BMIE Market 92603
Orange County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 18,387 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,811 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,176 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±498 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 20,184 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,937 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $173,094 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,993 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $3,392 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±166 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,931,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±259,137 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 10.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 92603 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 10.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +19.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -13.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +733.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +2,400.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 15 (range 8–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.8 per year, r² 0.36) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 92603. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.36, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 87.1 | 87 | 40% | +34.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55.8 | 56 | 35% | +19.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 63.1 | 63 | 25% | +15.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 18,387 | 80 | 40% | +32.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 173,094 | 98 | 40% | +39.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,176 | 80 | 20% | +16.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -13.8 | 16 | 35% | +5.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 13.6 | 58 | 25% | +14.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 18,387 | 80 | 20% | +16.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 173,094 | 98 | 20% | +19.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 19.1 | 77 | 50% | +38.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -13.8 | 16 | 30% | +4.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 733.3 | 99 | 20% | +19.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (31)
By cuisine
Asian 7 · Coffee 4 · American 3 · Italian 3 · Korean 3 · Mediterranean 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Thai 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Bar 4 · Café 4 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bakery 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bacchus Bar and Bistro | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 6735 Quail Hill Pkwy | open |
| BB.Q Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · Chicken / wings · Asian | 6745 Quail Hill Pkwy | open |
| Blueberry Hill Cafe @ The JCC Blueberry Hill Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 1 Federation Way | open |
| Caffe Pinguini | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Italian | 6507 Quail Hill Parkway | open |
| Chill Pistachio's Frozen Treats | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 6785 Quail Hill Pkwy | open |
| Claudio Ruiz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · American | 6721 Quail Hill Pkwy | open |
| Cozy Pine | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 6735 Quail Hill Pkwy | open | |
| Daphne's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 6711 Quail Hill Pkwy | open |
| Dosirak Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · Asian | 6711 Quail Hill Pkwy | open |
| Hanshin Pocha Irvine | Bar | Korean | 6725 Quail Hill Pkwy | open |
| Irvine Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 6507 Quail Hill Pkwy | open |
| Kinaree Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Breakfast · Asian | 6741 Quail Hill Pkwy | open |
| Mag's Donuts and Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 6781 Quail Hill Pkwy | open |
| Marie Callenders | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 147 Tapestry | open | |
| Mariners Church Cafe | Café | Coffee | 5001 Newport Coast Dr | open |
| Mariners Global Cafe & Bookstore | Café | Coffee | 5001 Newport Coast Dr | open |
| Nalu's Hawaiian Fish Grill & Tutu's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6741 Quail Hill Pkwy | open | |
| Natraj's Tandoori Natraj Indian Bistro & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 6751 Quail Hill Pkwy | open |
| Nekter Juice Bar Nekter Juice Bar | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 6793 Quail Hill Pkwy | open |
| O Fine Japanese Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 6731 Quail Hill Pkwy | open |
| Oliver's Trattoria | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 6511 Quail Hill Pkwy | open |
| Pick Up Stix | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 6711 Quail Hill Pkwy | open |
| Red Soles Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 3230 Oakdale Road, Paso Robles | open | |
| Sharky's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 6725 Quail Hill Pkwy | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 6783 Quail Hill Pkwy | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 6745 Quail Hill Pkwy | open |
| T.j.lam & Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6715 Quail Hill Pkwy | open | |
| Tea Maru | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 6785 Quail Hill Pkwy | open |
| Thai Bamboo Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 6715 Quail Hill Pkwy | open |
| Two Left Forks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6511 Quail Hill Pkwy | open | |
| Wraps Xpress | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1997 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 19 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 21 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 22 | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 29 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 32 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 24 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 22 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 26 | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 21 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 22 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 21 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 21 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 27 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 30 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |