BMIE Market 02474
Middlesex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 28,642 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,217 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 12,182 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±560 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 26,312 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 12,317 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $150,560 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,128 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,179 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±95 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $933,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,057 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 43 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02474 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 16.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -12.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -14.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +34.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +1,333.3% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 45 (range 37–52) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.6 per year, r² 0.22) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 92 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 25 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02474. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.22, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 91.5 | 92 | 40% | +36.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55.7 | 56 | 35% | +19.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 24.6 | 25 | 25% | +6.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 92 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 28,642 | 88 | 40% | +35.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 150,560 | 96 | 40% | +38.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 12,182 | 89 | 20% | +17.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -14 | 16 | 35% | +5.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 15.0 | 53 | 25% | +13.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 28,642 | 88 | 20% | +17.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 150,560 | 96 | 20% | +19.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 25 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -12.2 | 17 | 50% | +8.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -14 | 16 | 30% | +4.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 34.4 | 56 | 20% | +11.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (96)
By cuisine
Asian 16 · Coffee 12 · Italian 11 · Pizza 10 · Dessert 8 · American 7 · Bakery 6 · Indian 6 · Chinese 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Japanese 3 · Mexican 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Seafood 2 · Sushi 2 · Vegetarian 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1 · Vegan 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 68 · Bakery 10 · Dessert 10 · Café 9 · Coffee shop 8 · Quick service 6 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbott's Frozen Custard - Arlington Center | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert | 311 Broadway | open |
| Acitron Cocina Mexicana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 473 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Advanced Mobile Audio | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 84 Warren St | open | |
| Adventure Pub | Bar | 190 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Arlington Bakery and Meli Marketplace | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 187-189 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Arlington Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom | open | ||
| Arlington Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Italian | 475 Summer St | open |
| Arlington Restaurant & Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 134 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Barismo | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 171 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Boyles Market | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 64 Broadway | open |
| Breadboard Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 203 Broadway | open |
| Brickstone Cafe | Café | Italian · Mediterranean · Coffee | 309 Broadway | open |
| Bubble Nation | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 456A Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Caffè Nero Caffè Nero | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 321 Broadway | open |
| Capitol Creamery | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 204 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Cedrone Restaurant, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 92 Summer St | open | |
| Comella's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 202 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Crosta Pizza Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 475 Summer St | open | |
| Donut Villa Donut Villa Diner | Casual dining · Dessert · Bakery | American · Dessert · Breakfast | 319 Broadway | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert | Dessert · Coffee | 21 Summer St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 369 Mass Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 101 Broadway | open |
| Fattoush | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 142 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Flora Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 190 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Food For Thought 5 South Main | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 478 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Fresh Pond Seafood Market & Takeout | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 75 Summer St | open |
| Friendly Ice Cream Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 105 Broadway # 109 | open | |
| Fusion Taste Arlington | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Japanese · Chinese | 303 Broadway | open |
| Gail Ann Coffee Shop | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 10 Medford St | open |
| Gemelli's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 315 Broadway | open |
| Haveli Indian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 464 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Headhunter Lounge | Bar | 37 Cleveland St | open | |
| Indo Yums Arlington | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 444 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Jam'n Java Open Mic | Café | Coffee | Donut Villa, 319 Broadway | open |
| Jun Le Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 196 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Kathmandu Spice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 166 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Kitchen Millie | Bakery | Bakery | 2 Lake St | open |
| Krazy Karry's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 319 Broadway | open | |
| La Buona Vita | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 450 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| La Victoria Taqueria La Victoria Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 12 Medford St | open |
| Little Q Hot Pot & Szechuan House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 196 Massachusetts ave | open |
| Lucky Dragon Chinese | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 14 Medford St | open |
| Lucky Dragon Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 90 Lowell St | open |
| Madrona Tree | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 315 Broadway | open |
| Makalu Nepali & Indian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 352 MASSACHUSETTS Ave | open |
| Maria's Pizza | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza · Seafood · Sandwiches | 86 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Menotomy Grill & Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 25 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Mint 76 Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 352 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| My Brother's Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 181 Broadway | open |
| Namaste Spice | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza · Indian · Sandwiches · Asian | 159 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| New Asia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 194 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Oakberry Acai OAKBERRY UK | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Vegan · Healthy / salads / bowls | 476 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Olympic Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 173 Massachusetts Ave #8608 | open |
| OTTO OTTO | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 202 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Papa Gino's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 457 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Parthenon Entertainment, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 190 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Peace River Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 73 Varnum St | open |
| Punjab Arlington | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 485 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Punjabi Tadka | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 444 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Quebrada Baking Company | Bakery | Bakery | 208 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Rangla Punjab Indian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 444 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Ristorante Olivio | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 201 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Rjm Incorporated | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 162 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Rush Bowls | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls | 307 Broadway | open |
| Sabatino's Italian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 242 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Sabzi Persian Chelow Kabab | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 352 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Scutra | Restaurant (service type not stated) | European | 92 Summer St | open |
| Shanghai Village Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 434 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Short Path Distillery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 59 Magnolia St | open | |
| Sono Asian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 471 Summer St | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 327 Broadway | open |
| SUMEN | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 444 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Summer Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 474 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Sun's Chinese Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 90 Lowell St | open | |
| Sweet Chili | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 470 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Tango Restaurant | Bar | 464 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Thai Moon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 315 Broadway | open |
| The Chilly Cow | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 451 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| The Fat Greek | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 185 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| The Local Fare | Bakery | Bakery | 2 Lake St | open |
| The Scoop N Scootery The Scoop N Scootery Ice Cream Delivery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 112 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Thrive Gourmet | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Coffee | 169 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Tiki In | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 165 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Town Tavern Town Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | American | 201 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Turkey Hill | Other | Sandwiches | open | |
| Twyrl Pasta Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 315 Broadway | open |
| Venice Italian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 242 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Whatta Wing! | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 218 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Wings Over Arlington | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 218 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Woori | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · Asian | 9 Medford St | open |
| Y Plus Y, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 303 Broadway # 305 | open | |
| Za Arlington | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 138 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Zhu Vegan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegetarian · Asian | 166 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Zócalo Cocina Méxicana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 203 Broadway | open |
| Sugo Cucina Italiana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 162 Massachusetts Ave | closed |
| Zhu Garden Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 166 Massachusetts Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1997 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 28 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 32 | 25 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 31 | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 34 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 38 | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 38 | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 44 | 39 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 41 | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 42 | 37 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 44 | 40 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 43 | 40 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 41 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 45 | 42 | 23 | 11 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 49 | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 48 | 45 | 25 | 12 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 54 | 50 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 60 | 55 | 27 | 17 | 11 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 58 | 53 | 27 | 15 | 11 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 62 | 57 | 29 | 18 | 10 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 56 | 48 | 28 | 10 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 59 | 49 | 29 | 10 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 64 | 55 | 31 | 12 | 12 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 60 | 52 | 28 | 11 | 13 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 60 | 53 | 25 | 13 | 14 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 56 | 49 | 25 | 10 | 14 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 50 | 43 | 22 | 9 | 12 | — | NAICS2022 |