BMIE Market 94939
Marin County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 7,315 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±462 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,323 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±301 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 6,859 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,582 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $203,988 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±51,618 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 48.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $3,278 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±220 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $2,000,001 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 2.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 30 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94939 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 32.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +3.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +42.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 33 (range 28–37) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.37) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94939. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.37, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 79.7 | 80 | 40% | +31.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55.5 | 55 | 35% | +19.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 58.3 | 58 | 25% | +14.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 7,315 | 66 | 40% | +26.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 203,988 | 99 | 40% | +39.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,323 | 68 | 20% | +13.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 11.1 | 55 | 35% | +19.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 41.0 | 13 | 25% | +3.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 7,315 | 66 | 20% | +13.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 203,988 | 99 | 20% | +19.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 3.5 | 60 | 50% | +29.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 11.1 | 55 | 30% | +16.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 42.9 | 60 | 20% | +12.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (64)
By cuisine
American 10 · Bakery 9 · Coffee 7 · Asian 5 · Dessert 5 · Italian 5 · Japanese 4 · Sushi 4 · European 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Sandwiches 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · French 1 · Greek 1 · Indian 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1 · Vegan 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 39 · Bakery 10 · Dessert 7 · Bar 5 · Café 5 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Quick service 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Food truck 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avatars Punjabi Burrito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 574 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Backstage Wine Bar | Bar | 295 Magnolia Ave | open | |
| Blue Rock Restaurant Partners Lp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 507 Magnolia Ave | open | |
| Boichik Bagels | Bakery | Bakery | 238 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Boudin Sourdough Bakery & Cafe | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee · American | 7 King St | open |
| BurritoVille Mex Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 531 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Casablanca Moroccan Mediterranean Food Truck | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | BON AIR Ctr | open | |
| Dancing Crow Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom | 2257 Larkspur Landing Cir | open | |
| DJ's Chinese Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 435 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Don Antonio Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 455 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Donut Alley | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 471 Magnolia Ave | open |
| El Huarache Loco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1803 Larkspur Landing Cir | open |
| Emporio Rulli | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Italian · Coffee | 464 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Equator Coffees Equator Coffees | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 240 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Escalle Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Quick service | 771 Magnolia Ave | open | |
| Farm House Local | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 25 Ward St | open |
| Farmshop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2233 Larkspur Landing Cir | open | |
| Feerma | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Spanish / tapas · Mediterranean | 455 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Fukusuke Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 578 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Green Beans Coffee | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 900 Larkspur Landing Cir Ste 281 | open | |
| Hog Island Larkspur Hog Island Oyster Co. | Bar · Casual dining | Seafood | 2401 Larkspur Landing Cir | open |
| Internos Beer and Wine Bar | Bar | 1110 Magnolia Ave | open | |
| Johnny Doughnuts Johnny Doughnuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 2257 Larkspur Landing Cir | open |
| Juice Alley | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 546 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Keiko Fish | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 250 Magnolia Ave | open |
| King of the Roll | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 552 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Left Bank Larkspur Left Bank Brasserie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French · European | 507 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Live Love Bake | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 351 Old Quarry Rd N | open |
| Locanda Marin | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 286 Magnolia Ave | open | |
| M and G Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 989 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Mag's Local Yogurt | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 467 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Miette | Bakery | Bakery | 2009 Larkspur Landing Cir | open |
| Noonan's Bar and Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2233 Larkspur Landing Cir | open | |
| Perry's on Magnolia | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 234 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Pressed Juicery | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Vegan · Healthy / salads / bowls | 2247A Larkspur Landing Circle, Building 21 | open |
| R'Noh Thai Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 1000 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Red Boy Pizza Larkspur Red Boy Pizza Redwood Rd | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 580 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Red Robin Caterers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 489 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Restaurant Picco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 320 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Roma Antica | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 286 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Rustic Bakery Rustic Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 1139 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Rustic Bakery Rustic Bakery | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee · American | 2017 Larkspur Landing Cir | open |
| Silver Peso | Bar | 450 Magnolia Ave | open | |
| Souvla Souvla | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 1805 Larkspur Landing Cir #14 | open |
| St. Patrick School | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 120 King St | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1801 Larkspur Landing Cir Larkspur Landing | open |
| Sushi Ko SUSHI KO | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1819 Larkspur Landing Cir | open |
| Table Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert | American | 1167 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Taqueria El Torogoz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 574 Magnolia Ave | open |
| Tha Siam, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1813 Larkspur Landing Cir | open | |
| The Bistro - Eat. Drink. Connect.® | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 2500 Larkspur Landing Cir | open |
| The Cheese Steak Shop The Cheese Steak Shop Corp. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 596 Magnolia Ave | open |
| The Melting Pot | Restaurant (service type not stated) | European | 125 E Sir Francis Drake Blvd | open |
| The Republic of Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | open | |
| the shack ice cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 236 Magnolia Ave | open |
| The Tavern at Lark Creek | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 234 Magnolia Ave | open | |
| Three Twins Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2231 Larkspur Landing Cir | open |
| TOGO'S Sandwiches | Other | Sandwiches | 2401 Larkspur Landing Cir | open |
| Wise Sons Bagelry | Bakery | Bakery | 2227 Larkspur Landing Cir #27C | open |
| World Green Acai Bowl Juice | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 546A Magnolia Ave | open |
| Yankee Pier | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 286 Magnolia Ave | open | |
| Lokl | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 489 Magnolia Ave | closed | |
| Marin Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom | 1809 Larkspur Landing Cir | closed | |
| Off The Grid: Larkspur At Marin Country Mart | Food truck | 2401 Larkspur Landing Cir | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 26 | 24 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 27 | 25 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 26 | 25 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 29 | 28 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 29 | 25 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 28 | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 24 | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 20 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 20 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 25 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 30 | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 33 | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 33 | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 33 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 30 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 27 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 25 | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 26 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 27 | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 28 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 31 | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 32 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 36 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 36 | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 33 | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 35 | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 33 | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 34 | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |