BMIE Market 01887
Middlesex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 23,336 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±47 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,926 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±371 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 22,325 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,808 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $168,152 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,029 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 42.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,394 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±328 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $680,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,378 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 17.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 45 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01887 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 13.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +2.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +73.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +66.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 44 (range 38–50) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01887. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 88.9 | 89 | 40% | +35.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65.8 | 66 | 35% | +23.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 61.3 | 61 | 25% | +15.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 23,336 | 84 | 40% | +33.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 168,152 | 98 | 40% | +39.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,926 | 81 | 20% | +16.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 12.5 | 56 | 35% | +19.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 19.3 | 39 | 25% | +9.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 23,336 | 84 | 20% | +16.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 168,152 | 98 | 20% | +19.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 2.3 | 59 | 50% | +29.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 12.5 | 56 | 30% | +16.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 73.1 | 75 | 20% | +15.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (85)
By cuisine
Pizza 16 · Coffee 15 · American 13 · Dessert 12 · Sandwiches 10 · Bakery 8 · Italian 8 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · Chinese 3 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 54 · Bakery 15 · Coffee shop 14 · Dessert 12 · Quick service 10 · Café 7 · Bar 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Other 4 · Casual dining 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 337 Main Street Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 337 Main St | open | |
| 99 Restaurants 99 Restaurants | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 144 Lowell Street, MA-129 | open |
| Adam Donuts, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 211 Lowell St | open | |
| AJ's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 162 Lowell St | open |
| As Good As It Gets Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 35 Lowell St | open |
| Bimbo Bakeries Bimbo Bakeries USA | Bakery | Bakery | 234 Ballardvale St | open |
| Blimpie | Other | Sandwiches | 273 Main St | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 280 Lowell St | open |
| Cafe Capri | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 355 Main St | open |
| Camp Calvo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 23 Chestnut St | open |
| Casa Blanca Mexican Restaurant Casa Blanca Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 207 Main St | open |
| Chili's Grill & Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 207 Main St | open |
| China Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 329 Main St | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle | Quick service | 208 Main St | open | |
| Code 1 BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 228 Main St | open |
| Cook's Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | open | |
| Country Chef Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 139 Main St | open |
| Cucina LaRosa's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 228 Main St | open |
| Ddk Baking Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2 Lowell St Unit 8 | open | |
| Diablos Sports Bar & Grill | Bar | 269 Main St | open | |
| Djq Donuts, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 66 Concord St | open | |
| Dunkin Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 357 Middlesex Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 206 Ballardvale St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 66 Concord St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Dessert · Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 195 Main St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 586 Main St Shell | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 211 Lowell St Lucci's Plaza | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 316 Lowell St Mobil | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 321 Main St | open |
| EJ's Fresh Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 337 Main St | open |
| EJ’s Fresh Frozen Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3 Jefferson Rd | open |
| Ez Pizza Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 101 Main St | open | |
| Focaccia Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 2 Lowell St | open |
| Frangos Chicken Fingers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 35 Lowell St | open |
| Gain 69 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1023 Bluebonnet Ave | open |
| Golden Ginger Golden Ginger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Chinese · Asian | 225 Main St | open |
| Greg's Pizza Route 38 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 101 Main St | open |
| Gregs roastbeef and pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American | 101 Main St | open |
| Hannon Donuts, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 357 Middlesex Ave | open | |
| Heav'nly Donuts Heav'nly Donuts Wilmington, MA | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 579 Main St | open |
| Janemarie Donuts, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 206 Ballardvale St | open | |
| Josie's Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 2 Lowell St | open |
| Kendra & Anthony's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 251 Main St | open |
| KG Creations | Dessert | Dessert | 1 Olson St | open |
| Knot Just Cake, LLC | Bakery | Bakery | 228 Main St | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 206 Ballardvale St | open |
| Llm Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2 Lowell St | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 212 Main St | open |
| Mona's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | American | 66 Concord St Unit U | open |
| New england coffee New England Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 255 Andover St | open |
| Nick's Pizza Roast Beef and Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches · American | 331 Main St | open |
| Pacific Grove | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 211 Lowell St | open |
| Panera Bread | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual · Café | Coffee · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 228 Main St | open |
| Pepsi Bottling Group | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 111 Eames St | open | |
| Peter's Famous Roast Beef & Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American | 2 Lowell St | open |
| Pie Me Over | Bakery | Bakery | 217 Main St | open |
| Pizza Days | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 206 Ballardvale St | open |
| Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 210 Ballardvale St | open |
| Pizza Mia - Uptown Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 363 Middlesex Ave | open |
| Punjab Corner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 433 Main St Unit A | open |
| Red Heat Tavern Red Heat Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | American | 300 Lowell St | open |
| Rizzo's Roast Beef and Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 3 Church St | open |
| Rocco's Restaurant & Bar | Bar | Italian · Seafood | 193 Main St | open |
| Sandwich Exchange | Other | Sandwiches | 16 Upton Dr Unit 7 | open |
| Santa Maria Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 362 Middlesex Ave | open |
| Simard's Super Roast Beef | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 279 Main St | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 210 Ballardvale St | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 203 Lowell St | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 271 Main St | open |
| Stir Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 2 Lowell St Unit 6b | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 206 Ballardvale Street Unit 2 | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 316 Lowell St | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 285 Main St | open |
| Sunnyside Cafe | Café | Coffee | 2 Jefferson Road | open |
| Sweet Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 206 Ballardvale St | open |
| Thai Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 101 Main St | open |
| The Habit Burger Grill The Habit Burger Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 196 Ballardvale St | open |
| Tremezzo Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 296 Shawsheen Ave | open |
| Tremezzo Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering | Italian | 2 Lowell St | open |
| Uncle John's Ice Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 248 Main St | open |
| Veer Food Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 206 Ballardvale St | open | |
| Wf Pizza Company, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 296 Shawsheen Ave | open | |
| Wilmington House of Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 325 Main St | open |
| Xylene Lucky | Café | 83 Cleveland Ave | open | |
| Panchos Cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 206 Ballardvale St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 28 | 27 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 29 | 28 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 30 | 30 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 34 | 34 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 40 | 28 | 7 | 16 | 5 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 41 | 30 | 6 | 16 | 7 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 44 | 32 | 6 | 17 | 8 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 46 | 34 | 5 | 19 | 9 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 43 | 31 | 6 | 16 | 8 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 41 | 26 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 42 | 26 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 48 | 30 | 6 | 16 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 42 | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 40 | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 44 | 32 | 8 | 15 | 9 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 44 | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 42 | 31 | 9 | 14 | 8 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 46 | 33 | 9 | 15 | 9 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 16 | 11 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 53 | 40 | 12 | 16 | 12 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 58 | 49 | 16 | 18 | 15 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 16 | 13 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 50 | 43 | 11 | 21 | 11 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 50 | 42 | 14 | 18 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 52 | 44 | 14 | 18 | 12 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 52 | 40 | 14 | 15 | 11 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 53 | 41 | 16 | 14 | 11 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 51 | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 55 | 45 | 19 | 14 | 12 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 55 | 45 | 18 | 15 | 12 | — | NAICS2022 |