BMIE Market 45419
Montgomery County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 17,008 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±925 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,184 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±358 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 15,159 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,141 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $92,264 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,943 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,034 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±73 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $248,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,254 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 27 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45419 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 14.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +28.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +17.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +42.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 25 (range 21–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.12) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45419. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.12, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 77.5 | 78 | 40% | +31.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 64.6 | 65 | 35% | +22.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 71.5 | 71 | 25% | +17.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 17,008 | 79 | 40% | +31.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 92,264 | 75 | 40% | +30.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,184 | 80 | 20% | +16.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 17.4 | 61 | 35% | +21.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 15.9 | 50 | 25% | +12.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 17,008 | 79 | 20% | +15.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 92,264 | 75 | 20% | +15.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 28.6 | 83 | 50% | +41.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 17.4 | 61 | 30% | +18.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 42.1 | 60 | 20% | +11.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (56)
By cuisine
Pizza 9 · American 6 · Coffee 6 · Dessert 6 · Asian 3 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Breakfast 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Japanese 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Bar 12 · Quick service 12 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 5 · Casual dining 5 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Pretty Picnic | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Fast casual | Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 2316 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Ashley's Pastry Shop | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 21 Park Ave | open |
| Bobby's British Pub | Bar | 406 Dellwood Ave | open | |
| Boston Stoker | Coffee shop | Coffee | 2710 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Boston Stoker Coffee Roasters | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2710 Far Hills Ave | open | |
| Brewski Barrel | Bar | 446 Patterson Rd | open | |
| Bright Moon Buffet | Buffet | Chinese · Asian | 2900 Wilmington Pike | open |
| Bushido Ramen Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea · Japanese · Asian | 2607 Wilmington Pike | open |
| C'est Tout Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French | 2600 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Carmel's bar and grill | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Mexican | 1025 Shroyer Rd | open |
| Central Perc European Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · European | 2315 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Chicken Head's Ghost Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Chicken / wings | 1122 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| Chinese buffet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | open | |
| Corleone's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 966 Patterson Rd | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1042 Shroyer Rd | open |
| Diplomat Lounge | Bar | 2766 Wilmington Pike | open | |
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 2533 Wilmington Pike | open |
| Dual Expressions Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 931 Shroyer Rd Ste A | open | |
| Eclipse Coffee And Tea | Café | Coffee | open | |
| Flyboys Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2515 Far Hills Ave | open | |
| Frisch's Big Boy | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Burgers · American | 2861 Wilmington Pike | open |
| Graeter's Ice Cream Graeter's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2412 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Green Leaf Lounge | Bar | Dellwood Ave | open | |
| Ice Ice Smoothie | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 2821 Wilmington Pike | open |
| Iyoo | Bar · Quick service | 546 Garden Rd | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2831 Wilmington Pike | open |
| Kramers Tavern Dayton | Casual dining · Bar | Pizza | 1018 Irving Ave | open |
| LaRosa's Pizzeria LaRosa's Pizzeria - Florence Location | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2801 Wilmington Pike | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 930 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| Madame Delluc Artisan Chocolatier | Dessert | Dessert | 2510 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Marion's Piazza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 711 Shroyer Rd | open |
| Massaman Thai Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 467 Patterson Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2901 Wilmington Pike | open |
| Moore Dessert Please! | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 1003 Shroyer Rd | open |
| Oakwood Club | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Seafood | 2414 Far Hills Ave | open |
| ODM Barbecue Kettering | Quick service | BBQ · American | 921 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1330 e dorothy ln | open |
| Partial To Pie Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 200 Shroyer Rd | open |
| Partners | Bar | 443 Patterson Rd | open | |
| Patterson Pub | Bar | 970 Patterson Rd | open | |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 900 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| Rally's | Quick service | 2924 Wilmington Pike | open | |
| Say Yes Cakes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1003 SHROYER Rd | open | |
| Side Room Lounge | Bar | 446 Patterson Rd | open | |
| Skyline Chili Skyline Chili | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2724 Wilmington Pike | open |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2890 Wilmington Pike | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 2424 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Submarine House Submarine House | Bar · Casual dining | Sandwiches | 930 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| The Dayton Beer Company | Brewery / taproom | 912 E Dorothy Ln | open | |
| The Shroyer Inn | Bar | 1028 Shroyer Rd | open | |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 959 Patterson Rd | open |
| Troni's Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 1314 E Dorothy Ln | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 2307 Far Hills Ave | open |
| Wings Fly | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 960 Patterson Rd | open |
| Wingstop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2811 Wilmington Pike | open |
| Paper Pod Designs Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2308 Far Hills Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 22 | 18 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 24 | 19 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 24 | 19 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 23 | 18 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 23 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 23 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 25 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 26 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 24 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 27 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 29 | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 29 | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 29 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 30 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 31 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 28 | 23 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 29 | 22 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 27 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 29 | 21 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 32 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 30 | 22 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 32 | 23 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 33 | 25 | 6 | 13 | 5 | 7 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 36 | 27 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 7 | NAICS2022 |