BMIE Market 45429
Montgomery County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 26,347 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,030 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 12,068 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±465 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 25,885 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 12,956 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $80,210 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,839 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,070 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±49 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $238,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,813 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 9.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 46 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45429 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 17.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -2.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +4.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +2.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 38 (range 32–44) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.7 per year, r² 0.40) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 30 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45429. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.40, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 77.3 | 77 | 40% | +30.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53.1 | 53 | 35% | +18.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 30.4 | 30 | 25% | +7.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 26,347 | 86 | 40% | +34.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 80,210 | 62 | 40% | +25.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 12,068 | 89 | 20% | +17.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 35% | +12.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 17.5 | 44 | 25% | +11.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 26,347 | 86 | 20% | +17.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 80,210 | 62 | 20% | +12.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 30 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -2.1 | 25 | 50% | +12.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 30% | +10.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 4.6 | 37 | 20% | +7.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (97)
By cuisine
American 17 · Coffee 13 · Pizza 13 · Sandwiches 11 · Italian 9 · Bakery 7 · Mexican 7 · Asian 6 · Chicken / wings 5 · Dessert 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Breakfast 3 · Burgers 3 · Chinese 3 · Japanese 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Thai 2 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 63 · Quick service 18 · Bar 10 · Coffee shop 10 · Bakery 9 · Café 8 · Casual dining 7 · Dessert 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Specialty food shop 4 · Food truck 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All The Best Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 5940 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Atrium Grille & Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3535 Southern Blvd | open |
| Barry Bagels Kettering Barry Bagels | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 4313 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Big Sky Bread Company | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery · American | 3070 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Bob Evans Bob Evans | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 1850 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Casual dining | American | 262 E Stroop Rd | open |
| Captain D's Captain D's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 1401 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| Caribou Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 5839 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Cassano's Pizza King Cassanos Pizza King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1680 E Stroop Rd | open |
| Cheryl's Cheryl's Cookies and Brownies | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 420 E Stroop Rd | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 480 E Stroop Rd | open |
| Chilli's Wings & Rings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1431 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| China Chef | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 3027 Wilmington Pike | open |
| China Cottage China Cottage Huber Heights | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3718 Wilmington Pike | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 4329 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Chop Suey | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho · Chinese · Asian | 1465 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| Donatos Pizza Donatos Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3959 Far Hills Avenue | open |
| Dragon City | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3936 Marshall Rd | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1864 E Stroop Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 5901 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Elsa's Kettering Elsa's Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Mexican | 1216 E Stroop Rd | open |
| EPIC Coffee Shoppe | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 22 W Stroop Rd | open |
| Eudora Brewing | Bar | 217 Avon Way | open | |
| Eudora Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 3022 Wilmington Pike | open | |
| Fazoli's | Quick service | 5940 Far Hills Ave | open | |
| Figlio Wood Fired Pizza Figlio Wood-Fired Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 424 E Stroop Rd | open |
| Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 4301 Far Hills Ave | open |
| First Watch First Watch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 4105 W. Town & Country Rd. | open |
| Flame N' Grill Hibachi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Japanese | 10 W Stroop Rd | open |
| Fox's Pizza Den | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3602 Wilmington Pike | open |
| Fresco Kh | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Burgers | 3535 Southern Blvd | open |
| Friendly's | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 500 E Stroop Rd | open |
| Gel Investments, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3808 Wilmington Pike | open | |
| Gionino's Pizzeria Gionino's Pizzeria Huffman | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4015 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Green Pizza Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2795 Culver Ave | open | |
| Harrigan's Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | British / Irish pub food | 4070 Marshall Rd | open |
| Hot Head Burritos Hot Head Burritos | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1120 E Stroop Rd | open |
| Hot Head Burritos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 2795 Culver Ave | open |
| Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 5843 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Jimmy John's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3027 Wilmington Pike | open |
| Jorrge's Restaurante Cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · Latin American (other) · American | 3800 Wilmington Pike | open |
| Junior's Pizza Wings & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Pizza | 3808 Wilmington Pike | open |
| Katz Lounge | Bar | 1221 E Stroop Rd | open | |
| KDs Kettering BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 3911 Marshall Rd | open |
| Kettering Piada Italian Street Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 4397 Far Hills Ave, Kettering, OH 45429 | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Chicken / wings | 3960 Far Hills Ave | open |
| La Bikina Mexican Food Truck | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4000 Far Hills Ave | open | |
| Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 5940 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Mamma DiSalvo's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 1375 E Stroop Rd | open |
| Marion's Piazza Marion's Piazza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 50 E Stroop Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1872 E Stroop Rd | open |
| MCL Restaurant & Bakery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4485 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Meadowlark Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | American | 5531 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Mi Colombia Sopas Y Parrila | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 3808 Wilmington Pike | open |
| Miami Valley Water Garden Soc | Bar | 736 Kings Row Ave | open | |
| One More Tavern | Bar | 1554 E Stroop Rd | open | |
| Orange Leaf Frozen Yogurt | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 424 E Stroop Rd | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 4110 Far Hills Avenue | open |
| Papa's Pizza, Pasta & Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3960 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Peet's Coffee & Tea | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 5839 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Phone Booth Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1554 E Stroop Rd | open | |
| Piada Italian Street Food Piada Italian Street Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Sandwiches | 4397 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3141 Far Hills Ave | open |
| PizzaFire | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4325 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Qsr Pizza Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2795 Culver Ave | open | |
| Rapid Fired One Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2795 Culver Ave | open | |
| Rapid Fired Pizza Franchising Rapid Fired Pizza Augusta | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2795 Culver Ave | open |
| Redémarrage Patisserie | Bakery | Bakery | Home Baker, Dayton , 45429, United States | open |
| Rumbleseat Wine | Bar | 5853 Far Hills Ave | open | |
| Ryan's Grill Buffet & Bakery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1760 E Stroop Rd | open |
| Sarpino's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1240 E Stroop Rd | open |
| Sherman Curl Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3602 Wilmington Pike | open | |
| Singha Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 4123 W Town and Country Rd | open |
| Socialite Cafe | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · European | 4011 Marshall Rd | open |
| Sports Deck Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3808 Wilmington Pike | open | |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 530 E Stroop Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1191 E Stroop Road | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3024 Far Hills Ave. | open |
| SUMERA | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 4313 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Super Subby's Super Subby's Kettering | Fast casual · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1831 E Stroop Rd | open |
| sweet & salty food truck | Bakery · Food truck | Bakery | 3070 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Sweet Prince Deli & Treat Co. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1222 E Stroop Rd | open | |
| Taco Bell | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5837 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Thai Table | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Sushi · Japanese · Asian | 5841 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Tim Hortons | Coffee shop | Coffee | 5976 Far Hills Ave | open |
| TJ Chumps TJ Chumps | Casual dining · Bar | American | 1222 E Stroop Rd | open |
| Tonchie's Mini Grill | Food truck | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3001 Shroyer Rd | open |
| Victor's Taco Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5837 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Warehouse 4 Coffee Warehouse 4 | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 3131 Wilmington Pike | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1880 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| Wg Grinder's | Other | Sandwiches | 10 W Stroop Rd | open |
| What's Poppin' | Dessert | Dessert | 240 E Stroop Rd | open |
| Winans Chocolates + Coffees Winans Coffee & Chocolate | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 5839 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Xo Boba and Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 224 E Stroop Rd | open |
| XOBobateacoffee | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 224 E Stroop Rd | open |
| Young Chow | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 20 W Stroop Rd | open |
| Zor Management Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2795 Culver Ave | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 50 | 45 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 50 | 46 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 51 | 46 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 51 | 46 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 49 | 40 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 45 | 36 | 14 | 16 | 5 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 48 | 38 | 12 | 20 | 4 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 50 | 40 | 13 | 21 | 4 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 53 | 43 | 17 | 20 | 4 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 53 | 44 | 19 | 21 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 51 | 42 | 19 | 19 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 48 | 43 | 19 | 20 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 48 | 43 | 18 | 22 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 55 | 48 | 21 | 23 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 53 | 49 | 22 | 22 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 52 | 46 | 21 | 21 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 51 | 46 | 20 | 22 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 48 | 44 | 20 | 20 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 51 | 46 | 19 | 21 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 52 | 46 | 20 | 20 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 56 | 50 | 19 | 23 | 7 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 50 | 46 | 18 | 22 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 52 | 49 | 17 | 26 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 52 | 49 | 19 | 25 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 50 | 47 | 18 | 25 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 45 | 41 | 13 | 23 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 45 | 41 | 13 | 23 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 44 | 41 | 13 | 23 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 46 | 41 | 11 | 23 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 52 | 46 | 13 | 25 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |