BMIE Market 02478
Middlesex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 27,175 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±44 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,412 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±287 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 24,664 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,158 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $183,137 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,328 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 42.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,527 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±105 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,159,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33,086 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 4.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 52 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02478 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 14.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +20.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +30.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +5,100.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 51 (range 44–58) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.35) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 91 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02478. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.35, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 91.4 | 91 | 40% | +36.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 71.8 | 72 | 35% | +25.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 76.8 | 77 | 25% | +19.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 91 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 27,175 | 87 | 40% | +34.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 183,137 | 98 | 40% | +39.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,412 | 86 | 20% | +17.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 30 | 71 | 35% | +24.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 19.1 | 40 | 25% | +9.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 27,175 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 183,137 | 98 | 20% | +19.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 20.9 | 78 | 50% | +39.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 30 | 71 | 30% | +21.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 100 | 82 | 20% | +16.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (78)
By cuisine
Coffee 15 · Bakery 11 · Dessert 11 · Pizza 10 · Italian 8 · American 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 7 · Asian 6 · European 3 · Japanese 3 · Mediterranean 3 · Middle Eastern 3 · Thai 3 · Chinese 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Sushi 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cuban 1 · French 1 · Greek 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 46 · Bakery 14 · Dessert 14 · Café 10 · Coffee shop 10 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Bar 2 · Catering 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Chocolate Dream | Dessert | Dessert | 68 Leonard St | open |
| Altruista Developments Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 50 Leonard St | open | |
| Angelato | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 374 Trapelo Rd | open | |
| Ani Catering & Cafe | Catering | Middle Eastern | 687 Belmont St | open |
| Aram's Cafe | Café | Coffee | 85 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Art's Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 374 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Bakehaus | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 442 Common St | open |
| Bellmont Caffe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 80 Leonard St | open |
| Belmont Brother's Pizza Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 121 Trapelo Rd | open | |
| Belmont Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 388 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Black Bear Cafe | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 79 Leonard St | open |
| Brueggers Bagels Bruegger's Bagels | Bakery · Coffee shop | Bakery · Coffee | 41 Leonard St | open |
| Butternut Bakehouse | Bakery | Bakery | 49 Leonard St | open |
| Cafe Burrito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 374 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Cafe Vanak | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 271 Belmont St | open |
| CE Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee · American | 271 Belmont St | open |
| Clairemont Hill Social Club | Bar | Clairemont Road | open | |
| Comella's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 43 Leonard St | open |
| Damnation Alley Distillery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 7 Brighton St | open | |
| Délicious All-natural Snacks | Bakery | Bakery | 2 York Rd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 240 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Dessert · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee | 52 Church St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 353 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 350 Pleasant St | open |
| Eastern Lamejun Bakers | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea | Bakery · Middle Eastern · Juice / smoothies | 145 Belmont St | open |
| Eishaus Gelateria | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 444 Common St | open |
| Emack & Bolio's | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 111 | open |
| Fine Wining Fine Dining | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 464 Common St | open | |
| Fiorella's Trattoria Fiorella's Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 263 Belmont St | open |
| Gen Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 61 Concord Ave | open |
| glutenus minimus | Bakery | Bakery | 697 Belmont St | open |
| Gregory's House of Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 27 Leonard St, 27 Leonard St | open |
| Gustazo Cuban Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban | 289 Belmont St | open |
| Hanami Sushi Bar and Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 89 Trapelo Rd | open |
| House Of Lavash | Bakery | Bakery | 7 Cushing Ave | open |
| il Casale Belmont | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 50 Leonard St | open |
| La Victoria Taqueria La Victoria Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 66 Leonard St | open |
| Linda's Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 247 Belmont St | open |
| Lisa's Family Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 368 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Little Lotus Co Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 69 Leonard St | open | |
| Mark & Toni's Coal Fired Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · European | 121 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Michael's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · Greek | 3605 191 Belmont St | open |
| Moozy's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Mystic Brewery | Brewery / taproom | 20 Moraine St Apt 2 | open | |
| Nicks Place II | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American | 6 Channing Rd | open |
| Nicolas Market & Deli Llc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11 Brighton St | open | |
| Number 1 Taste | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 382 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Ovenbird Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 105 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Patou Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 69 Leonard St | open |
| Phinix Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 628 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Pho and Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Thai · Asian | 63 White St | open |
| Praliné | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · French · Dessert | 203 Belmont St | open |
| Quebrada Baking Company | Bakery | Bakery | 19 Leonard St | open |
| Rancatore's Ice Cream and Yogurt Rancatore's Ice cream & Yogurt | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 36 Leonard St | open |
| Savinos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Mediterranean | 449 Common St | open |
| Shangri-la | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 149 Belmont St | open |
| Shine's Gourmet Food Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 30 Leonard St | open | |
| Spice Delight | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 63 Concord Ave | open |
| Spoodles Soup Factory | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 374 Trapelo Rd | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 110 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 47 Leonard St | open |
| Stone Hearth Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 57 Leonard St | open |
| Summer Palace | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 63 Concord Ave | open | |
| Sweet Heart | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee | 386 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Take Away 762 Llc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Mediterranean · European | 762 Pleasant St | open |
| Tatte Bakery & Cafe | Belmont | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 495 Trapelo Rd | open | |
| Teddy's Kitchen | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 462 Common St | open |
| Thai Noodle Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 289 Belmont St | open |
| The Loading Dock | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 11 Brighton St | open |
| The Vintage Tea and Cake Company Belmont | Juice, smoothie, tea · Catering · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 129 Belmont St | open |
| The Wellington | Casual dining · Bar | American | 75 Leonard St | open |
| Theo's Pizzeria & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 389 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Thyago's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 368 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Tick Tock Chocolates | Dessert | Dessert | 111 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Tony G's Barbecue | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 289 Belmont St | open |
| Vicki Lee Boyajian Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 105 Trapelo Rd | open | |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café | Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Asian | 535 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Ohlin's Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 456 Common St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1997 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 28 | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 29 | 26 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 31 | 28 | 9 | 15 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 27 | 24 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 31 | 26 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 29 | 26 | 6 | 17 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 34 | 30 | 7 | 17 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 37 | 31 | 7 | 18 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 36 | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 40 | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 38 | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 40 | 36 | 12 | 15 | 9 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 40 | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 43 | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 45 | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 46 | 40 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 43 | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 53 | 44 | 14 | 21 | 9 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 51 | 44 | 14 | 20 | 10 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 42 | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 47 | 43 | 17 | 17 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 45 | 41 | 17 | 14 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 44 | 39 | 15 | 15 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 48 | 42 | 14 | 19 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 53 | 46 | 15 | 23 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 59 | 52 | 17 | 22 | 13 | — | NAICS2022 |