BMIE Market 63115

St. Louis city, Missouri · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,488 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,447 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,953 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±556 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	20,775 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,417 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$30,622 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,352 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$945 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±53 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$75,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,422 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 63115
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+5.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+20.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 10–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.50) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	43 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	38 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	45 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 63115. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.50, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Missouri and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 668, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	47.2	47	40%	+18.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37.8	38	35%	+13.2
Market Momentum Score	44.9	45	25%	+11.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,488	76	40%	+30.4
Median household income (ACS)	30,622	2	40%	+0.9
Households (ACS)	6,953	79	20%	+15.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-10	18	35%	+6.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.4	63	25%	+15.7
Population (ACS)	14,488	76	20%	+15.2
Median household income (ACS)	30,622	2	20%	+0.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	5.9	62	50%	+31.2
10-year restaurant growth	-10	18	30%	+5.5
20-year restaurant growth	12.5	41	20%	+8.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (42)

By cuisine

American 9 · Burgers 6 · Chinese 6 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 4 · Asian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Pizza 2 · Coffee 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Quick service 15 · Bar 6 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 5 · Casual dining 5 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
5222 Scoops And Cones	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5222 W Florissant Ave	open
ADM St. Louis (Milling)	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		5020 Shreve Ave	open
Almas' Slamma Jamma	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	4919 Union Blvd	open
Better Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	4127 Shreve Ave	open
Bing Chop Suey	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	4700 Natural Bridge Ave	open
Black Door Bar And Grill	Casual dining · Bar		3224 N Newstead Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	5030 Natural Bridge Ave	open
Church's Chicken	Quick service		3420 N Kingshighway Blvd	open
Country Girl's Pie Shop	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	3330 Union Blvd	open
Da GOAT Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4432 Farlin Ave	open
Diana's Royal Palace	Bar	Chinese	4266 Natural Bridge Ave	open
Flames Bar B Que House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4156 N Newstead Ave	open
Golden House Chop Suey	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4201 Natural Bridge Ave	open
Granny's Kitchens, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3415 N Kingshighway Blvd	open
Hill’s Custom BBQ Grills	Bar · Casual dining		4672 St Louis Ave	open
Imo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4353 Natural Bridge Ave	open
Imo's Pizza Imo's Fans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3441 Union Blvd	open
Keith’s Burger Joint 2	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers	4640 Natural Bridge Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		4331 Natural Bridge Ave	open
Lady J's Kitchen	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert · American		open
Lanett Good Eats	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4122 W Florissant Ave	open
Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	5023 Natural Bridge Ave	open
M & L Market / Ma Lisa's Southern BBQ	Specialty food shop · Quick service	BBQ · Sandwiches · American	4649 Carter Ave	open
Magic Dragon Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4500 Alice Ave	open
Mandarin Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	4334 Natural Bridge Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4979 Natural Bridge Ave	open
Monroe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	4200 W Margaretta Ave	open
Newstead Chop Suey	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3814 N Newstead Ave	open
Pharaoh's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	4130 Labadie Ave	open
PhattyCakez Snack Shop	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	3226 N Newstead Ave	open
Pop's Grill, Fish And Chicken	Casual dining · Quick service · Bar	Chicken / wings	4478 Natural Bridge Ave	open
Rally's Checkers and Rally's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4949 Natural Bridge Ave	open
Rob's Rolling Riblets	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering		4577 Athlone Ave	open
Scooters Snacks & More	Dessert · Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	5110 Natural Bridge Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4963 Natural Bridge Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	5031 Natural Bridge	open
Tisha's House of Soul	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4976 W Florissant Ave	open
Tripe City	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	5124 Natural Bridge Ave	open
Uncle Bubba's Sandwich Shoppe	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	4421 W Florissant Ave	open
United Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		4901 Union Blvd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3465 Union Blvd	open
White Castle White Castle	Quick service	Burgers · American	3524 N Kingshighway Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	15	13	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	18	17	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	19	17	3	14	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	19	17	5	12	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	19	18	4	13	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	18	17	5	11	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	19	19	3	16	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	18	16	2	14	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	19	17	3	14	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	19	18	3	15	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	19	18	3	15	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	20	19	2	17	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	22	21	2	19	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	21	21	2	19	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	22	22	2	20	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	22	22	2	20	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	22	22	2	20	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	20	20	1	19	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	20	20	1	19	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	19	19	1	17	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	19	18	—	17	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	17	16	—	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	17	—	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	16	—	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	15	—	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	16	—	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	16	—	15	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	18	—	15	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 63115. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
63120	1.3 mi	8	2023
63147	1.6 mi	7	2023
63113	1.7 mi	8	2023
63107	2.0 mi	11	2023
63108	2.7 mi	79	2023
63112	2.8 mi	19	2023
63106	3.1 mi	6	2023
63133	3.6 mi	6	2023
63121	3.7 mi	18	2023
63103	3.8 mi	54	2023
62090	4.1 mi	1	2013
62059	4.1 mi	1	2012

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.