BMIE Market 92657
Orange County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 9,920 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±791 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,632 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±263 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 9,741 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,159 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $185,042 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33,886 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 46.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $3,501 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $2,000,001 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 8.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 92657 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 15.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +5.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +233.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +1,900.0% DERIVED: 1999 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 21 (range 18–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 55 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 92657. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 81.6 | 82 | 40% | +32.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 60.5 | 61 | 35% | +21.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 54.9 | 55 | 25% | +13.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 9,920 | 71 | 40% | +28.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 185,042 | 98 | 40% | +39.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,632 | 70 | 20% | +13.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 5.3 | 50 | 35% | +17.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 20.2 | 37 | 25% | +9.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 9,920 | 71 | 20% | +14.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 185,042 | 98 | 20% | +19.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 55 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 5.3 | 50 | 30% | +15.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 233.3 | 95 | 20% | +19.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (35)
By cuisine
American 9 · Coffee 7 · Bakery 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Italian 3 · Asian 2 · Japanese 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Seafood 2 · Sushi 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Bar 6 · Café 5 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Quick service 2 · Dessert 1 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Crystal Cove | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Seafood | 7864 E Coast Hwy | open |
| Babette's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7962 E Pacific Coast Hwy | open |
| Beachcomber Cafe - Crystal Cove | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Coffee | 15 Via Cristallo | open |
| Bluefin | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 7952 E Pacific Coast Hwy | open |
| Caffè & Market | Bakery | Bakery | 22701 Pelican Hill Rd S | open |
| Coliseum Pool & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 22701 S Pelican Hill Rd | open |
| Crystal Cove Shake Shack | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · American · Burgers | 7703 E Coast Hwy | open |
| Javier's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 7832 E Pch | open |
| Javier's Restaurant - Newport Beach Javier's - Newport Beach | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Spanish / tapas | 7832 Pacific Coast Hwy | open |
| La Vista Pool Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 23000 Newport Coast Dr | open |
| Marche Moderne | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French · European | 7862 Pacific Coast Hwy | open |
| Mastro's Ocean Club Mastro's Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Seafood · American | 8112 East Coast Hwy | open |
| Menchie's | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 21109 Newport Coast Dr, Ste 21111 | open |
| Modo Mio Newport Coast | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Italian | 7946 E Coast Hwy | open |
| Mustard Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 21137 Newport Coast Dr | open |
| Mutt Lynch's | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 21137 Newport Coast Dr | open | |
| Newport Fusion Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 21135 Newport Coast Dr | open |
| Nexx Burger Catering 1, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 21163 Newport Coast Dr PMB 484 | open | |
| Parakeet Cafe - Newport Beach Parakeet Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls | 7972 Pacific Coast Hwy | open |
| Pasta Pomodoro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 21133 Newport Coast Dr | open |
| Pelican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 22800 S Pelican Hill Rd | open |
| Pressed Juicery Pressed Juicery | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 7922 E Pacific Coast Hwy | open |
| Settebello Pizzeria Napoletana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7864 E Coast Hwy | open |
| Sharky's Woodfired Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Mexican · Healthy / salads / bowls | 21119 Newport Coast Dr | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 7958 Pacific Coast Hwy (Crystal Cove &, Pch, Newport Co) | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 23000 Newport Coast Dr | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 21181 Newport Coast Dr | open |
| Tea Time Renaissance | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 22701 Pelican Hill Rd S | open |
| The Beachcomber | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 15 Crystal Cove | open | |
| Toms Jr Burger Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 21163 Newport Coast Dr PMB 484 | open | |
| Zov's Zov's Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Mediterranean · Bakery | 21123 Newport Coast Dr | open |
| Zov's Cafe Bakery & Bar | Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 21123 Newport Coast Dr | open |
| Zov's Newport Coast | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 21123 Newport Coast Dr | open |
| Zpizza zpizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Vegetarian · Italian | 7956 Pacific Coast Hwy | open |
| Politis Burger Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 21163 Newport Coast Dr PMB 484 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 18 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 19 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 19 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 21 | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 23 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 22 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 21 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 21 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 23 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 22 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 21 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 23 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |