro Pike Alex bell | open |
| Pupuseria La Mexicana | Food truck | 106 S Alex Rd | open | |
| Rally's Checkers and Rally's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5800 Springboro Pike | open |
| Ron's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5562 Springboro Pike | open |
| Rooster's | Bar | 103 Springboro Pike | open | |
| Sandwich Shop Mobile | Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea | Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies | 27 W Central Ave | open |
| Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 801 E Dixie Dr | open |
| Sparky's Lounge | Bar | 822 Watertower Ln | open | |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 2921 W Alex Bell Rd | open |
| Steak Thyme Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · American | 103 N Springboro Pike | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 200 N Springboro Pike | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1901B S Alex Rd | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 501 E Dixie Dr | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 5652 N Springboro Pike | open |
| Super Subby's Super Subby's Kettering | Other · Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 5558 N Springboro Pike | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 109 Springboro Pike | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 801 E Central Ave | open |
| Tim Hortons | Coffee shop | Coffee | 5798 Springboro Pike | open |
| VonTiki | Bar | Beryl Tr | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 731 East Central Avenue | open |
| West Carrollton Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 2074 S Alex Rd | open |
| Whisperz Speakeasy | Bar | 926 Watertower Ln | open | |
| Wing Zone | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 5744 Springboro Pike | open |
| Yumi Boba Tea - Miamisburg | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 204 N Springboro Pike | open |
| Cardboard Crowns | Café | Coffee | 147 Springboro Pike | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 41 | 36 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 37 | 32 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 44 | 39 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 45 | 40 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 40 | 35 | 14 | 19 | 2 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 44 | 38 | 15 | 21 | 2 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 45 | 39 | 15 | 22 | 2 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 45 | 39 | 15 | 22 | 1 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 47 | 42 | 15 | 24 | 2 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 48 | 40 | 14 | 22 | 3 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 44 | 37 | 14 | 20 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 48 | 40 | 14 | 23 | 3 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 40 | 34 | 13 | 17 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 40 | 34 | 11 | 18 | 4 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 40 | 34 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 41 | 34 | 11 | 17 | 3 | 7 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 40 | 33 | 11 | 18 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 41 | 33 | 11 | 20 | 1 | 8 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 44 | 36 | 11 | 24 | 1 | 8 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 42 | 34 | 9 | 24 | 1 | 8 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 43 | 34 | 8 | 25 | 1 | 8 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 42 | 34 | 9 | 24 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 46 | 38 | 9 | 28 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 44 | 37 | 11 | 26 | — | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 42 | 35 | 11 | 24 | — | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 41 | 34 | 10 | 24 | — | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 41 | 36 | 10 | 26 | — | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 37 | 32 | 9 | 23 | — | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 41 | 36 | 9 | 26 | — | 5 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 45 | 40 | 11 | 27 | — | 5 | NAICS2022 |