BMIE Market 45409
Montgomery County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 15,293 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,436 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,063 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±241 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 12,868 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,488 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $87,283 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,028 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 21.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±0 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,038 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±114 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $249,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,123 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 37 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45409 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 24.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +5.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +8.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +23.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +27.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 46 (range 40–52) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.50) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 57 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45409. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.50, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 72.4 | 72 | 40% | +29.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55.0 | 55 | 35% | +19.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 56.5 | 57 | 25% | +14.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 15,293 | 77 | 40% | +30.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 87,283 | 71 | 40% | +28.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,063 | 67 | 20% | +13.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 8.8 | 53 | 35% | +18.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 24.2 | 28 | 25% | +7.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 15,293 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 87,283 | 71 | 20% | +14.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 57 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 5.7 | 62 | 50% | +31.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 8.8 | 53 | 30% | +15.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 23.3 | 48 | 20% | +9.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (94)
By cuisine
American 17 · Coffee 11 · Sandwiches 10 · Mexican 8 · Asian 7 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · BBQ 4 · Breakfast 4 · Burgers 4 · Dessert 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Greek 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Noodles / ramen / pho 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 52 · Bar 19 · Casual dining 13 · Quick service 13 · Café 10 · Bakery 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Dessert 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Fast casual 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Food truck 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A New Soul | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1106 Brown St | open | |
| American Legion American Legion | Bar | 228 Obell Ct | open | |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1200 Brown St Ste 100 | open |
| Audacity Coffee Roasters | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 2540 Adirondack Trl | open |
| Back Home Tavern & Table | Bar | 1151 Brown St | open | |
| Bargos Grill & Tap | Bar | 1151 Brown St | open | |
| Ben and Jerry's Ben & Jerry's | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1934 Brown St | open |
| BIBIBOP Asian Grill BIBIBOP Asian Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 1200 Brown St Unit 140 | open |
| Blimpie | Quick service | 1132 Brown St | open | |
| Bourbon Street Grill and Cafe | Casual dining · Bar | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1043 Brown St | open |
| Brown & Stewart | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 1200 Brown St #120 | open | |
| Brown St Dutch Bros. Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 1141 Brown St | open |
| Buckin Donkey Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American | 2866 S Dixie Dr | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Casual dining | American | 1900 Brown St | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1129 Brown Street | open |
| Butter Cafe | Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 1106 Brown St | open |
| C'Est Cheese | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 301 Oakwood Ave | open | |
| Cassano's Pizza King | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1200 Brown St Ste 110 | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1211 Brown St | open |
| City Pub | Casual dining · Bar | 2727 S Dixie Dr | open | |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 135 Jasper St | open |
| Community Golf Course Restaurant - The 19th Hole | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2917 Berkley St | open |
| Danielle’s Juicy Bar (Boba Tea and Smoothies) | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 2801 S Dixie Dr | open |
| Demnika's Italiano | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 2667 S Dixie Dr | open |
| Denny's | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · Coffee · American | 1136 S Main St | open |
| Dewberry 1850 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1414 S Patterson Blvd | open |
| Dewey's Pizza Dewey's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 131 Jasper St | open |
| Dippin' Dots | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1061 S Main St | open |
| District 6 Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 6 Oakwood Ave Ste C | open |
| Don Juan Mexican restraunt & cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 1200 Brown St | open |
| Double 18 Lounge | Bar | open | ||
| Duck Donuts Duck Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 1200 Brown St | open |
| El Meson Restaurante El Meson at Hamilton Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2701 S Dixie Hwy | open |
| El Rancho Grande | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2801 S Dixie Dr | open |
| El Rancho Grande El Rancho Grande | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1450 W Dorothy Ln | open |
| Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs | Quick service · Casual dining | Sandwiches · American | 6 Oakwood Ave | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1143 Brown Street | open |
| Flanagan's Pub | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 101 E Stewart St | open |
| Fusian FUSIAN | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1200 Brown St #125 | open |
| Ginger and Spice Asian Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 1105 Brown St | open |
| Glo Juice Bar + Café | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 1120 Brown St | open |
| Golden Nugget Pancake House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 2932 S Dixie Dr | open |
| Gyro Palace | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 1124 Brown St | open |
| Hickory Bar-B-Q | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 1082 Brown St | open |
| Hot Head Burritos Hot Head Burritos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1113 Brown St | open |
| Hunny Bee's Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 1200 Brown St #100 | open |
| Jimmie's Ladder 11 | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 936 Brown St | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 1157 Brown St | open |
| Jk & Ik Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1082 Brown St | open | |
| Joes Pines | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1043 S Main St | open |
| Kett-dorothy Lane Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1450 W Dorothy Ln | open | |
| Kung Fu Noodle | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Noodles / ramen / pho · BBQ | 2801 S Dixie Dr D | open |
| Lil Rudy's on Brown | Bar | 1151 Brown St | open | |
| Lowes Street Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 235 Lowes St | open |
| Milano's Pizza, Subs & Taps Milano's Pizza, Subs & Taps | Bar | Pizza · Sandwiches | 1834 Brown St | open |
| Morts East | Bar · Casual dining | 2866 S Dixie Dr | open | |
| Murray's Pub & Grub | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2866 S Dixie Dr | open |
| Mvh Valley Cafe | Café | Coffee | 1 Wyoming St | open |
| North Village Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 137 Jasper St | open |
| P & T Trading Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1105 Brown St | open | |
| P & T Trading Llc Dba Ginger & Spice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1105 Brown St | open | |
| Palermos Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2667 S Dixie Dr | open | |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Fast casual | Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1203 Brown Street | open |
| Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 1159 Brown St | open |
| Pine Club | Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · American | 1926 Brown St | open |
| Pita Pit | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1047 Brown St | open | |
| Playa Bowls Playa Bowls | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 1200 Brown St | open |
| Potbelly Potbelly Sandwich Shop | Other | Sandwiches | 1200 Brown St #130 | open |
| PrimeBBQ Smokehouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 1200 Brown St | open |
| Prior To Tee Time Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2917 Berkley St | open | |
| Rapid Fired Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1200 Brown St Ste 110 | open |
| Rino's Crepes & Cappuccinos | Café · Coffee shop | Breakfast · Coffee | 1120 Brown St | open |
| Rusty Taco Rusty Taco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1822 Brown St | open |
| Saxbys Oakwood and University of Dayton | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 6 Oakwood Ave | open |
| Skyline Chili Skyline Chili | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 1153 Brown St | open |
| Smashburger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1200 Brown St Ste 190 | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1134 Brown St | open |
| Submarine House Submarine House | Bar · Casual dining | 1137 Brown St | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1103 Brown St | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1000 Brown St | open |
| Tastefully Roasted Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 6 Oakwood Ave | open |
| Thai Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 2801 S Dixie Dr | open |
| The Chill | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 2 Evanston Ave | open |
| The Cookieologist | Bakery | Bakery | 1106 Brown St | open |
| The Dayton Barbecue Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 1000 Carillon Blvd | open |
| The Fieldhouse | Bar | 1126 Brown St | open | |
| The Gyro Room | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 1124 Brown St | open |
| The Wizard of Za | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1200 Brown St | open |
| Timothy's Bar | Casual dining · Bar | 1818 Brown St | open | |
| University Place Potbelly | Quick service | Sandwiches | 1200 Brown Street | open |
| Val’s Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 1120 Brown St | open |
| Vp & Associates Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2917 Berkley St | open | |
| Wat Da Pho Express - University of Dayton Wat da Pho | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 1047 Brown St | open |
| Zombie Dogz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 1200 Brown St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 37 | 29 | — | — | — | 8 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 32 | 25 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 38 | 29 | — | — | — | 9 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 37 | 31 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 38 | 31 | 15 | 14 | 2 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 34 | 28 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 35 | 29 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 33 | 29 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 36 | 31 | 14 | 15 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 33 | 30 | 11 | 16 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 36 | 32 | 11 | 18 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 35 | 31 | 12 | 15 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 35 | 31 | 14 | 13 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 34 | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 36 | 33 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 35 | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 35 | 31 | 14 | 13 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 37 | 33 | 14 | 15 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 38 | 35 | 17 | 14 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 37 | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 37 | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 37 | 35 | 17 | 14 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 38 | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 43 | 40 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 37 | 35 | 20 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 43 | 41 | 21 | 16 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 48 | 43 | 22 | 16 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 51 | 44 | 21 | 18 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 50 | 43 | 19 | 18 | 6 | 5 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 44 | 37 | 15 | 17 | 5 | 5 | NAICS2022 |