BMIE Market 94598
Contra Costa County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 27,206 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,217 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,828 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±446 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 25,818 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,756 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $186,225 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,541 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 45.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,940 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±257 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,339,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±58,607 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 20.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 43 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94598 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 15.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +7.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +43.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +48.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +72.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 45 (range 39–51) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.51) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 92 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94598. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.51, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 91.5 | 92 | 40% | +36.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 77.0 | 77 | 35% | +27.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 68.2 | 68 | 25% | +17.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 92 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 27,206 | 87 | 40% | +34.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 186,225 | 99 | 40% | +39.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,828 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 43.3 | 79 | 35% | +27.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 15.8 | 50 | 25% | +12.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 27,206 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 186,225 | 99 | 20% | +19.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 7.5 | 64 | 50% | +32.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 43.3 | 79 | 30% | +23.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 48.3 | 62 | 20% | +12.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (87)
By cuisine
Coffee 17 · Bakery 10 · Sandwiches 10 · American 8 · Asian 8 · Pizza 7 · Dessert 6 · Japanese 6 · Mexican 6 · Healthy / salads / bowls 5 · Sushi 5 · Burgers 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Chinese 3 · Italian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Mediterranean 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Greek 1 · Indian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 41 · Café 12 · Quick service 11 · Bakery 10 · Coffee shop 9 · Bar 8 · Dessert 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Fast casual 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Casual dining 3 · Other 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Sweet Affair Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Sandwiches · Dessert | 1815 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Allstar Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 2054 Treat Blvd | open |
| Applebee's Grill + Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 2819 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Artie's Countrywood Lounge | Bar | 2068 Treat Blvd | open | |
| Bagel Street Cafe | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 2975 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Black Bear Diner Black Bear Diner | Casual dining | American | 700 Bancroft Rd | open |
| Burger Lounge Burger Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 2920 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Calicraft Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 2700 Mitchell Dr | open | |
| California Fish Grill California Fish Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Mexican | 2910 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | 2290 Oak Grove Rd | open | |
| Chip Cookies Chip Cookies | Dessert · Delivery-focused · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 2335 Oak Grove Rd | open |
| Clean Juice | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Juice / smoothies | 2850 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Contra Costa Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2238 Oak Grove Rd | open |
| Devil & Angel | Dessert | Dessert | 2357 Oak Grove Rd #H | open |
| Diablo Hills Management Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1551 Marchbanks Dr | open | |
| Dulce’s Antojitos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2333 Oak Grove Rd | open |
| Dynasty Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Chinese · Asian | 1841 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| European Delights | Bakery | Bakery | 2236 Oak Grove Rd # A | open |
| Evie's Hamburgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2861 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Froth & Grind | Coffee shop | Coffee | 575 Lennon Ln | open |
| Genova Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2064 Treat Blvd | open |
| Hollywood Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1815 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Ice Monster | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2230 Oak Grove Rd | open |
| It's A Grind Coffee House | Coffee shop | Coffee | 2230 Oak Grove Rd | open |
| Jack's Urban Eats- Walnut Creek Jacks Urban Eats Elk Grove | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | American · Healthy / salads / bowls | 2862 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Jade Garden Enterprises, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2979 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open | |
| Jamba Jamba | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 704 A Bancroft Rd | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1815 Ygnacio Valley Rd. Suite E | open |
| John Muir-Inpatient Rehab | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 1601 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Kinder's Meats Deli Bbq & Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 1831 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Koin Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 325 N Wiget Ln Ste 100 | open |
| Mariachi Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2054 Treat Blvd B | open |
| Mary's Pizza Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2246 Oak Grove Rd. | open |
| Mendocino Farms Mendocino Farms | Quick service · Fast casual | Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1895 Ygnacio Valley Rd #28 | open |
| Micki's Mochas | Coffee shop | Coffee | 2637 Shadelands Dr | open |
| Mike Hess Brewing Mike Hess Brewing Company North Park | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 2313 Oak Grove Rd | open | |
| MOD Pizza MOD Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls | 2353 Oak Grove Rd | open |
| MOOYAH Burgers Fries and Shakes MOOYAH Burgers, Fries & Shakes | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1815 Ygnacio Valley Rd Ste D | open |
| Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1817 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| MYO Frozen Yogurt MYO Frozen Yogurt | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2913 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| New Deli Cafe | Café | Coffee | 1640 Riviera Ave. #140 | open |
| Noah's Bagels Office | Bakery | Bakery | 2700 Ygnacio Valley Rd Ste 135 | open |
| Noah's New York Bagels Noah's Bagels | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 730 Bancroft Rd | open |
| Nqutu | Bar | 31 Amberwood Ln | open | |
| O'Brien's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 704 Bancroft Rd | open |
| Oishi japanese restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 2892 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Panda Express | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 2280 Oak Grove Rd. | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 744 Bancroft | open |
| Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2991 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Patra Indian Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 2317 Oak Grove Rd | open |
| Peet's Coffee Peet's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1835 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| PiddeG | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | open | |
| Pizzalina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2064 Treat Blvd Suite B | open |
| Plucked Chicken & Beer | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | open | |
| Quiznos | Other | Sandwiches | 2236A Oak Grove Rd | open |
| Rocco's Ristorante Pizzeria Rocco's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 2909 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Safeway Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 2800 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Shadowbrook Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 1 Meritage Ln | open | |
| Sheila’s Restaurante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | open | |
| Sichuan House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2064 Treat Blvd | open |
| Sorrento Italian Restaurant & Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2064 Treat Blvd | open |
| Sourdough & Co. Sourdough & Co. Modesto H Street | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Fast casual | Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 2361 Oak Grove Rd | open |
| Starbird Chicken | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 2849 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2856 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 1815 Ygnacio Valley Rd Unit 22 | open |
| T4 Walnut Creek | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 1815 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican · Breakfast | 2849 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Tanoshi Japanese Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 2280 Oak Grove Rd | open |
| Taqueria El Molino | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2228 Oak Grove Rd | open |
| Taqueria Pueblo Magico | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2861 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Tatsu Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1837 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Teaspoon Walnut Creek Teaspoon | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 2977 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Thai Thani restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Japanese · Asian | 2892 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| The Greenery Restaurant and Sports Bar | Bar · Casual dining | American | 1551 Marchbanks Dr | open |
| The Kebab Shop The Kebab Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 2359 Oak Grove Rd Bld H | open |
| Toyo Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 2865 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| United Bites Food Truck | Food truck | 2815 Mitchell Dr | open | |
| V&M Cafe | Café | Coffee · Sandwiches | 2637 Shadelands Dr | open |
| Walnut Creek CA #160 - Ygnacio Plaza Mooyah | Quick service | 1815 Ygnacio Valley Rd, Suite D | open | |
| Walnut Creek Rossmoor CFM | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3000 Citrus Cir | open | |
| WFM Coffee Bar | Coffee shop | Coffee | 2941 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Yalla Mediterranean | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 1813 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Yogurt Station | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2913 Ygnacio Valley Rd | open |
| Z's Cafe | Café | Coffee | 2820 Shadelands Dr Ste 100 | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Bakery · Asian | 710 Bancroft Rd | open |
| Zmi Stone, Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3075 Citrus Cir Ste 105 | open | |
| Deli Delight | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 325 N Wiget Ln | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 28 | 25 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 25 | 22 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 26 | 22 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 33 | 31 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 32 | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 36 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 38 | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 41 | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 38 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 37 | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 37 | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 36 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 41 | 35 | 14 | 15 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 34 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 33 | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 34 | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 41 | 40 | 19 | 9 | 12 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 36 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 34 | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 32 | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 39 | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 34 | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 35 | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 37 | 33 | 9 | 16 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 44 | 40 | 13 | 17 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 44 | 39 | 12 | 17 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 41 | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 41 | 35 | 10 | 17 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 49 | 42 | 10 | 21 | 11 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 50 | 43 | 8 | 21 | 14 | — | NAICS2022 |