BMIE Market 94597
Contra Costa County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 23,129 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,051 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,782 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±549 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 20,277 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,181 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $132,063 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,884 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,661 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±166 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,026,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±57,866 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 4.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94597 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 7.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +26.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +45.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +1,350.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +1,350.0% DERIVED: 2002 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 29 (range 24–33) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.44) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94597. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.44, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 88.3 | 88 | 40% | +35.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 78.6 | 79 | 35% | +27.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 84.4 | 84 | 25% | +21.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 23,129 | 84 | 40% | +33.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 132,063 | 93 | 40% | +37.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,782 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 45 | 79 | 35% | +27.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.5 | 62 | 25% | +15.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 23,129 | 84 | 20% | +16.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 132,063 | 93 | 20% | +18.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 26.1 | 82 | 50% | +40.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 45 | 79 | 30% | +23.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 1,350 | 100 | 20% | +19.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (73)
By cuisine
American 12 · Coffee 12 · Pizza 8 · Asian 7 · Sandwiches 6 · Burgers 5 · Bakery 4 · Italian 4 · Japanese 4 · Mexican 4 · Breakfast 3 · Chinese 3 · Sushi 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · French 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Indian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Peruvian 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 43 · Quick service 13 · Bar 11 · Café 11 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill and Balis Pizza and Pints | Bar | Pizza · Italian | 7011 Sunne Ln #120 | open |
| Bocobites | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French | - | open |
| Bridges Restaurant Danville | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2855 North Main Street | open |
| C-Blue Express Deli | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches · American | 2805 Jones Rd | open |
| Cafe 1277 | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Coffee · American | 1277 Treat Blvd #100 | open |
| Casa Belicoso | Bar | 2540 N Main St | open | |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 2750 N Main St | open |
| China Palace | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2932 N Main St | open |
| Citrus Fresh Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 2805 Jones Rd | open |
| Curry House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 2910 N Main St | open |
| Do Sit Thai Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 1520 Palos Verdes Mall | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 2521 N Main St | open |
| Duck Donuts Duck Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop · Café | Dessert · Coffee | 2920 N Main St | open |
| El Cafecito Espresso | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1400 Treat Blvd | open |
| Erm-west | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1340 Treat Blvd Ste 550 | open | |
| Extreme pizza Walnut Creek Extreme Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1514 Geary Rd | open |
| First Fruit Hospitality, Llc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2750 N Main St | open | |
| Forever Yogurt | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 2905 N Main St | open |
| Freebirds World Burrito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1512 Geary Rd., | open |
| Habit Burger & Grill Habit Burger & Grill | Quick service · Casual dining · Bar | Burgers · American | 1504 Geary Road | open |
| Hasumi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 3116 Oak Rd | open |
| Heavenly Bistro | Café | Breakfast · Coffee · American | 3116 Oak Rd | open |
| Hops & Scotch | Bar | Corner of Treat and Oak, 7001 Sunne Ln #100 | open | |
| IHOP IHOP | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 2910 N Main St | open |
| Jimmy John's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2914 N Main St | open |
| Kinder's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | 1350 Treat Blvd | open | |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2501 N Main St. | open |
| Kuki's Ice Cream Cakes and Yogurt | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1510 Palos Verdes Mall Ste C | open |
| Kung Fu Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1562 Palos Verdes Mall | open |
| La Salsa Fresh Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3003 Oak Rd | open |
| Larkey Market and Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2800 Larkey Ln | open |
| Manakish Oven & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Pizza · Middle Eastern | 2905 N Main St | open |
| Masses Sports Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 2721 N Main St | open | |
| McDonald's USA | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2999 Oak Rd | open |
| Mika's Japanese Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 3116 Oak Rd | open |
| mo.ni Coffee & Tea | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1522 Geary Rd | open |
| Mona's Burgers & Shakes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 1574 Palos Verdes Mall | open |
| My French Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French | 2614 Jones Rd | open |
| Nama Sushi & Teriyaki | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1502 Sunnyvale Ave | open |
| Oak Road Cafe | Café | Coffee | 2999 Oak Rd Ste 130 | open |
| Pacific Fruit and Beverage Co. | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 2950 Buskirk Ave | open |
| Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1577A Palos Verdes Mall | open |
| Parada | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Seafood · Latin American (other) | 7001 Sunne Ln | open |
| paradICE | Quick service | 2520 Larkey Ln | open | |
| Pasta Primavera | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 2997 N Main St | open |
| Pavilion Crossing | Winery / distillery / taproom | 1255 Treat Blvd Ste 300 | open | |
| Poke House Poke House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Sushi · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1522 Geary Rd | open |
| Pslice Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1557 Palos Verdes Mall Ste A | open |
| Que Onda Tacobar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1512 Geary Rd | open |
| Sabores del Sur | Bakery | Bakery | 3003 Oak Rd | open |
| Saroor Indian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 2580 N Main St | open |
| Somerston Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 2999 Oak Rd | open | |
| Specialty's Cafe & Bakery | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1277 Treat Blvd | open |
| Spoontonic Lounge | Bar | 2580 N Main St Ste A | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1544 Palos Verdes Mall | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 2922 N Main St The Walden Center | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 7000 Sunne Lane 116 | open |
| Straw Hat Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3116 Oak Rd Ste A | open |
| Strictly To Go Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2670 N Main St | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 1514 Geary Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3116 Oak Rd Suite F | open |
| Taheris Mediterranean Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Greek | 2999 Oak Rd | open |
| Taqueria La Plaza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1510 Palos Verdes Mall | open |
| Taste of the World Market | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 1001 Harvey Dr | open |
| The Coffee Bean & Tea Leaf | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1522 Geary Rd | open |
| The Dive | Bar | 2580 N Main St | open | |
| The Law Office Of Tanya R. Brown | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1255 Treat Blvd Ste 300 | open | |
| The Market (By Rooted) | Café | Coffee | open | |
| The Sweet Spot | Dessert · Bakery | Breakfast · Dessert · Bakery | 1512 Sunnyvale Ave | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2955 North Main St. | open |
| West Coast Sourdough West Coast Sourdough | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 2914 N Main St | open |
| Yan's China Bistro and Bar | Bar | Chinese · Asian | 2929 N Main St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 18 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 20 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 24 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 25 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 23 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 25 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 10 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 27 | 22 | 11 | 9 | — | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 28 | 23 | 13 | 9 | — | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 24 | 21 | 12 | 8 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 29 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 34 | 29 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2022 |