BMIE Market 85043

Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	41,331 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,564 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,707 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±856 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	30,560 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,443 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$78,257 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,171 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	30.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,697 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±125 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$343,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,428 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	20.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	35 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85043
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+94.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+400.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+483.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	39 (range 34–45) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.2 per year, r² 0.76) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	84 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85043. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.76, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.4	79	40%	+31.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81.9	82	35%	+28.7
Market Momentum Score	83.8	84	25%	+21.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	41,331	94	40%	+37.8
Median household income (ACS)	78,257	60	40%	+23.9
Households (ACS)	11,707	89	20%	+17.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	94.4	90	35%	+31.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.5	78	25%	+19.6
Population (ACS)	41,331	94	20%	+18.9
Median household income (ACS)	78,257	60	20%	+12.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.7	75	50%	+37.3
10-year restaurant growth	94.4	90	30%	+27.0
20-year restaurant growth	400	98	20%	+19.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (113)

By cuisine

Mexican 21 · Bakery 11 · Burgers 11 · American 9 · Coffee 9 · Sandwiches 8 · Dessert 7 · Latin American (other) 7 · Juice / smoothies 6 · Pizza 6 · Asian 5 · Hot dogs 4 · Seafood 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · African 1 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 61 · Quick service 42 · Food truck 16 · Bakery 13 · Dessert 9 · Café 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Bar 4 · Other 3 · Casual dining 2 · Catering 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
202 & Buckeye Whataburger	Quick service		6000 West Buckeye Road	open
83rd Lower Buckeye Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2617 S 83rd Ave	open
Alpha Express Logistics	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7400 W Buckeye Rd	open
Antigua Bakery	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	8240 W Lower Buckeye Rd Ste 105	open
Antojitos Ay Wey!	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	7435 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Arby's	Quick service		7610 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Arizona CakeScapes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	7627 W Illini St	open
Arreburro Burritos y Quesaguisados	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	8240 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Asadero Caborca Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	6705 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Bird Dog Veggie Foods Delivery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African	4303 W Van Buren St #1	open
Boba Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	1075 N 51st Ave	open
Bubbies Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5720 W Jefferson St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	350 North 67th Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	7545 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Cafe Valley Bakery Inc	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	7000 W Buckeye Rd	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service	Burgers · American	1202 N 51st Ave	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks and Wings Charleys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	7575 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	7575 W Lower Buckeye Road	open
China Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	7710 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Cocos Costa alegre	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		400 N 67th Ave	open
Curry Cartel Indian Food Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	3835 South 67th Ave	open
Curry Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1201 N 54th Ave Ste 124	open
Danny's Diner Express	Quick service		6741 W Latham St	open
Del Taco	Quick service		7665 W. Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Dogos Guadalupe	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	6330 W Van Buren St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	7710 West Lower Buckeye #10	open
Doritas Tacos	Quick service		5740 W Buckeye Rd	open
Dunkin	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	4302 W Buckeye Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1025 N 67th Ave	open
Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2617 S 83rd Ave	open
El Buen Comer	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	6445 W Van Buren St	open
El Hermano Tacos y Tortas	Food truck · Catering		7840 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
El New Yorican	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	7840 w lower buckeye rd behind grace walk church	open
Emerson Fry Bread Foodtruck	Food truck		4501 W Van Buren St	open
Filiberto's Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1501 N 75th Ave	open
Filiberto's Mexican Food Filibertos	Quick service	Mexican	2750 South 75th Avenue	open
Filiberto's Mexican Food	Quick service	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1075 N 51st Ave	open
Food Truck Feeds	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		4501 W Van Buren St	open
Hotdogs La Mochila	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	7836 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Hotdogs like Sonora	Food truck · Quick service	Hot dogs	1209 S 51st Ave	open
IHOP IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	1230 N 51st Ave	open
J.r. Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1075 N 51st Ave	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		1125 N. 51st Ave.	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		1075 N 67th Ave	open
Jake Break Cafe and Market	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	Driver's Lounge, Swift Phoenix Terminal, 2200 South 75th Avenue Building 9	open
Joe's Cake Collection	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2827 S 68th Ave	open
J’s Smashed Burgers	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		7827 W Globe Ave	open
KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2750 S 75th Ave	open
King Chips Phx	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3835 S 67th Ave	open
Kings Food Mart	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	6440 W Van Buren St	open
La Carreta Taco Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7840 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
La Carreta Taco Grill	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	8240 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Las Tres Patrancas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7710 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	420 S 53rd Ave Ste 101	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7435 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Long Wong's Tuscano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Asian	7625 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Los Parceros del Sabor	Food truck		7840 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Los Valle Cocina Mexicana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	8240 W Lower Buckeye Rd Ste 103	open
Lower Buckeye & 75th Ave Salad and Go	Quick service		7560 W Lower Buckeye Rd, Phoenix, AZ 85043	open
Mariscos 687 Ya Te La Sabes.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Mexican	6209 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Mariscos DelPacifico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood	6020 W Buckeye Rd	open
Mariscos Vizcarra	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2822 South 67th Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1532 N 51st Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6650 West Van Buren Street	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7575 W Lower Buckeye, Walmart	open
Mothers Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		5760 W Buckeye Rd	open
N C Silva	Bar		7710 W Lower Buckeye Rd Ste 107	open
Palermos Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2620 S 83rd Ave	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	7630 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8240 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Pardon My Cheesesteak	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1230 N 51st Ave	open
Perfordmance Food Group	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		455 S 75th Ave	open
PFS Distribution	Bakery	American · Bakery	455 S 75th Ave	open
Philly Steaks & Burgers Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	1025 N 67th Ave Ste 5	open
Pizza Patron Pizza Patrón	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7625 W Lower Buckeye Rd Ste 155	open
Port of Subs	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1075 N 51st Ave 101	open
Pupusas Transiteñas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	3032 South 67th Ave	open
Queso Good	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Food truck · Catering	Sandwiches · Mexican · Hot dogs · Burgers · American	4501 W Van Buren St	open
Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1525 North 51st Avenue	open
Rucrazy Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee		open
Salad and Go Salad and Go	Quick service · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	7560 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Samurai Sam's Samurai Sam's Teriyaki Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	5340 W Buckeye Rd	open
Schwan Food Co	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2849 S 49th Ave	open
Sebas Lemonade & Snacks	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	7840 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Señor Chelada Tacos y Mariscos	Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Juice / smoothies	6644 W Buckeye Rd	open
Siderno Italian Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	5140 W Van Buren St	open
Silva's Grill N Still	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	7710 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Sky Blue Digital LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		7225 W Roosevelt St	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5021 W Mcdowell	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	4949 W Buckeye Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7625 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2632 S 83rd Ave Ste 108	open
Sunset Point	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4418 S 69th Ave	open
Sweet Cream Donuts	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Bakery	7435 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	7520 W. Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1220 North 51st Ave	open
Tacos Cheche	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		2605 S 83rd Ave	open
Tacos La Lomita	Food truck	Mexican · Latin American (other)	7430 W Van Buren St	open
Tacos Tonas	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	69th Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Taqueria Miranda	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Mexican	6915 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Tenderfix By Noah Schnapp	Quick service		1230 N 51st Ave	open
The Meltdown	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches · Mexican	6700 West Latham	open
Unlimited Baking Ingredients	Bakery	Bakery	54 N 45th Ave Ste A	open
Venue Lounge Reception Hall	Bar		131 S 57th Ave	open
Waffle House	Quick service		1237 Ave,N. 59Th	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	7575 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1475 N 51st Ave	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7530 W Lower Buckeye Rd	open
Zona Pho (83rd Ave)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	2632 S 83rd Ave #112	open
Churros Don Lencho	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	7615 W Lower Buckeye Rd	closed
Picosito Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	8240 W Lower Buckeye Rd Ste 103	closed
Safe Auto Sanitizing	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2632 S 83rd Ave # 100-185	closed
Stine Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1125 N 51st Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	12	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	15	11	5	6	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	16	12	6	6	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	15	11	5	6	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	14	8	3	5	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	12	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	13	8	3	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	14	8	3	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	15	9	4	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	25	21	5	15	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	26	20	3	16	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	30	24	4	19	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	28	21	4	17	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	27	20	4	16	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	24	17	4	13	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	25	18	4	14	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	29	22	6	15	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	31	25	7	18	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	32	26	6	19	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	36	30	6	23	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	37	30	7	22	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	37	31	6	24	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	35	30	6	23	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	34	30	6	22	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	35	29	5	22	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	42	35	5	27	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 85043. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
85035	2.7 mi	43	2023
85009	4.0 mi	44	2023
85033	4.3 mi	78	2023
85031	4.6 mi	47	2023
85353	4.7 mi	37	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.