BMIE Market 46403
Lake County, Indiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 10,929 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±973 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,950 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±394 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 12,601 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,363 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $45,991 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,111 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $966 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±108 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $177,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,821 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 9.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 46403 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 13.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +18.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +5.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +11.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -5.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 18 (range 14–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.11) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 45 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 46403. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.11, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Indiana and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 606, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 47.9 | 48 | 40% | +19.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 45.3 | 45 | 35% | +15.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 61.3 | 61 | 25% | +15.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 10,929 | 72 | 40% | +28.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 45,991 | 11 | 40% | +4.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,950 | 74 | 20% | +14.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 45 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 5.6 | 50 | 35% | +17.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 17.4 | 45 | 25% | +11.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 10,929 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 45,991 | 11 | 20% | +2.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 18.8 | 76 | 50% | +38.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 5.6 | 50 | 30% | +15.1 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 11.8 | 40 | 20% | +8.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (53)
By cuisine
American 14 · Coffee 4 · Mexican 4 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 3 · BBQ 3 · Breakfast 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Dessert 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Seafood 3 · Burgers 2 · Caribbean 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 32 · Bar 11 · Quick service 6 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18th Street Brewery | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 5725 Miller Ave | open | |
| Arman's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5875 Melton Rd | open |
| Beach Box | Casual dining · Bar | 720 N Lake St | open | |
| Beggars Pizza Miller | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 887 S Lake St | open |
| Boles-owen Steno Service | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5816 E 7th Ave | open | |
| Cakes by Shandra LLC | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 8821 Hemlock Ln | open |
| Caribbean Roots | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 625 S Lake St | open |
| Carlisle Melton Road Restaurant Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5729 Melton Rd | open | |
| Carmella's Cafe | Café | Coffee | 7010 OAK Ave | open |
| Clutch Bagels and Spreads | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery | Bakery · Juice / smoothies | 444 S Lake St | open |
| Cracker Barrel Merrillville Indiana Cracker Barrel Old Country Store | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | open | |
| D & K Gourmet Salads Catering and More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 625 S Lake St Unit B | open | |
| Del's Crepes and Pancakes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 5900 Miller Ave | open |
| Dialogue Wine Bar | Bar | 601 S Lake St | open | |
| Dirtty's Jazz and Blues Club | Bar | 4601 Melton Rd | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Quick service | 5721 Melton Road | open | |
| Ember and Oak Smokehouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 825 S Lake St | open |
| Estella's Cantina | Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 615 S Lake St | open |
| Flamingo Pizza Of Miller | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 8341 Locust Ave | open |
| Gladgame Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 621 S Lake St | open | |
| Hacienda Destiladora El Imperio | Winery / distillery / taproom | carretera internacional 2513 | open | |
| Honeys | Bar | American | 8120 Melton Rd | open |
| Jerk N Go Jerk-N-Go Island Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 887 S Lake St | open |
| Jj fish and chicken in miller | Quick service | Seafood · Chicken / wings | 5279 Melton Rd | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Chicken / wings | 5729 Melton Road | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 761 S Lake St | open |
| Miller Bakery Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 555 S Lake St | open |
| Miller Bean Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 632 S Lake St | open |
| Miller Pizza Co. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 622 1/2 S Lake St | open |
| Murphy House Of Pain Saloon | Bar | 5241 E Dunes Hwy | open | |
| New Age Baking | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 887 S Lake St | open |
| New York Plate | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5808 Melton Rd #2905 | open |
| Panthera's Cocktail Lounge | Bar | 5245 E Dunes Hwy #12 | open | |
| Pepe's Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 6400 Melton Rd | open |
| Phenomenal Ribs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 825 S Lake St | open |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5721 Melton Rd | open |
| Ponderosa Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 8000 Melton Rd | open |
| Seafood king Lmg | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 8000 Melton Rd | open |
| Sharks Fish and Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Chicken / wings · American | 4929 E Dunes Hwy | open |
| Shugga Shack | Other | Sandwiches · American | 877 S Lake St | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5808 Melton Rd | open |
| Super Fresh Seafood Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4929 E Dunes Hwy | open | |
| Suttle Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6039 Miller Ave Ste A | open | |
| Tequila and Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 642 S Lake St | open |
| Test Business | Café | Coffee | 5725 Miller Ave | open |
| The Fab 4 Resturant And Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 6132 Miller Ave | open |
| Thumbs Up | Bar | American | 620 S Lake St | open |
| Tiny's Coffee Bar | Coffee shop · Bar | Coffee · Breakfast | 555 S Lake St | open |
| TIPS 4 U BBQ Gary Ind | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | Charter School of the Dunes, 7300 Melton Rd | open |
| Top of The Mornin Cafe | Café · Casual dining | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 887 S Lake St | open |
| Volcano's Bistro & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 903 N Shelby St | open | |
| Wing Wah Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 7868 Melton Rd | open |
| Wrap Game Sandwich Shop | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 887 S Lake St Ste D | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 25 | 20 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 22 | 18 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 26 | 19 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 24 | 18 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 26 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 25 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 26 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 24 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 24 | 20 | 13 | 7 | — | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 20 | 17 | 12 | 5 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 23 | 20 | 14 | 6 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 24 | 21 | 13 | 8 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 24 | 21 | 14 | 7 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 24 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 22 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 20 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 20 | 17 | 9 | 8 | — | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 19 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 20 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 21 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 17 | 14 | 8 | 6 | — | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 17 | 13 | 7 | 6 | — | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 21 | 18 | 8 | 10 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 19 | 16 | 8 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 19 | 16 | 7 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 20 | 16 | 5 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 18 | 15 | 4 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 21 | 17 | 6 | 11 | — | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 23 | 19 | 6 | 13 | — | 3 | NAICS2022 |