BMIE Market 02452
Middlesex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 15,808 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,242 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,362 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±525 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 14,238 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,033 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $118,431 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,056 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 31.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,322 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±77 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $808,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,976 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 36 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02452 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 14.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +50.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +71.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +125.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +1,700.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 32 (range 25–38) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.37) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 89 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02452. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.37, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 82.0 | 82 | 40% | +32.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 72.0 | 72 | 35% | +25.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 88.9 | 89 | 25% | +22.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 15,808 | 77 | 40% | +31.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 118,431 | 90 | 40% | +35.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,362 | 75 | 20% | +15.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 71.4 | 88 | 35% | +30.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 22.8 | 31 | 25% | +7.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 15,808 | 77 | 20% | +15.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 118,431 | 90 | 20% | +18.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 89 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 50 | 90 | 50% | +45.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 71.4 | 88 | 30% | +26.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 125 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (60)
By cuisine
Sandwiches 8 · Coffee 7 · Pizza 6 · American 5 · Bakery 5 · Chinese 4 · Asian 3 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Burgers 2 · European 2 · Mexican 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Brazilian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 36 · Quick service 9 · Bakery 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Bar 6 · Dessert 4 · Casual dining 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aries Noodle and Dumpling | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 617 Main St | open |
| Asia Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 573 Main St | open |
| B & C Donuts, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 870 Lexington St | open | |
| Banh Mi Oi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese | 1097 Lexington St | open |
| Bcr Donuts, Llc Dba Dunkin Donuts | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 130 Lexington St | open | |
| beat da'wrap | Other | Sandwiches | 411 Waverley Oaks Rd | open |
| Birdie Bar | Bar | 411 Waverley Oaks Rd #131 | open | |
| Bonfire Indian Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 1091 Lexington St | open |
| Boston Kebab | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 146 Lexington St | open |
| Boston Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1099 Lexington St | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 822 Lexington St | open |
| Burnt Edges Bar Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 249 Lexington St | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1110 Lexington St. TBD Waltham Plaza | open |
| City Streets Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 249 Lexington St | open | |
| City Streets Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 411 Waverley Oaks Rd | open | |
| Crumbl - Waltham | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 1077 Lexington St Unit 1 | open |
| Currito Bentley College | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 385 Beaver St | open | |
| Custom Cuts Waltham | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 182 Lexington St | open | |
| Dan's Dawgs | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 101 School St | open |
| Demos Restaurant Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 146 Lexington St | open | |
| DiningatBabson | Coffee shop | Coffee | 231 Forest St | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 205 Lexington Street | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 53 Linden St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 175 Forest St | open |
| Dunkin' | Coffee shop | Coffee | 130 Lexington St | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop | Coffee | 876A Lexington St | open |
| Eastern Standard Provisions | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 117 Beaver St | open | |
| Einstein Bros. Bagels | Bakery | Bakery | 175 Forest St | open |
| Feng Shui Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1019 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Friendly's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1111 Lexington St | open |
| Glendale PKGE Store | Bar | 1093 Lexington St | open | |
| Grassfields | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 878 Lexington St | open |
| Harry's Pub at Bentley University | Bar | 175 Forest St | open | |
| House Plante Realty Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 53 Linden St | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs | Other | Sandwiches | 840 Lexington Street | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 501 Main St | open |
| Kiwaz Caribbean Spice | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Caribbean · American | 33 Lexington St | open |
| La Campania | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 504 Main St | open |
| Lavallee's Bakery Distributors | Bakery | Bakery | 117 Beaver St | open |
| Mama's Hungarian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | German / Eastern European · European | 39 Emerson Rd | open |
| Mastoran Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 822 Lexington St | open | |
| Mighty Squirrel Brewing Co. | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom · Bar | 411 Waverley Oaks Rd | open | |
| Moe's Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Mexican | 831 Main Street | open |
| New York Deli & Pizza | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Pizza · Sandwiches | 47 Lexington St | open |
| Onezo - Waltham | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 619 Main St | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Fast casual | Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1100 Lexington Street | open |
| Papa Gino's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 130 Lexington St Ste 1 | open |
| Papa Gino's Papa Gino's | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 1018 Lexington St | open |
| Peshawri Kebabs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 603 Main St | open |
| Sichuan's Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | Waverly Oaks Rd | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 175 Forest St | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1019 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 869 - 871 Main St | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1077 Lexington Street | open |
| Sushi Box | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 617 Main St | open |
| Via Latina | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 573 Main St | open |
| Waltham Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 168 Lexington St | open |
| Waltham Pub | Bar | 619 Main St | open | |
| Watch City Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Brazilian · Latin American (other) | 573 Main St | open |
| Wilson's Diner | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 507 Main St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1997 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 14 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 14 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 14 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 32 | 23 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 32 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 39 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 37 | 22 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 36 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 37 | 22 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 32 | 21 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 32 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 35 | 24 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 35 | 24 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 35 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 34 | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 33 | 23 | 6 | 12 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 31 | 22 | 4 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 32 | 24 | 4 | 13 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 35 | 27 | 6 | 13 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 44 | 36 | 7 | 18 | 11 | — | NAICS2022 |