BMIE Market 46407
Lake County, Indiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 8,577 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±812 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,778 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±330 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 12,656 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,953 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $28,526 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,868 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 36.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $868 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±56 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $60,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,268 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 4.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 46407 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 4.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -28.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 5 (range 4–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.27) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 39 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 42 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 42 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 31 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 46407. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.27, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Indiana and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 606, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 39 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 42.2 | 42 | 40% | +16.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 41.6 | 42 | 35% | +14.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 31.0 | 31 | 25% | +7.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 42 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 8,577 | 68 | 40% | +27.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 28,526 | 2 | 40% | +0.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,778 | 70 | 20% | +14.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 42 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -16.7 | 15 | 35% | +5.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 5.8 | 89 | 25% | +22.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 8,577 | 68 | 20% | +13.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 28,526 | 2 | 20% | +0.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 31 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -16.7 | 15 | 30% | +4.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 0 | 28 | 20% | +5.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (32)
By cuisine
American 6 · Seafood 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Burgers 3 · Breakfast 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Pizza 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Quick service 6 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Room Lounge | Bar | 224 E 16th Ave | open | |
| Buzz Box Lounge | Bar | 1800 Massachusetts St | open | |
| Caribbean Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Caribbean | 200 W 25th Ave | open |
| Catch and Boil | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 2101 Carolina St | open |
| Charlie's Coney Island | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 2490 Broadway | open |
| Chea On Top Biz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Steakhouse · Sandwiches | 1976 Broadway | open |
| Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1409 S. Broadway | open |
| Elbow Room | Bar | 200 W 25th Ave | open | |
| J J Fish & Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2574 Broadway | open |
| J's Breakfast Club | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 2601 Broadway | open |
| Katrina’s Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 621 W 25th Ave | open | |
| Kings Wings And Things | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 800 E 21st Ave | open |
| LIGHTIN it up | Dessert | 1277 Broadway | open | |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1316 Broadway | open |
| Lo'shell's Cajun And Creole Flavors | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1332 Broadway | open |
| MrBeast Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 200 W 25th Ave | open |
| Phenomenal Ribs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Burgers | 1101 Broadway | open |
| Physician Coding & Education Solutions Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1520 Broadway | open | |
| Red Sky Hookah Lounge | Bar | 1816 Broadway | open | |
| Roosta's Wings, Fish & More & Grocery Store Marketplace | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1316 Broadway | open | |
| Ruby's Fish & Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1201 W 25th Ave | open | |
| S & G Waffle Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Seafood | 1231 Broadway | open |
| S&G Seafood Lounge | Quick service | Seafood · Sandwiches | 1227 Broadway | open |
| Sharks Fish & Chicken | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Seafood | 1200 Broadway | open |
| Shrimpies Seafood N Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American · Seafood | 2101 Carolina St | open |
| TCBY | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1200 Broadway | open |
| Tommys Philly Steak | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 2574 Broadway | open |
| White Castle White Castle | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1304 Broadway | open |
| Z's Donut Bar & Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 1929 Broadway | open |
| Z's Shakes And Cakes | Bakery | Bakery | 1215 Broadway | open |
| Bm Foods | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1001 E 21st Ave | closed | |
| Niya's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 621 W 25th Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 8 | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 7 | 6 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 11 | 8 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 11 | 8 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 9 | 6 | — | 5 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 6 | 3 | — | 3 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 5 | 4 | — | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 7 | 6 | — | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 9 | 6 | — | 6 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 7 | 5 | — | 5 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 8 | 7 | — | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 8 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 11 | 8 | — | 8 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 6 | 5 | — | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 6 | 5 | — | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 7 | 6 | — | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 6 | 6 | — | 6 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 7 | 6 | — | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 10 | 7 | — | 7 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 8 | 6 | — | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 6 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 7 | 6 | — | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 7 | 6 | — | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 7 | 6 | — | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 6 | 5 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 8 | 7 | — | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 7 | 6 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 7 | 6 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 6 | 5 | — | 4 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 6 | 5 | — | 4 | — | — | NAICS2022 |