BMIE Market 45420
Montgomery County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 24,411 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,264 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 11,985 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±675 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 25,438 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 13,132 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $60,588 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,509 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 36.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $985 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±45 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $131,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,428 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 6.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 33 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45420 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 14.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -2.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -17.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +10.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -19.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 32 (range 27–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.38) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 47 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 43 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 25 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45420. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.38, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 47 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 64.0 | 64 | 40% | +25.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 42.8 | 43 | 35% | +15.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 24.6 | 25 | 25% | +6.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 24,411 | 85 | 40% | +33.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 60,588 | 31 | 40% | +12.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 11,985 | 89 | 20% | +17.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 43 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -17.5 | 15 | 35% | +5.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 13.5 | 58 | 25% | +14.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 24,411 | 85 | 20% | +17.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 60,588 | 31 | 20% | +6.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 25 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -2.9 | 24 | 50% | +12.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -17.5 | 15 | 30% | +4.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 10 | 40 | 20% | +7.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (93)
By cuisine
American 14 · Pizza 8 · Coffee 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Asian 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 5 · Mexican 5 · Indian 3 · Italian 3 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Korean 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 53 · Bar 23 · Casual dining 16 · Quick service 15 · Dessert 9 · Café 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Food truck 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajanta India Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 3063 Woodman Dr | open |
| Angie's Firehouse Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 703 Watervliet Ave | open | |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 1795 Delco Park Dr. | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2305 S Smithville Rd | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2305 S Smithville Rd | open |
| Archers Tavern Kettering | Casual dining · Bar | American | 2030 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| Barb's Hungarian Nut Rolls | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · German / Eastern European · Dessert | 3617 Tiffany Dr | open |
| BIGGBY COFFEE | Coffee shop · Café · Bar | Coffee | 2061 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| Billie Gold Bubble Tea Lounge | Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar | Tea / bubble tea | 732 Watervliet Ave | open |
| Brads On The Go | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2537 E ARAGON Ave | open | |
| Brick Haus | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 1013 Highridge Ave | open |
| Carmichael's Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 3011 Wayne Ave | open | |
| Carpenter's Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 504 Watervliet Ave | open | |
| Cassano's Pizza King Cassanos Pizza King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2405 S Smithville Rd | open |
| Christopher's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2318 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| City Barbeque City Barbeque | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 2001 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| CJ Chan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Japanese · Chinese | 536 Wilmington Ave | open |
| Clint Eastwood Fans Club | Bar | American | 3301 Wayne Ave | open |
| Cold Beer & Cheeseburgers Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1060 Patterson Rd | open | |
| Communitea Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 100 Watervliet Ave | open |
| Cousin Vinny's Pizza Cousin Vinny's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2262 Patterson Rd | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2056 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| Dairy Queen | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2613 S Smithville Rd | open |
| Dart'N Somewhere Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 1060 Patterson Rd | open | |
| DFL Nutrition | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 2025 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 531 Wilmington Avenue | open |
| Donatos Pizza Donatos Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 2800 Wayne Avenue | open |
| DT’s Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2920 Wayne Ave | open |
| Eat Rice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3736 S Smithville Rd | open |
| Elsa's Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1227 Wilmington Ave | open |
| Flick's Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | 707 Watervliet Ave | open | |
| Foremost Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 1904 Woodman Center Dr | open |
| Fre Inc Richs Pawn Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 708 Watervliet Ave | open | |
| Freakin Rican's Food Truck | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 2615 S Smithville Rd | open | |
| Fricker's Fricker's Restaurants | Bar · Casual dining | 1818 Woodman Dr | open | |
| Full Circle Productions 2 Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2262 Patterson Rd | open | |
| GarlicFest | Food truck | open | ||
| Greg Caudill Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1725 Woodman Dr | open | |
| Hank's Local Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 2529 Patterson Rd | open | |
| Hot Head Burritos Hot Head Burritos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3754 S Smithville Rd | open |
| In-n-Out Java | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2244 Wilmington Pike | open |
| Indian Creek Distillery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom | Indian | open | |
| Jimmy's Italian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 3002 Woodman Dr | open |
| K & R Pretzel Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 1700 Flesher Ave | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2109 E. Dorothy Ln | open |
| Kupbop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · Asian | 3011 Woodman Dr | open |
| La guacherna colombiana caribbean cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Caribbean | 1928 S Smithville Rd parking | open |
| Little Saigon Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 1718 Woodman Dr | open |
| Los Reyes Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 2290 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| Lov's Whiskey Barrel Saloon | Bar | 703 Watervliet Ave | open | |
| Mar Gin Ent | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1727 Woodman Dr | open | |
| Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza | Quick service | 2400 S Smithville Rd | open | |
| Marco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1030 Patterson Rd | open |
| Mariah's Cookies | Dessert | Dessert | 2262 Patterson Rd | open |
| Mark Mohn Mug Store | Coffee shop | Coffee | 4246 Woodcliffe Ave | open |
| MYRACLES BAR AND GRILL | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1060 Patterson Rd | open | |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 540 wilmington ave | open |
| Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3007 Woodman Dr | open |
| Rapid Fired Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls | 2001 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| Red Carpet Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | American | 3301 Wayne Ave | open |
| Ritter's Frozen Custard Ritter's Frozen Custard | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 2226 Wilmington Pike | open |
| Rum Runners Cafe | Café · Bar | Coffee | 2318 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| Shag's Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | 1926 S Smithville Rd | open | |
| Sima | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Korean | 1771 Woodman Dr | open |
| Slyder's Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | Burgers | 836 Watervliet Ave | open |
| Smokin Bbq | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3002 Woodman Dr | open | |
| Somewhere Lounge | Bar | 1066 Patterson Rd | open | |
| Spirit of dayton ice cream | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Casual dining | Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 68 Watervliet Ave | open |
| Stan the Donut Man | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 1441 Wilmington Ave | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2115 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| Stowaway Lounge | Bar | 2820 Wayne Ave | open | |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 528 Wilmington Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3019 Woodman Drive | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2238 Smithville Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1814 Woodman Dr. | open |
| Sure Shots | Bar | 3121 E Dorothy Ln | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 2101 East Dorothy Lane | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 2509 S Smithville Rd. | open |
| The Bar Time | Bar | 2049 E Dorothy Ln | open | |
| The Bread Shed | Bakery | Bakery | 4423 Beecher St | open |
| The Root Beer Stande | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1727 Woodman Dr | open |
| The Sweet Retreat | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery | 2613 Smithville Rd | open |
| The Twist Indian Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 2627 S Smithville Rd | open |
| Treasure Shipping, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1718 Woodman Dr | open | |
| Tumbleweed Tex Mex Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2030 E Dorothy Ln | open | |
| United Dairy Farmers United Dairy Farmers | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2200 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 1210 Wilmington Ave | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1780 Woodman Dr | open |
| White Castle System | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3041 Viewcrest Pl | open | |
| White Sail Inn | Casual dining · Bar | Pizza | 1509 Barney Ave | open |
| Yu & Kim's Enterprises, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1771 Woodman Dr | open | |
| Zip Thru Beer and Wine | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1404 Patterson Rd | open | |
| Quigs | Bar | 2061 E Dorothy Ln | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 52 | 41 | — | — | — | 11 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 48 | 38 | — | — | — | 10 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 49 | 34 | — | — | — | 15 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 58 | 43 | — | — | — | 15 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 57 | 36 | 14 | 16 | 6 | 15 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 52 | 30 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 17 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 52 | 35 | 14 | 17 | 4 | 12 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 52 | 34 | 14 | 16 | 4 | 13 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 50 | 32 | 11 | 15 | 5 | 15 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 53 | 30 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 18 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 54 | 33 | 9 | 18 | 5 | 17 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 51 | 32 | 12 | 15 | 4 | 15 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 48 | 31 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 12 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 49 | 34 | 8 | 20 | 4 | 11 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 57 | 38 | 12 | 21 | 4 | 15 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 53 | 37 | 11 | 20 | 5 | 14 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 55 | 38 | 12 | 21 | 4 | 14 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 54 | 38 | 11 | 23 | 4 | 14 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 55 | 39 | 10 | 25 | 4 | 14 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 56 | 40 | 9 | 27 | 4 | 14 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 52 | 36 | 9 | 24 | 3 | 14 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 21 | 3 | 11 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 20 | 2 | 12 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 46 | 31 | 11 | 18 | — | 12 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 49 | 34 | 12 | 19 | — | 11 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 50 | 35 | 14 | 18 | — | 11 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 49 | 36 | 15 | 18 | — | 10 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 19 | — | 11 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 44 | 33 | 12 | 18 | — | 8 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 45 | 33 | 10 | 19 | 3 | 8 | NAICS2022 |