BMIE Market 94519
Contra Costa County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 19,058 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,093 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,043 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±479 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 18,453 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,246 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $122,418 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,436 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,325 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±215 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $783,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,603 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 4.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94519 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +9.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +21.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +27.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +43.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 25 (range 22–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.36) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94519. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.36, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 84.6 | 85 | 40% | +33.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 72.8 | 73 | 35% | +25.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 62.9 | 63 | 25% | +15.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 19,058 | 81 | 40% | +32.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 122,418 | 91 | 40% | +36.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,043 | 79 | 20% | +15.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 21.1 | 64 | 35% | +22.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.1 | 64 | 25% | +16.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 19,058 | 81 | 20% | +16.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 122,418 | 91 | 20% | +18.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 9.5 | 67 | 50% | +33.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 21.1 | 64 | 30% | +19.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 27.8 | 51 | 20% | +10.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (46)
By cuisine
American 12 · Pizza 6 · Asian 5 · Coffee 4 · Mexican 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Chinese 3 · Italian 3 · Japanese 3 · Middle Eastern 3 · Dessert 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Casual dining 8 · Café 4 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abas Hamidi Afghan cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Middle Eastern · American | 4115 Concord Blvd | open |
| Back Yard Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3399 Clayton Rd | open |
| Bambinos Restaurant and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Pizza · Italian · American | 1895 Farm Bureau Rd | open |
| Barney's Hickory Pit | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 3446 Clayton Rd | open |
| Big Country Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Chicken / wings | 3399 Clayton Rd | open |
| Burger King | Quick service | 2689 Clayton Rd | open | |
| Cedar Market & Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 3509 Clayton Rd | open |
| Charbird | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 1895 Farm Bureau Rd | open |
| Cinco De Mayo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4115 Concord Blvd | open |
| Concord Tap House | Casual dining · Bar | 3513 Clayton Rd | open | |
| Digger's Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1895 Farm Bureau Rd | open |
| Epidemic Ales | Brewery / taproom | 1829 6th St | open | |
| Grill & chill cafe | Casual dining · Bar | Burgers · American | 4115 Concord Blvd | open |
| Hillside Dawgz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3503 Clayton Rd | open | |
| Izakaya An | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 3501 Clayton Rd Ste a | open |
| King's Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 3413 Chestnut Ave | open |
| Loards Ice Cream and Coffee | Dessert | Dessert | 4115 Concord Blvd | open |
| Los Tacos De Pancho | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2699 Clayton Rd | open |
| Luigi's Italian Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering | Sandwiches · Italian | 2709 Clayton Rd | open |
| Mann's Chinese Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 4115 Concord Blvd #52 | open |
| Min's Kitchen | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 3505 Clayton Rd | open |
| Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American | 3501 Clayton Rd | open |
| My Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 3501 Clayton Rd | open |
| NOLA Po'Boy and Gumbo Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 3606 Willow Pass Rd | open |
| ODESSA Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 3474 Clayton Rd | open |
| P-Za Pie & Greek Kitchen Pizza Twist - Bakersfield, CA | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Vegetarian · Italian | 4115 Concord Blvd | open |
| Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2705 Clayton Rd | open |
| Parma Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 3521 Clayton Rd | open |
| Patty's Original | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4115 Concord Blvd | open | |
| Quickly | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Vietnamese · Juice / smoothies | 4115 Concord Blvd | open |
| Red Dragon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3491 Clayton Rd | open |
| Round Table Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3624 Willow Pass Rd | open |
| Sam's Kebob & Gyros Mediterranean Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 1895 Farm Bureau Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 4125 Concord Blvd Dana Plaza | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 4115 Concord Blvd # 4125 | open |
| Taqueria Autlan | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Mexican | 3535 Clayton Rd | open |
| Taqueria Carnitas Tijuana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3535 Clayton Rod | open |
| The Cheese Steak Shop The Cheese Steak Shop Corp. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 3478 Clayton Rd | open |
| The Chinese Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3426 Clayton Rd | open |
| The Corner Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 3606 Willow Pass Rd | open |
| The Philleigh Truck | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | Pizza | California | open |
| Tolo market & restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 3503 Clayton Rd | open |
| Wicked Mirage Hookah Lounge | Bar | 3425 Chestnut Ave | open | |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café | Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Asian | 2600 Willow Pass Rd | open |
| Mama Jannah's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2849 Willow Pass Rd | closed |
| Yogurt Peak | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 4115 Concord Blvd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 17 | 16 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 14 | 13 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 22 | 21 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 19 | 18 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 22 | 20 | 9 | 11 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 21 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 20 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 22 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 23 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 20 | 18 | 10 | 8 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 16 | 15 | 5 | 10 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 15 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 13 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 19 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 21 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 26 | 23 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 23 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 25 | 23 | 10 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 24 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 27 | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 26 | 23 | 9 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 25 | 22 | 9 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 26 | 23 | 9 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 26 | 23 | 12 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2022 |