BMIE Market 02451
Middlesex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 17,393 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,277 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,481 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±468 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 17,426 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,898 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $122,335 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,961 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,677 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±219 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $753,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,509 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 132 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02451 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 71.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -17.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -15.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +131.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +1,785.7% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 165 (range 122–208) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.7 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 29 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02451. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 84.1 | 84 | 40% | +33.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 40.9 | 41 | 35% | +14.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 29.3 | 29 | 25% | +7.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 17,393 | 79 | 40% | +31.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 122,335 | 91 | 40% | +36.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,481 | 80 | 20% | +16.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -15.9 | 16 | 35% | +5.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 75.9 | 6 | 25% | +1.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 17,393 | 79 | 20% | +15.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 122,335 | 91 | 20% | +18.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 29 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -17.0 | 14 | 50% | +7.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -15.9 | 16 | 30% | +4.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 131.6 | 87 | 20% | +17.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (101)
By cuisine
Pizza 15 · American 14 · Coffee 10 · Asian 9 · Burgers 7 · Italian 7 · Japanese 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Bakery 5 · Chinese 5 · Dessert 5 · Breakfast 4 · Sushi 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Mexican 3 · Seafood 3 · Greek 2 · Korean 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Thai 2 · Vegetarian 2 · BBQ 1 · Caribbean 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southeast Asian (other) 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegan 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 69 · Quick service 11 · Casual dining 9 · Bakery 8 · Bar 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Café 5 · Dessert 5 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Absolutely Asia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 864 Main St | open |
| Adept 52 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean | 11 Pond St Ct | open |
| Anna's Pizza House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 873 Main St | open |
| Arcadia Restaurant | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 837 Main St | open |
| Atrium Lounge | Bar | 550 Winter St | open | |
| B F Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 227 Lake St | open |
| BaanThai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Thai · Sushi | 659 Main St | open |
| Barstool Bites | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 475 Winter St | open | |
| Bertucci's Italian Restaurant Bertucci's Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 475 Winter St | open |
| Boston Innovation Technology Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 681 Main St Ste 2-11 | open | |
| Cafe Angelinos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Pizza | 1056 Main St | open |
| Cafe On The Common | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 677 Main St | open |
| Cafe Services 830 Wint | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Coffee | 830 Winter St | open |
| Chateau Restaurant The Chateau Italian Family Dining | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Seafood · Pizza | 195 School St | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1030 Main St Ste 5 | open |
| Copper House Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | American | 380 Winter St | open |
| Corporate Chef's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 195 West St | open | |
| Costco Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 520 Winter St | open |
| Craft Food Halls Craft Food Halls - Revolution | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 200 Smith St | open |
| Craft Food Halls - Waltham Craft Food Halls - Revolution | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 200 5th Ave | open | |
| D'Angelo Grilled Sandwiches | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 75 3rd Ave | open |
| Domenic's | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Italian | 987 Main St | open |
| Dominican Grill Chicken and Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 897 Main St | open |
| Ducks in a Row | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 25 Pond St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 859 Main St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Dessert | 511 Totten Pond Rd | open |
| El Gordo Chimi | Food truck | 1455 Trapelo Rd | open | |
| Elephant Walk | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southeast Asian (other) · French | 663 Main St | open |
| Fin's Sushi and Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 922 Main St | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1030 Main Street | open |
| Flank | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 74 Tower Rd | open |
| Flower Hut | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Pizza | 1601 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Foodgod Truffle Fries | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 475 Winter St | open | |
| Friendly Pig Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 841 Main St | open | |
| Goodwin's BBQ | Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 1455 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Grand Slam Restaurant Concepts Waltham Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 70 Market Place Dr | open | |
| Green Papaya | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 475 Winter St | open |
| Guy Fieri's Flavortown Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 475 Winter St | open |
| Hakata Ramen and Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 895 Main St | open |
| Hall Of Fame Pizza And Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 912 Main St | open |
| Harriet's Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 119 School St | open |
| Hobbs Brook | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 610 Lincoln St | open |
| IL Capriccio | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 704 Main St | open |
