BMIE Market 85019
Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 27,429 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,558 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,677 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±474 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 25,042 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,241 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $68,528 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,920 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 29.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,469 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±136 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $305,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,344 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85019 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 6.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +80.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +63.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +12.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 19 (range 15–23) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.46) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85019. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.46, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 68.8 | 69 | 40% | +27.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 78.2 | 78 | 35% | +27.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 81.2 | 81 | 25% | +20.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 27,429 | 87 | 40% | +34.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 68,528 | 45 | 40% | +17.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,677 | 81 | 20% | +16.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 63.6 | 87 | 35% | +30.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 6.6 | 86 | 25% | +21.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 27,429 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 68,528 | 45 | 20% | +8.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 80 | 94 | 50% | +47.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 63.6 | 87 | 30% | +26.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 12.5 | 41 | 20% | +8.2 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (74)
By cuisine
Mexican 33 · Latin American (other) 13 · Seafood 10 · Coffee 6 · Pizza 6 · Dessert 5 · American 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Hot dogs 3 · African 2 · Bakery 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Quick service 16 · Bar 7 · Dessert 7 · Café 5 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 4 · Food truck 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addis Ababa Restaurant and Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 3527 W Bethany Home Rd | open |
| Antigua Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 3605 W Camelback Rd | open |
| Baghdad Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3650 W Camelback Rd | open | |
| Birria Obregon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4225 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Bosa Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 4225 W Thomas Rd | open |
| Cafe Caliente Cafe Caliente | Café | Coffee | 3835 W Thomas Rd | open |
| Camelback Dutch Bros. Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 3550 W. Camelback Road | open |
| Carniceria Michoacan | Specialty food shop | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3549 W Thomas Rd #104 | open |
| Carnitas El Jefe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3801 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4296 W. Thomas Road | open |
| Country Boys Restaurant Country Boys Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4229 W Bethany Home Rd | open |
| Danny's Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bar | Sandwiches | 4202 W Camelback Rd #1 | open |
| Design Cake Academy | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 3612 W Bethany Home Rd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 4284 W Thomas Rd | open |
| Doña Emma's Kitchen | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | open | |
| El Caque Loco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3515 W Thomas Rd | open |
| El clamatazo | Café | Mexican · Coffee | 5121 N 43rd Ave | open |
| El Clamatón | Bar | Mexican · Seafood | 4231 W Thomas Rd | open |
| El Exquisito Hot Dog | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3911 W Indian School Rd | open |
| El Glaciar De Arizona Llc | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3650 W Camelback Rd Ste 4 | open |
| El Heroico Guaymas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Seafood | The Liquidators Discount Center - PHX, 4224 W Indian School Rd | open |
| El Kiosco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3650 W Camelback Rd #7 | open |
| El Sabroso Hot Dogs | Quick service | Hot dogs · Sandwiches | 4224 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Eves Tease | Bar · Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 3737 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Fu-Fu Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African · Caribbean | 3633 W Camelback Rd | open |
| Funny Farm Lounge | Bar | 4270 W Thomas Rd | open | |
| Heavens Bean Chocolate Shoppe | Dessert | Dessert | 3626 W Colter St | open |
| Istmo Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3925 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Jarillo's Tepache y Tejuino | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4245 W Thomas Rd | open |
| Jimmies Market And Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 5127 N 43rd Ave | open |
| Jubileo café | Café · Coffee shop · Casual dining | Coffee · American | 3640 W Osborn Rd | open |
| La Huasteca | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3517 W Camelback Rd | open |
| La Pasadita Hot Dogs La Pasadita Hot Dogs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs · Mexican | 3601 W Camelback Rd | open |
| Larsen Vending | Quick service | 3835-3899 N 40th Ave | open | |
| Las Delicias del Sabor | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Mexican | 4224 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Los Kikirys Hot Dogs | Casual dining | American · Hot dogs | 4025 N 39th Ave | open |
| Los Pinos Surf and Turf | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Seafood | 3618 W Camelback Rd | open |
| Los Reyes Del Camaron Sinaloense | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 4231 W Thomas Rd | open |
| Marisa's Mexican Seafood Cocina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Seafood | 4211 W Bethany Home Rd | open |
| Mariscos El Guayabas | Food truck | Seafood | 3660 Grand Ave | open |
| Mariscos El Kora | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Mexican | 4234 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Mariscos El Wicho | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Mexican | 3717 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Mariscos La Capi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Latin American (other) | 4224 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Mayan Mexican Grill | Bar | 3633 W Camelback Rd Ste 7 | open | |
| My Red Tacos | Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea | Mexican · Juice / smoothies | 3836 N 39th Ave | open |
| Neveria y Taqueria El Kiosco | Quick service | Mexican | 3650 W Camelback Rd | open |
| Obrian's | Bar · Quick service | 5829 N 35th Dr | open | |
| Otros Tacos Mas Birria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3801 W Bethany Home Rd | open |
| Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3540 W Camelback Rd | open |
| Parra's Tacos | Food truck | 4217 W Camelback Rd | open | |
| Piñon Restaurant Anda Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 5020 N 38th Ave | open | |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3602 W Camelback Rd Maricopa | open |
| Pizza Mia | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls | 6005 N 43rd Ave | open |
| Postres la werita | Dessert | Dessert | Osborn | open |
| Star Pizza Box of Arizona | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Pizza · American | 4002 W Turney Ave #2 | open |
| Streets of New York | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4229 W Bethany Home Rd | open |
| Sushi-To | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 4224 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Sushinola Roll | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 3840 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Sylvia's La Canasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3824 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Tacos Don camaron | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3902 W Grand Ave | open |
| Tacos La Tutuli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4245 W Bethany Home Rd | open |
| Tacos Lila en Phoenix | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 4025 N 39th Ave | open |
| Tacos Y Hot Dog El Guero Taquero | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 3717 W Indian School Rd | open | |
| Tacos Y Mariscos El Camaron Pelao | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4224 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Taqueria Castillo | Quick service | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4217 W Camelback Rd | open |
| Taqueria El Compadre La Carreta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3840 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Taqueria Guadalajara Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3608 W Bethany Home Rd | open |
| Taquería Mariana | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3522 Grand Ave | open |
| Taqueria Mi Lindo Guanajuato | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3601 W Camelback Rd | open |
| Teana Boba Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee · Asian | 3503 W Bethany Home Rd | open |
| Tortas Jimy's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3633 W Camelback Rd | open |
| Tortillas Rosario | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Mexican · Sandwiches · Latin American (other) | 3820 N 39th Ave | open |
| Vasijas Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4225 W Thomas Rd | open |
| Zion Latin Delights | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Latin American (other) · Bakery | 3650 W Camelback Rd #4 | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 31 | 24 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 27 | 19 | — | — | — | 8 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 25 | 19 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 23 | 16 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 26 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 29 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 31 | 23 | 10 | 12 | — | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 22 | 16 | 9 | 7 | — | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 8 | — | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 19 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 17 | 16 | 7 | 9 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 20 | 16 | 7 | 9 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 20 | 17 | 7 | 10 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 8 | — | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 19 | 16 | 7 | 9 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 6 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 22 | 14 | 6 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 24 | 18 | 7 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 24 | 18 | 7 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2022 |