BMIE Market 85031

Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	31,191 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,335 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,132 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±492 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	30,493 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,716 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$70,412 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,147 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	29.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,647 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±154 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$294,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,072 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	47 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85031
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+17.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+38.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+23.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+38.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	54 (range 50–58) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.4 per year, r² 0.86) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	70 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85031. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.86, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.2	71	40%	+28.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.3	67	35%	+23.5
Market Momentum Score	70.2	70	25%	+17.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	31,191	90	40%	+35.9
Median household income (ACS)	70,412	48	40%	+19.0
Households (ACS)	8,132	82	20%	+16.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	38.2	76	35%	+26.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.1	52	25%	+13.1
Population (ACS)	31,191	90	20%	+17.9
Median household income (ACS)	70,412	48	20%	+9.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	17.5	75	50%	+37.7
10-year restaurant growth	38.2	76	30%	+22.9
20-year restaurant growth	23.7	48	20%	+9.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (109)

By cuisine

Mexican 38 · Latin American (other) 15 · American 11 · Dessert 10 · Burgers 8 · Bakery 7 · Seafood 7 · Chinese 6 · Pizza 6 · Chicken / wings 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Asian 4 · Japanese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Cuban 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Italian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 74 · Quick service 21 · Dessert 13 · Food truck 10 · Bakery 7 · Bar 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Buffet 2 · Casual dining 2 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Antojitos Mexicanos Estilo DF	Food truck	Mexican	4002 N 43rd Ave	open
Antojitos Rosita Fresita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4355 W Indian School Rd Unit 4	open
ATL Wings Atl Wings Az	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	5041 W Thomas Rd	open
Auto Mirror Repair And Installation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4601 W Indian School Rd	open
AzHanna Hibachi	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	4023 N 47th Ave	open
Azteca Bakeries Inc	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · Mexican	4317 N 43rd Ave	open
Balta's Botanas	Food truck		3221 N 55th Ave	open
Banda Burrito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4120 N 51st Ave	open
Birriera Taquería Del Yaqui	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2920 N 43rd Ave	open
Buenos Tacos LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3821 N 43rd Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	4302 West Indian School Road	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service	Burgers · American	4311 W Camelback Rd	open
Cayomango Cayomango Tucson	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	4333 W Indian School Rd	open
celia’s cake	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	5702 W Cheery Lynn Rd	open
Choon Burritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4105 N 51st Ave Ste 100	open
Chuchulucos Y Aguachiles	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5109 W Thomas Rd	open
Clamatos El Paisa	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		5518 W Catalina Dr	open
Cocina La Guadalupana	Restaurant (service type not stated)		The Home Depot, 4848 N 43rd Ave	open
Crepe Heaven	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Mexican · Juice / smoothies	3515 N 43rd Ave	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5105 W Thomas Rd	open
Denny's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4120 N 51ST AVE	open
Dona licha mexican kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4344 W Indian School Rd	open
Edward's Cuban Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban	4344 W Indian School Rd	open
El Mr. Camaron	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4409 W Indian School Rd	open
El Sazón de Zenón	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		5702 W Cheery Lynn Rd	open
EL TACO FIT	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5893 W Indian School Rd	open
El Yaqui Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2920 N 43rd Ave	open
Extreme Sushi Roll	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	4434 W Thomas Rd Ste 15	open
Federico's Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4014 N 43rd Ave	open
Filiberto's Filibertos	Quick service	Mexican	4030 N 67th Ave	open
Filiberto's Mexican Food Filibertos	Quick service	Mexican	4333 W Camelback Rd	open
Frutilandia Frutilandia Queen Creek	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5127 W Indian School Rd #110	open
Golden Nugget	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese		open
Guarantee Auto Ctr	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3423 N 43rd Ave	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		4313 W Thomas Rd	open
Japal Fine Seafood Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5828 W Indian School Rd	open
La Botana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4344 W Indian School Rd	open
La Guadalupana Raspados Y Antojitos	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4733 W Thomas Rd	open
la panamericana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	4719 W Thomas Rd suite 4	open
La Parrilla Del Gordo	Quick service		5005 W Indian School Rd	open
La Pasadita Hot Dogs La Pasadita Hot Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Mexican	3801 N 43rd Ave	open
La Pasadita Hot Dogs La Pasadita Hot Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Mexican	4611 W Indian School Rd	open
La Pupusa Loca Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	4320 W Thomas Rd	open
Las gorditas	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	3701 N 43rd Ave	open
Little Dragon Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4327 W Thomas Rd	open
Long Wong's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	4344 W Indian School Rd #39	open
Los Armandos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Mexican	5105 W Thomas Rd	open
Los Reyes De La Torta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Mexican	4333 W Indian School Rd	open
Luby's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5101 W Indian School Rd	open
Lucky's King Wah	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	4360 w northern ave	open
M V A J Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3827 N 43rd Ave	open
Marcelo's Tejuino Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5039 W MacKenzie Dr	open
Marcus & Lane Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4105 N 51st Ave Ste 157	open
Mariscos Altata	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood · Latin American (other)	5828 W Indian School Rd	open
Mariscos Bobby's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood	4641 W Indian School Rd	open
Mariscos El Chinola	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	5369 W Indian School Rd	open
Mariscos El Cochorit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Mexican	5037 W Thomas Rd	open
Mariscos Vuelve A La Vida	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2915 N 43rd Ave	open
Mariscos y Mas La Finkera	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Mexican · Latin American (other)	2915 N 43rd Ave	open
May Garden Restaurant	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	5814 W Indian School Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5050 W Indian School Road	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5750 W Thomas Rd	open
Menuderia y Birrieria Mi Perla Tapatia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5519 W Whitton Ave	open
Mi Casa Jugos y Licuados	Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck	Juice / smoothies · Latin American (other)		open
Neveria Chayos	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	5812 W Thomas Rd	open
Neveria Los Ninos	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3509 N 43rd Ave	open
Neveria Salas	Dessert		4355 W Indian School Rd Ste 4	open
New China Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	4105 N 51st Ave	open
Ni De Aqui Ni De Alla	Quick service · Food truck	Mexican	5414 W Pierson St	open
Orange Julius Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	5250 W Indian School Rd	open
Outpost	Bar		5335 N 55th Ave	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	5229 W. Indian School Rd.	open
Panda Express Panda Express	Quick service		4322 West Thomas Road	open
Pasteleria Azteca	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	5881-1 W Indian School Rd	open
Peter Piper Pizza Peter Piper Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4105 N 51st Ave Ste #111	open
Pito Pizza Rico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Latin American (other) · Cuban	4339 W Crittenden Ln	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5045 W Indian School Rd	open
Preferred Water & Ice	Dessert	Dessert	5127 W Indian School Rd # 119	open
Presto Pizza and Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	5127 W Indian School Rd	open
Pretty&Baked Studio	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4834 W Glenrosa Ave	open
Pupusas Doña Mari	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	5889 W Indian School Rd	open
Purple Turtle	Bar	Burgers · American	4105 N 51st Ave	open
Rainbow Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	5001 W Indian School Rd	open
Rainbow Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Sandwiches · Bakery	5045 W Thomas Rd #151	open
Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	5301 West Indian School Road	open
Raspados El Zalate	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	5887 W Indian School Rd	open
Raspados Imperial	Dessert	Dessert · Breakfast	4344 W Indian School Rd	open
Roma Cucina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	4434 W Thomas Rd Apt 15	open
Salsitas Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3827 N 43rd Ave	open
Senior Sushini	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	4324 W Indian School Rd	open
Sizzler	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5060 W Indian School Rd	open
Sonora Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	4333 W Thomas Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	5127 W Indian School Rd Ste 115b	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5250 West Indian School Road	open
Sushilonn	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4517 W Catalina Dr	open
Ta Carbon Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2929 N 43rd Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	4304 W Indian School Rd	open
Tacos Los Changuitos LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5035 W Camelback Rd	open
Tacos Y Mariscos Los Socios	Food truck	Mexican	4312 W Osborn Rd	open
Takos Pikachu	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4617 W Indian School Rd	open
Taqueria el trompo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4434 W Thomas Rd	open
The Habit Burger Grill The Habit Burger Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	5110 W. Indian School Rd.	open
Tokyo Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	4105 N 51st Ave	open
Tortas Paquime Tortas Paquime	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4344 W Indian School Rd #1	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	5250 W Indian School Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5225 W. Indian School Rd.	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	5215 W Indian School Rd Ste 103	open
Yass Grubb Shack	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	4002 N 43rd Ave	open
Sushi Patron	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	5301 W Indian School Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	39	34	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	37	32	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	41	34	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1997	39	32	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1998	43	37	8	23	5	5	NAICS1997
1999	41	35	9	21	4	5	NAICS1997
2000	48	41	10	25	5	6	NAICS1997
2001	47	39	12	24	2	6	NAICS1997
2002	42	36	11	22	3	4	NAICS1997
2003	45	38	12	23	2	4	NAICS2002
2004	42	36	13	22	—	4	NAICS2002
2005	42	36	12	22	—	4	NAICS2002
2006	41	37	14	21	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	41	36	13	20	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	40	33	13	17	—	4	NAICS2007
2009	44	37	12	22	—	4	NAICS2007
2010	42	35	10	22	—	4	NAICS2007
2011	38	33	9	20	1	4	NAICS2007
2012	38	33	6	21	2	4	NAICS2012
2013	39	34	6	21	3	4	NAICS2012
2014	37	32	7	17	3	4	NAICS2012
2015	40	36	9	19	4	3	NAICS2012
2016	42	38	12	19	4	3	NAICS2012
2017	43	38	10	21	4	4	NAICS2017
2018	44	40	10	23	4	3	NAICS2017
2019	51	46	12	28	3	3	NAICS2017
2020	47	41	8	27	4	3	NAICS2017
2021	49	44	9	30	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	51	44	9	30	4	3	NAICS2022
2023	54	47	13	29	4	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 85031. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
85019	1.8 mi	18	2023
85035	2.3 mi	43	2023
85033	2.7 mi	78	2023
85017	2.7 mi	54	2023
85301	2.8 mi	89	2023
85015	3.9 mi	66	2023
85009	4.1 mi	44	2023
85303	4.2 mi	17	2023
85043	4.6 mi	35	2023
85013	4.9 mi	58	2023
85051	4.9 mi	62	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.