BMIE Market 94925

Marin County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,077 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,036 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±262 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,253 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,026 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$232,763 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±36,730 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$3,501 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,755,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±182,579 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94925
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	27.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-3.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-9.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	31 (range 27–35) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.30) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	25 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94925. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.30, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	82.4	82	40%	+33.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.0	52	35%	+18.2
Market Momentum Score	25.0	25	25%	+6.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,077	71	40%	+28.4
Median household income (ACS)	232,763	99	40%	+39.8
Households (ACS)	4,036	71	20%	+14.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	27.8	23	25%	+5.6
Population (ACS)	10,077	71	20%	+14.2
Median household income (ACS)	232,763	99	20%	+19.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 25 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-6.7	21	50%	+10.7
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-3.5	19	20%	+3.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (70)

By cuisine

Coffee 10 · Pizza 8 · American 7 · Italian 6 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Bakery 4 · Mexican 4 · Asian 3 · Vegetarian 3 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Vegan 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Seafood 1 · Southeast Asian (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 49 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Quick service 4 · Bar 2 · Casual dining 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
55 Tamal Vista Blvd Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		55 Tamal Vista Blvd	open
Baja Fresh	Quick service		205 Corte Madera Town Ctr	open
Benissimo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	18 Tamalpais Dr	open
Best Lil' Porkhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	60 Corte Madera Ave	open
Blue Barn Corte Madera	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	335 Corte Madera Town Center	open
Blue Stove	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1870 Redwood Hwy	open
Boca Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1544 Redwood Hwy	open
Boudin SF Boudin	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	1734 Redwood Hwy	open
Brick & Bottle	Restaurant (service type not stated)		55 Tamal Vista Blvd	open
Burmatown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southeast Asian (other) · Asian	18 Tamalpais Dr	open
Cafe Verde Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	502 Tamalpais Dr	open
California Pizza Kitchen at Corte Madera	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	347 Corte Madera Town Center, Spc 347, Corte Madera Town Center	open
Ciao Bella Gelato	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	132 Corte Madera Town Ctr	open
Cinq Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		60 Corte Madera Ave	open
Copita Tequileria Y Comida	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	770 Tamalpais Dr	open
David's Finest Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	341 Corte Madera Town Ctr	open
Drew Dowsett Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		500 Tamal Plz Ste 516	open
Easy Breezy Corte Madera Easy Breezy Frozen Yogurt	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	119 Corte Madera Town Center	open
Epic Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	489 Montecito Ave	open
Fieldwork Brewing Company Fieldwork Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		107 Corte Madera Town Center	open
Flores Corte Madera Back of The House, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	301 Corte Madera Town Center	open
Il Fornaio Corte Madera Il Fornaio	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	223 Corte Madera Town Ctr	open
JOE & THE JUICE	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	The Village At Corte Madera	open
Juice Shop Juice Shop	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	221 Corte Madera Town Ctr	open
Kito's Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	60 Corte Madera Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	90 Madera Blvd	open
La Maison De La Reine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	346 Corte Madera Town Ctr	open
La Salsa Fresh Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1830 Redwood Hwy	open
Lighthouse Cafe	Café	Coffee · European · Breakfast	12 Tamalpais Dr	open
Marin Joe's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1585 Casa Buena Dr	open
Marin Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	107 Corte Madera Town Ctr	open
McDonald's	Quick service		201 Corte Madera Town Ctr	open
Moseley's Sports & Spirits	Restaurant (service type not stated)		55 Tamal Vista Blvd	open
Nothing Bundt Cakes Nothing Bundt Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	47 Tamal Vista Blvd	open
Ohana Acai Cafe	Café	Coffee	47 Tamal Vista Blvd	open
P.F. Chang's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	301 Corte Madera Town Center	open
Pacific Catch Pacific Catch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	133 Corte Madera Town Center	open
Palmetto Superfoods - Corte Madera Palmetto Superfoods	Juice, smoothie, tea	Vegetarian · Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	221 Corte Madera Town Center	open
Paradise By The Slice	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5641 Paradise Dr	open
Peet's Coffee Peet's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1512 Redwood Hwy, Space C037	open
Peet's Coffee Peet's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	77 Casa Buena Dr	open
Peet’s Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	1618 Redwood Hwy	open
Philz Coffee Philz Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	403 Corte Madera Town Center	open
Pig In A Pickle BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	341 Corte Madera Town Center	open
Portside Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	100 Corte Madera Town Ctr	open
RH Rooftop Restaurant Corte Madera	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1750 Redwood Hwy	open
Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	71 Casa Buena Dr	open
Sakana Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	59 Tamal Vista Blvd	open
Sbarro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1832 Redwood Hwy	open
See's Candies See's Candies	Dessert	Dessert	348 Corte Madera Town Center	open
Sprig	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	1612 Redwood Highway Ste D-034	open
Stang's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	1618 Redwood Hwy	open
Starbird Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	205 Corte Madera Town Ctr	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1732a Redwood Hwy The Village Corte M Adera	open
Stefano's Pizza Stefano's Solar Powered Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	225 Corte Madera Ave	open
Teaspoon Corte Madera Teaspoon	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	132 Corte Madera Town Center	open
Teavana	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	1618 Redwood Hwy #D027	open
The Cheesecake Factory The Cheesecake Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1736 Redwood Hwy	open
The Counter Corte Madera	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	201 Corte Madera Town Ctr	open
The Melt	Food truck		1702 Redwood Hwy	open
The Village At Corte Madera, Ca	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1618 Redwood Hwy # D17	open
Trader Vic's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2 Fifer Ave	open
Tub-Tim Thai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	510 Tamalpais Dr	open
Tully's Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	207 Corte Madera Town Ctr	open
Vegan Bowls For All	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan · Vegetarian	147 Corte Madera Town Center	open
Veggie Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan · Vegetarian	147 Corte Madera Town Ctr	open
World Wrapps	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	208 Corte Madera Town Center	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Juice / smoothies · Asian	137 Corte Madera Town Center	open
Zinz Wine Bar	Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		207 Corte Madera Ave	open
Amy's Drive Thru	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5839 Paradise Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	32	31	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	33	32	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	36	34	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	34	32	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	36	32	14	14	4	2	NAICS1997
1999	36	32	16	12	4	2	NAICS1997
2000	33	29	13	12	4	2	NAICS1997
2001	34	31	17	10	4	1	NAICS1997
2002	31	29	13	12	4	—	NAICS1997
2003	31	29	12	12	4	—	NAICS2002
2004	30	27	12	10	4	—	NAICS2002
2005	34	30	13	10	6	—	NAICS2002
2006	32	29	15	8	6	—	NAICS2002
2007	30	27	12	9	6	—	NAICS2002
2008	29	26	13	8	5	—	NAICS2007
2009	28	27	15	7	5	—	NAICS2007
2010	27	25	16	5	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	28	27	17	5	5	—	NAICS2007
2012	34	31	20	7	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	32	28	18	7	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	29	26	17	6	3	1	NAICS2012
2015	26	24	15	6	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	33	30	17	9	4	2	NAICS2012
2017	31	28	15	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	33	30	15	10	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	32	30	14	11	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	33	31	15	10	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	33	30	14	9	7	—	NAICS2017
2022	33	30	15	9	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	31	28	13	9	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 94925. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
94964	1.1 mi	1	1998
94939	1.6 mi	30	2023
94904	2.6 mi	14	2023
94901	3.4 mi	131	2023
94957	3.7 mi	4	2023
94920	4.0 mi	18	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.