BMIE Market 85037
Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 54,608 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,580 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 15,943 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±663 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 44,771 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 14,660 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $84,016 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,627 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 30.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±92 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $330,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,535 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 8.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85037 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 5.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +181.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +933.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 33 (range 29–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.23) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 50 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85037. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.23, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 84.8 | 85 | 40% | +33.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 67.5 | 68 | 35% | +23.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 49.5 | 50 | 25% | +12.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 54,608 | 98 | 40% | +39.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 84,016 | 67 | 40% | +26.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 15,943 | 95 | 20% | +18.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 35% | +12.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 5.7 | 89 | 25% | +22.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 54,608 | 98 | 20% | +19.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 84,016 | 67 | 20% | +13.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 50 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 30% | +10.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 181.8 | 91 | 20% | +18.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (81)
By cuisine
Coffee 12 · Mexican 11 · American 8 · Pizza 6 · Chicken / wings 5 · Italian 5 · BBQ 4 · Hot dogs 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Bakery 2 · Chinese 2 · Hawaiian / Pacific 2 · Japanese 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · Sushi 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Dessert 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Quick service 21 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Bar 7 · Food truck 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 2 · Casual dining 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8436 - Nekter Juice Bar 99th & McDowell Nékter Juice Bar | Quick service | 1775 N 99th Ave, Ste 150 | open | |
| A Taste of Silk BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 10797 W Camelback Rd | open |
| Aleena's LemonAid Stand | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 1886 N 95th Ave | open | |
| Antar's Sports Bistro | Bar | 9611 W Camelback Rd | open | |
| Antojos Your Way | Café | Mexican · Latin American (other) · Coffee | 10720 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Asadero Pitic | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 9611 W Camelback Rd Ste 122 | open |
| ATL Wings Atl Wings Az | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 10720 W Indian School Rd | open |
| AZ Taste Buds | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10813 W Mariposa Dr | open | |
| Birrieria Obregon #3 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10720 W Indian School Rd | open | |
| Blimpie | Quick service | 8310 W Thomas Rd | open | |
| Brother's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 10720 W Indian School Rd Ste 13 | open |
| Cafecito Pecas | Coffee shop | Coffee | 2209 N 99th Ave | open |
| Camelback & 99th Ave Salad and Go | Quick service | 10017 W Camelback Rd, Phoenix AZ 85339 | open | |
| CAVA | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 1775 N. 99th Avenue | open |
| Charlie's Cafe | Café | Coffee | 3841 N 91st Ave | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle | Quick service | 9820 W Indian School Rd | open | |
| Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 9024 W Thomas Rd | open |
| Don's NY Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 9971 W Camelback Rd #113 | open |
| Dunkin' | Coffee shop | Coffee | 9140 W Thomas Rd Ste B-101 | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Dessert | 1615 N 99th Ave | open |
| Eat & Greet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10720 W Indian School Rd | open | |
| Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels | Quick service | 9770 West Indian School Road | open | |
| El Baja Fish | Food truck | 2033 N 99th Ave | open | |
| El Mexibachi | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2209 N 99th Ave | open | |
| Fear Farms Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2209 N 99th Ave | open | |
| Filiberto's Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2955 N 91st Ave | open |
| Food Truck - Papa D's Hots | Quick service | 8365 W Camelback Rd | open | |
| Fufu's Tacos and Burritos | Food truck | Mexican | 9025 W Camelback Rd | open |
| G's Cheesesteak And Hotdog | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 10328 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Good Vibes Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 5100 N 99th Ave | open |
| Gorditas El General | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3022 N 85th Ln | open |
| Guillermos tacos y hotdogs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Hot dogs | 8302 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Gus's New York Pizza & Bar | Bar | Pizza · Italian | 2755 N 91st Ave | open |
| Hawaiian Bros Island Grill Hawaiian Bros Island Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific | 9802 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Hey Papirrin Mariscos Y Tacos Al Mesquite | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 10540 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Ichiban | Quick service | Japanese · Sushi | open | |
| In-N-Out Burger In-N-Out Burger | Quick service | Burgers · American | 9585 W Camelback Rd | open |
| Isiah’s Chamoy Treats | Dessert | 8749 W Montecito Ave | open | |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 9920 W Indian School Rd | open | |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 9050 W Thomas Rd | open | |
| Jessie’s House Pizza Phx Jessie's house pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Chicken / wings | 8725 W Roanoke Ave | open |
| Jicky Jacks Bar and Billiards | Bar | American | 9611 W Camelback Rd | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 10045 W Camelback Rd Ste. 101 | open |
| JJs Bar and Billiard | Casual dining · Bar | American · BBQ | 9611 W Camelback Rd | open |
| La Pasadita Hot Dogs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 10650 W Indian School Rd | open |
| La Santa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Seafood | 2759 N 99th Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 9120 W Thomas Rd | open |
| Mimisky Dogos y Mas. | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | Hot dogs | 9200 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1775 N 99th Ave | open |
| Mr Leno | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 8430 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Ono Hawaiian BBQ Ono Hawaiian BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Hawaiian / Pacific | 4950 N 99th Ave | open |
| Palermos Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 9024 W Thomas Rd | open |
| Roman's County Line | Bar | 10540 W Indian School Rd | open | |
| Salad and Go Salad and Go | Quick service · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 10017 W Camelback Rd | open |
| Salsitas Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 10328 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Sam's Club Bakery Sam's Club | Bakery | Bakery | 8340 W McDowell Rd | open |
| Sauced & Loaded Chicken Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 10720 W Indian School Rd Ste 15 | open |
| Scooter's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 10755 W Camelback Rd | open |
| Skybox Sports Network | Bar | open | ||
| Song Lynn Vietnamese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 2755 N 91st Ave | open |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | American | 10210 West Indian School Road | open |
| Spice Queens LLC | Food truck | American | Phoenix Az | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 2815 N. 91st Avenue #103 | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 9925 W Camelback Rd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café | Japanese · Coffee · Sushi | 9020 W Thomas Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 9014 W Thomas Rd Suite 108 | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 4850 N. 99th Ave | open |
| Tacos Amaya | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8921 W Thomas Rd | open | |
| Tacos Chinola Avondale | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 10650 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Taste My City | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 10720 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Thai Plumerias | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 10938 W College Dr | open |
| The 101 Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 5100 N 99th Ave #105 | open |
| The Crofton | Bar | 9200 W McDowell Rd | open | |
| Villa Grande Pizza Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9024 W Thomas Rd Ste 103 | open | |
| VN Boba Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies | 10720 W Indian School Rd | open |
| W Camelback Rd Scooter's Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 10755 W Camelback Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 9905 W. Camelback Rd. | open |
| Wong's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 10540 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Yan's Chinese Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 9140 W Thomas Rd | open |
| Zaxbys Zaxby's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 9322 W Thomas Rd | open |
| Warsaw Village Corporation | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 10720 W Indian School Rd Ste 79 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 10 | 10 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 7 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 6 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 9 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 15 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 19 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 26 | 24 | 8 | 13 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 25 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 27 | 23 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 29 | 25 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 31 | 27 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 31 | 27 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 35 | 31 | 8 | 16 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 31 | 27 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 31 | 27 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 32 | 28 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 33 | 28 | 6 | 15 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 36 | 31 | 9 | 14 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 35 | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 34 | 29 | 7 | 16 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 34 | 28 | 7 | 15 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 40 | 33 | 8 | 18 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 40 | 31 | 7 | 19 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2022 |