BMIE Market 98421

Pierce County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	424 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±77 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	95 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,308 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	27 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$26,307 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,435 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,083 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±431 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	Data source not yet connected
Land area	6.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 98421
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	130.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-37.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-44.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-44.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 7–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.31) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	10 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	11 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	10 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	10 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 98421. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.31, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 10 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	10.9	11	40%	+4.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	9.8	10	35%	+3.4
Market Momentum Score	9.6	10	25%	+2.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 11 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	424	19	40%	+7.7
Median household income (ACS)	26,307	1	40%	+0.6
Households (ACS)	95	13	20%	+2.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 10 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	35%	+5.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	235.9	2	25%	+0.4
Population (ACS)	424	19	20%	+3.8
Median household income (ACS)	26,307	1	20%	+0.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 10 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-37.5	7	50%	+3.7
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	30%	+4.5
20-year restaurant growth	-44.4	7	20%	+1.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (45)

By cuisine

American 7 · Coffee 7 · Asian 5 · Dessert 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Mediterranean 3 · Seafood 3 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Café 6 · Bar 5 · Dessert 5 · Casual dining 4 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Other 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alfred's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Coffee	402 Puyallup Ave	open
Ammar's Mediterrean Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	409 E 26th St	open
Baristas	Coffee shop	Coffee	716 Puyallup Ave	open
Brown & Haley Factory Store	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)		110 E 26th St	open
Celebrity Cake Studio	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	314 E 26th St	open
Chinese Reconciliation Project	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	224 Puyallup Ave	open
Classics by Pacific Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	2702 E D St	open
Coco Grill Restaurant & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	409 E 26th St	open
Diva Diner	Casual dining · Quick service	American · Pizza	2102 E Alexander Ave	open
Dixies BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	2615 E N St	open
DND Soul Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	308 E 26th St	open
Dockside Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	1112 Puyallup Ave	open
Endicott Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	712 E 26th St	open
Friesenburgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	308 E 26th St	open
GoldenFinch	Dessert	Dessert	2501 E D St	open
Johnny's Dock Marina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	1900 E D St	open
KVLT Mead	Winery / distillery / taproom		306 E 26th St	open
La Waffletz & Macaron station	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert · European	430 E 25th St	open
Leila's Deli	Other	Sandwiches	402 E 26th St	open
Little India Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	430 E 25th St	open
McKinley's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2727 E D St	open
Mediterranean Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern	430 E 25th St	open
Nana Thai And Teriyaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	430 E 25th St	open
Neptune Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1121 E 26th St	open
Old Soldier Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		309 B1 Puyallup Ave	open
Olive Branch Cafe and Tea Room	Café	Coffee	2501 E D St	open
Olive Branch Cafe And Tea Room	Café	Coffee	2501 E D St	open
Paya Thai Fish & Chips	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · British / Irish pub food · Asian	430 E 25th St	open
Pit Stop Espresso and Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1820 Portland Ave E	open
Port of Call Restaurant	Bar · Casual dining	American	1425 E 27th St	open
Porter's Place BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	2615 E N St	open
RJ's Burger Joint	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	430 E 25th St #23	open
Santa Fe Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · Asian · American	430 E 25th St	open
Seasonal Delights Cafe & Espresso Co.	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	430 E 25th St Ste 5	open
Seasons Restaurant & Lounge	Bar		2611 E E St	open
Sexual Assault Center Of Pierce County	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 E 26th St Ste 200	open
Spirit Of Washington Dinner Train	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2501 E D St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2615 E N St	open
The Boxcar Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2501 E D St Ste 97	open
The Express Market	Quick service		430 E 25th St	open
The New Frontier Lounge	Bar		301 E 25th St	open
The Palace Kebab	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern	430 E 25th St	open
The Valley	Bar		1206 Puyallup Ave	open
Wendy's Pho Vietnamese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	430 E 25th St	open
Wingman Brewers	Brewery / taproom		509 1/2 Puyallup Ave.	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	18	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	16	13	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	21	17	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	24	22	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	24	22	14	4	4	2	NAICS1997
1999	25	23	14	5	4	2	NAICS1997
2000	19	16	8	4	3	3	NAICS1997
2001	15	13	6	4	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	19	17	8	5	4	2	NAICS1997
2003	21	18	9	5	4	3	NAICS2002
2004	21	18	9	6	3	3	NAICS2002
2005	21	17	9	7	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	21	18	7	8	3	2	NAICS2002
2007	20	17	5	8	4	2	NAICS2002
2008	18	15	6	7	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	17	14	4	7	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	20	17	4	10	3	2	NAICS2007
2011	20	17	5	10	2	2	NAICS2007
2012	16	14	4	10	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	14	12	4	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	18	16	5	9	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	17	14	5	8	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	16	13	5	7	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	17	15	7	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	16	8	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	14	6	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	10	3	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 98421. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
98422	2.1 mi	4	2023
98402	2.1 mi	83	2023
98424	2.8 mi	39	2023
98403	2.8 mi	28	2023
98418	3.4 mi	25	2023
98405	3.5 mi	37	2023
98404	3.6 mi	31	2023
98416	3.8 mi	—
98023	3.9 mi	51	2023
98354	3.9 mi	18	2023
98443	4.1 mi	1	2014
98409	4.8 mi	95	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.