BMIE Market 98403

Pierce County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,097 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±842 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,818 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±415 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,713 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,569 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$88,056 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,368 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,546 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±118 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$829,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±65,450 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 98403
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	22.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+27.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+55.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+180.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 21–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.29) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	77 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 98403. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.29, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.0	71	40%	+28.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.1	57	35%	+20.0
Market Momentum Score	77.1	77	25%	+19.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,097	69	40%	+27.7
Median household income (ACS)	88,056	71	40%	+28.5
Households (ACS)	4,818	74	20%	+14.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	27.3	69	35%	+24.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	30.8	19	25%	+4.8
Population (ACS)	9,097	69	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	88,056	71	20%	+14.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	33.3	85	50%	+42.5
10-year restaurant growth	27.3	69	30%	+20.8
20-year restaurant growth	55.6	69	20%	+13.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (50)

By cuisine

Coffee 12 · American 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Pizza 4 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Thai 2 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Bar 13 · Coffee shop 12 · Café 7 · Casual dining 6 · Quick service 6 · Specialty food shop 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A&w Restaurant KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2006 6th Ave	open
Anthem Coffee Company Anthem Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2312 N 30th St	open
Art House Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		111 N Tacoma Ave	open
Bluebeard Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2201 6th Ave	open
Burger Seoul	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	1701 Division Ave	open
Cafe Divino	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2112 N 30th St	open
Cookie Dough Delight	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	634 N 1st St	open
Cosmonaut Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	817 Division Ave	open
Curran Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2123 N 30th St	open
Dahlman Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		113 N Tacoma Ave	open
Dirty Oscar's Annex	Casual dining · Bar		2309 6th Ave	open
Feral Kitchen Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)		610 N 1st St	open
Frisko Freeze	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1201 Division Ave	open
Gilman House Room 428	Bar		8 N Tacoma Ave	open
Gina's All-Natural Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1312 N I St	open
Ginkgo Forest Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		2221 N 30th St	open
Gravity Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	919 N 2nd St	open
Hank's Bar and Pizza	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	524 N K St	open
Harvester Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	29 N Tacoma Ave	open
Hawthorn Tea Room	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	2208 N 30th St	open
Indo Asian Street Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	110 N Tacoma Ave	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		2054 6th Ave	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	636 N 1st St	open
Moshi Moshi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	110 N Tacoma Ave Ste B	open
MSM Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2220 6th Ave	open
North China Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2303 6th Ave	open
North Slope Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	618 N 1st St	open
Parkway Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		313 N I St	open
Proof	Bar		2312 N 30th St Ste 102	open
Rhein Haus Tacoma	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		649 Division Avenue	open
Salamone's Pizza Broadway Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	24 N Tacoma Ave	open
Sammy's Pizza	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1308 N I St	open
Shake Shake Shake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	124 N Tacoma Ave	open
Stadium Art and Wine Walk brought to you by the SDA	Bar		23 Tacoma Ave N	open
Stadium Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	124 N Tacoma Ave	open
Stadium Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	813 Division Ave	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	2112 N 30th St (N 30th & Mccarver/Old, Town)	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Quick service · Café	Coffee	2008 6th Ave	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	640 North 1st St	open
State Street	Bar · Casual dining		606 N State St	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	124 N I St	open
Tacoma Java Co	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	919 N 2nd Street	open
The Copper Door	Bar		12 N Tacoma Ave	open
The Spar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	BBQ · Sandwiches · American	2121 N 30th St	open
Tully's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	2312 N 30th St	open
Tully's Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	24 N Tacoma Ave	open
Uva Furem Tacoma	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		2221 N 30th St	open
Burger Bar Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	813 Division Ave	closed
Indo Of Stadium Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		110 N Tacoma Ave	closed
Tease Chocolates	Dessert	Dessert	610 N 1st St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	14	10	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	13	8	5	2	1	4	NAICS1997
1999	15	11	5	5	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	19	15	6	6	3	3	NAICS1997
2001	18	15	6	6	3	2	NAICS1997
2002	21	16	8	5	3	4	NAICS1997
2003	23	18	9	5	4	2	NAICS2002
2004	22	18	8	6	4	3	NAICS2002
2005	22	19	9	6	4	2	NAICS2002
2006	20	17	7	5	5	2	NAICS2002
2007	19	16	5	6	5	2	NAICS2002
2008	19	16	5	6	5	2	NAICS2007
2009	16	14	5	5	4	2	NAICS2007
2010	20	17	6	6	5	2	NAICS2007
2011	24	21	6	6	9	2	NAICS2007
2012	24	20	4	7	9	3	NAICS2012
2013	27	22	5	9	8	3	NAICS2012
2014	26	22	5	9	8	3	NAICS2012
2015	25	21	5	9	7	3	NAICS2012
2016	25	21	6	9	6	4	NAICS2012
2017	26	20	7	7	6	5	NAICS2017
2018	27	21	9	7	5	5	NAICS2017
2019	26	20	9	6	5	5	NAICS2017
2020	26	19	8	5	6	5	NAICS2017
2021	30	23	10	6	7	5	NAICS2017
2022	32	26	10	6	10	5	NAICS2022
2023	34	28	11	6	11	5	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 98403. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
98402	1.1 mi	83	2023
98416	1.1 mi	—
98405	1.5 mi	37	2023
98406	2.5 mi	69	2023
98421	2.8 mi	10	2023
98418	3.0 mi	25	2023
98407	3.3 mi	39	2023
98422	3.6 mi	4	2023
98409	3.7 mi	95	2023
98465	3.8 mi	13	2023
98466	4.5 mi	52	2023
98404	4.5 mi	31	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.