BMIE Market 78721
Travis County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 10,997 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,053 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,973 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±346 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 11,425 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,153 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $84,573 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,003 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 33.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,482 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±195 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $523,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±54,681 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78721 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 2.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +200.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +140.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +500.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 16 (range 12–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.70) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 94 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78721. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.70, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 70.8 | 71 | 40% | +28.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 78.5 | 78 | 35% | +27.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 94.5 | 94 | 25% | +23.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 10,997 | 72 | 40% | +28.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 84,573 | 68 | 40% | +27.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,973 | 74 | 20% | +14.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 140 | 95 | 35% | +33.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 10.9 | 69 | 25% | +17.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 10,997 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 84,573 | 68 | 20% | +13.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 94 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 200 | 99 | 50% | +49.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 140 | 95 | 30% | +28.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 100 | 82 | 20% | +16.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (39)
By cuisine
American 7 · Mexican 5 · BBQ 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Coffee 4 · Seafood 4 · Asian 3 · Vietnamese 3 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · African 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Quick service 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Food truck 4 · Casual dining 3 · Bar 2 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Bakery 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Dessert 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio’s Snack Shack | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 1413 Webberville Rd | open |
| Beto's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3306 Oak Springs Dr | open |
| Big Mama’s kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1189 Springdale Rd | open | |
| Caffé Medici | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1023 Springdale Rd | open |
| Carter’s BBQ & SoulFood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · African | 1189 Springdale Rd | open |
| Celestial Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1413 Webberville Rd | open |
| Country Boyz Fixins | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 4140 E 12th St | open |
| Dagum Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 1023 Springdale Rd Suite 1A | open |
| Dave’s tacos # 2 | Food truck | Mexican | 4611 E Martin Luther King Jr Blvd | open |
| Delilah's Front Porch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | open | ||
| Fat Daddy's Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Seafood | 1075 Springdale Rd | open |
| George's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 1812 Adina St | open |
| Hometown Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | open | |
| Julie Myrtille Bakery | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1023 Springdale Rd | open |
| Kinfolk BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Mexican · Breakfast | 4611 E Martin Luther King Jr Blvd | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 4509 E Martin Luther King Jr Blvd | open | |
| LE Meals | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1023 Springdale Rd | open |
| Maine Root | Brewery / taproom | 1406 Smith Rd Ste F | open | |
| Mam Mam | Food truck | Asian · Vietnamese | 1023 Springdale Rd BLDG 1 | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1143 1 2 Airport Blvd | open |
| Medici Roasting | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1023 Springdale Rd Ste 1A | open |
| Micklethwait Barbecue | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 4602 Tanney St | open |
| MLK & Airport Whataburger | Quick service | 3210 E MARTIN LUTHER KING JR BLVD | open | |
| Palomino Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 4136 E 12th St | open |
| Pho Craft | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese | 3307 Oak Springs Dr | open |
| Prep Eats | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused | Healthy / salads / bowls | 1023 Springdale Rd BLDG 1 | open |
| Sharks Fish and Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Chicken / wings | 1075 Springdale Rd | open |
| Solar Falafel | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 5305 Bolm Rd Ste 1 | open |
| Soolicious | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Seafood | Double R Grocery, 4501 E Martin Luther King Jr Blvd | open |
| Southern Heights Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 6014 Techni Center Dr | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6105 Techni Center Dr | open |
| Taco Wey | Food truck | 6014 Techni Center Dr | open | |
| Tacos & Mariscos Chelito's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4509 E Martin Luther King Jr Blvd | open | |
| The Front Page The Front Page | Bar · Casual dining | 1023 Springdale Rd | open | |
| Trill Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3307 Oak Springs Dr | open |
| Uroko | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 1023 Springdale Rd | open |
| Viet Delish Box | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 1023 Springdale Rd bldg 1 | open |
| Whataburger Whataburger | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3210 E MARTIN LUTHER KING JR BLVD | open |
| Willie's Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 4505 E Martin Luther King Jr Blvd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 8 | 3 | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 10 | 4 | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 12 | 5 | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 12 | 6 | — | 3 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 15 | 10 | — | 4 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2022 |