BMIE Market 45410

Montgomery County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,694 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,218 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,815 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±532 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,339 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,287 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$46,651 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,952 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$986 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±80 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$110,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,847 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45410
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+5.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+61.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+110.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 20–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.32) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45410. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.32, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	50.8	51	40%	+20.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.4	52	35%	+18.3
Market Momentum Score	63.0	63	25%	+15.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,694	76	40%	+30.5
Median household income (ACS)	46,651	11	40%	+4.5
Households (ACS)	6,815	79	20%	+15.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	35%	+21.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.3	55	25%	+13.8
Population (ACS)	14,694	76	20%	+15.3
Median household income (ACS)	46,651	11	20%	+2.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	5	61	50%	+30.7
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	30%	+18.0
20-year restaurant growth	61.5	71	20%	+14.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (50)

By cuisine

American 6 · Mexican 6 · Coffee 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 3 · Pizza 3 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Bar 14 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 3 · Food truck 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aaa Mat Co Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1851 Wayne Ave	open
Bagel Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		699 Highland Hills Ave	open
BLU Lounge Hookah	Bar			open
Botanas Y Frutas Locas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2721 Linden Ave	open
Branch & Bone Artisan Ales	Brewery / taproom · Bar		905 Wayne Ave	open
Cousin Vinny's Pizza Cousin Vinny's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2032 Wayne Ave	open
D J's Nitecap	Bar · Quick service		Nassau St	open
Dabel Eagle's	Bar		1221 Wayne Ave	open
Dannys Antojitos “2”	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	1301 S E st Richmond In	open
Dublin Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	300 Wayne Ave	open
Elsa's Mexican Restaurant Elsa's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3618 Linden Ave	open
Esther Price Candies Esther Price Candies	Dessert	Dessert	1709 Wayne Ave	open
Fackler Investments Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1334 Linden Ave	open
Fatback's Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1334 Linden Ave	open
Flavor'D Layers	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee	508 Wayne Ave	open
Full Circle Productions 1 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2032 Wayne Ave	open
Ghostlight Coffee (historic South Park)	Coffee shop	Coffee	1201 Wayne Ave	open
Hasty Tasty Pancake House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	3509 Linden Ave	open
Highland Park	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		Highland Park	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		1035 Linden Ave	open
Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	3225 Linden Ave	open
Linden Grill	Bar		2702 Linden Ave	open
Mariah's Cookies	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2032 Wayne Ave	open
Md Antojitos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	506 Saint Paul Ave	open
Mehaffies Pies	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3013 Linden Ave	open
Moraine Fish & Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	2917 Linden Ave	open
New China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	2921 Linden Ave	open
Pat's Bar Pat’s Bar & Grill	Bar		2725 Linden Ave	open
Pie Peddler	Bakery	Bakery	3443 Linden Ave	open
Pizza Factory Pizza Factory, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1101 Wayne Ave	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	2917 Linden Ave	open
Rasnics Pirate Cove & Booty Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1016 Linden Ave	open
Reza's	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	438 Wayne Ave	open
Smales Pretzel Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	210 Xenia Ave	open
South Park Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		1301 Wayne Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2923 Linden Ave	open
Tacos México and Texas Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	2702 Linden Ave	open
Tank's Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2033 Wayne Ave	open
Taqueria El Wicho	Food truck	Mexican	2801 Linden Ave	open
Taqueria La Lomita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2713 Linden Ave	open
The Silver Slipper	Bar		1105 Wayne Ave	open
The Slidekick	Quick service · Food truck	American	2725 Linden Ave	open
Tinka's Treats	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2456 Wyoming St	open
Toby's Tavern	Bar		3601 Linden Ave	open
Wayne and Clover Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1201 Wayne Ave	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1507 Wayne Avenue	open
Wheat Penny Oven and Bar	Casual dining · Bar		515 Wayne Ave	open
Wholly Grounds	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	825 Wayne Ave	open
Xenia Avenue Project	Restaurant (service type not stated)		600 Xenia Ave	open
The Sugar Guild	Bakery	Bakery	521 Wayne Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	16	13	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	16	12	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	14	11	3	6	2	3	NAICS1997
1999	14	10	4	4	2	4	NAICS1997
2000	16	12	4	6	2	4	NAICS1997
2001	18	14	5	7	2	4	NAICS1997
2002	19	14	6	7	1	5	NAICS1997
2003	18	13	5	7	1	5	NAICS2002
2004	18	12	4	6	2	6	NAICS2002
2005	18	12	5	5	2	5	NAICS2002
2006	19	12	5	5	2	6	NAICS2002
2007	19	14	5	8	1	5	NAICS2002
2008	18	15	6	8	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	18	14	4	9	1	4	NAICS2007
2010	17	13	4	8	1	4	NAICS2007
2011	14	11	4	6	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	17	16	5	9	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	20	18	6	9	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	22	20	7	10	3	2	NAICS2012
2015	22	19	6	10	3	2	NAICS2012
2016	23	20	7	11	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	23	19	8	9	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	23	20	8	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	29	25	10	11	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	25	23	8	11	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	24	21	6	10	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	21	7	9	5	3	NAICS2022
2023	27	21	6	10	5	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 45410. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
45469	1.2 mi	1	1994
45403	1.2 mi	13	2023
45423	1.9 mi	1	2016
45419	2.3 mi	27	2023
45409	2.4 mi	37	2023
45420	2.5 mi	33	2023
45402	2.7 mi	54	2023
45404	2.8 mi	17	2023
45432	3.9 mi	29	2023
45431	4.1 mi	83	2023
45405	4.3 mi	15	2023
45429	4.4 mi	46	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.