| Jack's Backyard Bar B Que | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1601 Trapelo Rd | open | |
| Jake n JOES Sports Grille - Waltham Jake n JOES Sports Grille | Bar · Casual dining | American | 70 Market Pl Dr | open |
| Jiang Nan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho | 922 Main St | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 475 Winter St | open |
| Joe Sent Me | Casual dining · Bar | 849 Main St | open | |
| Josephs Two | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 805 Main St | open |
| Larray's Loaded Mac | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 475 Winter St | open | |
| Lena's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 889 Main St | open |
| Leo's Place Diner | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 655 Main St | open |
| Lobby Bar | Bar | 250 2nd Ave | open | |
| Mandarin Oriental Management | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 175 Wyman St | open |
| Marsala's Italian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 897 Main St | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1110 Lexington St | open |
| MGH Waltham Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 42 2nd Ave | open |
| Mister Monut | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 873 Main St | open |
| Mulan Taiwanese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 835 Main St | open |
| Naked Fish Restaurants Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 455 Totten Pond Rd | open | |
| Nascar Refuel | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 475 Winter St | open | |
| Noodles Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 922 Main St | open |
| Not Your Average Joe's Not Your Average Joe's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 56 Market Place Dr | open |
| Omega Natural Science, Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1050 Winter St | open | |
| Osteria Posto | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 99 3rd Ave | open | |
| Painted Burro Waltham Painted Burro Waltham | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 99 3rd Ave | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Fast casual | Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1030 Main Street | open |
| Pardon My Cheesesteak | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 475 Winter St | open | |
| Peipei's Bakery🍩 | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 873 Main St | open |
| Phinix Virtual Kitchens | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 840 Winter St | open |
| Pizza Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Greek | 1056 Main St | open |
| Pizzeria Enzina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Vegetarian · Pizza | 1056 Main St | open |
| Ponzu Izakaya Waltham | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Korean · Asian | 286 Moody St | open |
| Rebecca’s Cafe & Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1601 Trapelo Rd | open | |
| Relish Burger Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 70 3rd Ave | open |
| Roots to Rise | Café | Coffee · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 75 3rd Ave | open |
| Ruth's Chris Steak House Ruth's Chris Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Seafood · American | 500 Totten Pond Rd | open |
| Sal's Mobile | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1455 Trapelo Rd | open |
| Sams Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 655 Main St | open | |
| Sato Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 475 Winter St | open |
| Snow Development Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 975 Main St | open | |
| Sousviderie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 200 5th Ave | open | |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 40 Sylvan Rd | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 230 3rd Ave | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 15 Market Place Dr | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 70 3rd Ave | open |
| Steve's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1250 Main St | open |
| Sweetgreen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegan | 500 Totten Pond Rd | open |
| Taqueria Mariana | Food truck | Mexican | 100 1st Ave | open |
| Tessie's Bar and Kitchen | Casual dining · Bar | Burgers · American | 841 Main St | open |
| The Chubby Chickpea Food Truck @ SOWA | Food truck | open | ||
| The Federal | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 74 Tower Rd | open |
| The Local Kitchen & Drinks Local Kitchens | Bar · Casual dining | American | 99 3rd Ave | open |
| Uno Pizzeria & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls | 155 Bear Hill Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 806 Main Street | open |
| Wow Bao Wing Squad | Quick service | Asian · Chinese | Waltham, MA 2451 | open |
| Yum Bunnies Cakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 977 Main St | open |
| Yumcha | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 901B Main St | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1070 Lexington St | open |
| Costco Liquor | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 71 Second Ave | closed | |
| Gracie's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 39 Emerson Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1997 | 8 | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 42 | 36 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 46 | 39 | 15 | 18 | 4 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 48 | 41 | 13 | 21 | 6 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 66 | 56 | 15 | 30 | 9 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 100 | 75 | 28 | 37 | 9 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 72 | 57 | 19 | 34 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 100 | 71 | 22 | 41 | 8 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 107 | 78 | 26 | 43 | 9 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 118 | 92 | 22 | 57 | 13 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 136 | 108 | 27 | 70 | 10 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 143 | 110 | 25 | 77 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 162 | 122 | 30 | 84 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 162 | 125 | 26 | 90 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 180 | 144 | 28 | 107 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 175 | 141 | 27 | 109 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 203 | 157 | 28 | 121 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 204 | 167 | 27 | 132 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 213 | 178 | 31 | 138 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 221 | 182 | 31 | 141 | 10 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 212 | 176 | 31 | 133 | 11 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 192 | 159 | 32 | 118 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 225 | 191 | 28 | 156 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 236 | 205 | 29 | 170 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 222 | 193 | 29 | 157 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 182 | 152 | 27 | 115 | 10 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 161 | 132 | 31 | 94 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |