BMIE Market 85035
Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 53,424 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,348 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 15,676 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±865 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 47,486 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 14,961 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $60,440 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,397 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 27.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,481 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±55 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $275,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,739 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 43 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85035 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +4.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +22.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +72.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +186.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 48 (range 45–52) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.74) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85035. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.74, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 70.0 | 70 | 40% | +28.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 68.5 | 69 | 35% | +24.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 65.3 | 65 | 25% | +16.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 53,424 | 98 | 40% | +39.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 60,440 | 30 | 40% | +12.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 15,676 | 94 | 20% | +18.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 22.9 | 65 | 35% | +22.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 8.1 | 80 | 25% | +20.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 53,424 | 98 | 20% | +19.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 60,440 | 30 | 20% | +6.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 4.9 | 61 | 50% | +30.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 22.9 | 65 | 30% | +19.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 72 | 75 | 20% | +15.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (99)
By cuisine
Mexican 31 · Latin American (other) 15 · American 13 · Seafood 8 · Asian 6 · Burgers 6 · Chinese 6 · Pizza 6 · Coffee 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Bakery 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Breakfast 3 · Dessert 3 · Hot dogs 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · BBQ 2 · Hawaiian / Pacific 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 69 · Quick service 24 · Dessert 8 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Delivery-focused 3 · Buffet 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75th & Encanto Whataburger | Quick service | 2040 N 75TH AVE | open | |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Bar | American · Burgers | 2651 N 75th Ave | open |
| Best Wok Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 5030 W McDowell Rd #50 | open |
| Big Rice Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 5132 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Bistro Brunch Cocina Mexicana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) · Breakfast | 5950 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Black Rock Coffee Bar Black Rock Coffee Bar | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2526 N 75th Ave | open |
| Blimpie | Other | Sandwiches | 1611 N 83rd Ave | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5102 West Mcdowell Road | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1610 N 83rd Ave | open |
| Cabellos L.l.c | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2837 N 75th Ave Ste 6 | open | |
| Cake Lady Studios | Bakery · Catering | Bakery | 5601 W McDowell Rd apt 2002 2002 | open |
| California Burger & Breakfast Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining | Seafood · American | 5142 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Carpenters Union Hall | Restaurant (service type not stated) | open | ||
| Cheese King Italian | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4625 W McDowell Rd | open | |
| Chili's Grill & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2612 N. 75th Ave. | open | |
| Chuchulucos Snack | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 6305 W Mcdowell Rd Ste 3 | open |
| Chuchulukos y aguachiles El Sinaloa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2828 N 51st Ave | open |
| Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 6730 W. McDowell Road | open |
| Churros Estilo Nayarit | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Latin American (other) · Bakery | 2813 N 55th Ave | open |
| Cicis Phoenix | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2270 N 75th Ave Ste 101 | open |
| Con Sabor a Sinaloa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4815 W Encanto Blvd | open |
| Culichitown | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2151 N 83rd Ave | open | |
| Denny's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1401 N 75th Ave | open | |
| DIABLITOS LOCOS RASPADOS Y TORTAS | Dessert | Mexican · Latin American (other) · Dessert | 2201 N 83rd Ave | open |
| Diana's Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Latin American (other) · Dessert | 5010 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Dogos El Wero | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7208 W Encanto Blvd | open | |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 5030 W Mcdowell Rd Ste 51 | open |
| El Chicharrin Hot Dogs | Quick service | Hot dogs · Mexican | 6258 W Almeria Rd | open |
| El Guero Canelo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 5131 W McDowell Rd | open |
| El Jardin Phoenix | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2545 N 83rd Ave | open |
| El Mañanero | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2151 N 83rd Ave | open |
| El Migos Water-n-ice | Quick service | 4340 W McDowell Rd | open | |
| El Mr. Camaron | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5950 W McDowell Rd | open |
| El Nuevo Altata | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Seafood · Latin American (other) | 7829 W Thomas Rd | open |
| El Pollo Loco El Pollo Loco | Quick service | Mexican · Chicken / wings | 5009 W McDowell Rd | open |
| El Pueblo Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2270 N 75th Ave Ste 101 | open |
| Garrafa Leóncitos | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Mexican · Juice / smoothies | 2650 N 58th Ln | open |
| Golden Thai Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 1820 N 75th Ave | open |
| Greatchina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 2651 N 75th Ave # AVE-1209 | open |
| Herb 'N Grinds | Coffee shop · Café · Bar | Coffee | 5950 W McDowell Rd #103 | open |
| Hooters | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2820 N 75th Ave | open |
| IHOP IHOP | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 2529 N 75th Ave | open |
| It's Just Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2612 N. 75th Ave. | open |
| Jack's Hot Dogs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 2020 N 75th Ave | open |
| Jb's Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2612 N 75th Ave | open | |
| Kahu Hawaiian BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · BBQ | 7509 W Encanto Blvd | open |
| La Casa de La Birria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 5930 W McDowell Rd | open |
| La Flama Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1820 N 75th Ave 108 | open |
| La realeza ice cream | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 7515 W Encanto Blvd | open |
| Las Cazuelas Mexican & Seafood Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5150 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Lin's Grand Buffet Lin's Grand Buffet | Buffet | Asian · Chinese | 7406 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Lins Grand Buffett 7460 W. Mcdowell Rd | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 7460 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4340 W McDowell Rd Ste 6 | open |
| LongHorn Steakhouse LongHorn Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · American | 2475 N 75th Ave | open |
| Los Armandos Asadero Y Mariscos Real Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Seafood | 5820 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Los Clamatos DeTito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 6639 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Mariscos El Viejon Phx | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Seafood | 5150 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Mariscos Mi Nuevo Nayarit | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Mexican | 6740 W McDowell Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2020 N 75th Ave | open |
| Mi Sazón Sinaloense | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4342 W Encanto Blvd | open |
| Mi Tierra Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 6740 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Munchie Madness | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7205 W McDowell Rd #1107 | open |
| Oasis Crossroads Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American | 5030 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Olive Garden Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 2626 N 75th Ave | open |
| Ono Hawaiian BBQ Ono Hawaiian BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Hawaiian / Pacific | 6725 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 5930 W McDowell Rd Ste 101 | open |
| Pescaderia Mariscos De Guaymas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 5030 W McDowell Rd #35 | open |
| Pho Bowl Vietnamese Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 1820 N 75th Ave | open |
| Polibertos Taco Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 5021 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Q BANO | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 7205 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Raspados Tropical | Dessert | 5930 W Mcdowell Rd Ste 105 | open | |
| Reconciling Pentecostal Assembly Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2600 N 59th Ave | open | |
| Red Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 2810 N 75th Ave | open |
| Restaurante Las Cazuelas Mexican Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Seafood | 8150 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Sainz Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6740 W McDowell Rd | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 6711 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Starbucks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Pizza · Coffee | 7409 W Virginia Ave | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Breakfast | 1610 N 75th Ave | open |
| Starwok Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2201 N 83rd Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5930 W McDowell Rd Suite 107 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1610 N 75th Avenue Suite 106 | open |
| Sushinola Roll | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 5930 W McDowell Rd #103 | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 1860 N 75th Ave | open |
| TacoMariscos La Gordies | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused | 6429 W Palm Ln | open | |
| Tacos and Dogos La Zaina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2102 N 50th Ave | open |
| Tacos Los Vales | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 5124 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Tacos Mi Ranchito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2201 N 83rd Ave | open |
| Tacos Y Birria Obregon | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Mexican · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 5930 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Taqueria EL Compadre | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 5010 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Tenderfix By Noah Schnapp | Quick service | 2529 N 75th Ave | open | |
| Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 1616 N 75th Ave | open |
| The Stoner Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Bar | 83rd ave and McDowell | open | |
| Tortas El Tri | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2837 N 75th Ave Ste 6 | open |
| Tortas Manantial Tortas Manantial | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Sandwiches · Latin American (other) | 5950 W McDowell Rd #103-104 | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 2020 N 75th Ave | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2550 N. 75th Ave. | open |
| Whataburger Whataburger | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2040 N 75TH AVE | open |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 1610 N 75th Ave, Ste. 110 | open |
| Ysen Usa Corporation Dba The Clothing Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2020 N 75th Ave Ste 16 | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 16 | 15 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 15 | 14 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 16 | 15 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 17 | 16 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 20 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 20 | 19 | 11 | 8 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 22 | 20 | 11 | 9 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 23 | 22 | 11 | 11 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 24 | 23 | 10 | 12 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 27 | 25 | 11 | 13 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 28 | 26 | 9 | 16 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 30 | 28 | 10 | 16 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 33 | 31 | 12 | 16 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 36 | 34 | 13 | 18 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 38 | 36 | 15 | 17 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 39 | 37 | 15 | 17 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 41 | 38 | 16 | 18 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 35 | 33 | 14 | 17 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 35 | 34 | 12 | 18 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 38 | 35 | 12 | 19 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 34 | 33 | 12 | 17 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 38 | 37 | 11 | 20 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 38 | 37 | 13 | 18 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 41 | 40 | 13 | 21 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 43 | 41 | 13 | 21 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 45 | 44 | 13 | 24 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 43 | 42 | 13 | 24 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 46 | 42 | 14 | 23 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 44 | 41 | 14 | 22 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 47 | 43 | 16 | 22 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |