BMIE Market 02420
Middlesex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 16,215 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±916 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,653 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±287 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 14,052 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,251 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $245,031 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,096 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 45.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,801 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±264 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,200,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±47,205 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 7.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 41 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02420 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 20.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -16.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +5.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +115.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +4,000.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 42 (range 35–49) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 40 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02420. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 86.2 | 86 | 40% | +34.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 59.5 | 59 | 35% | +20.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 39.6 | 40 | 25% | +9.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 16,215 | 78 | 40% | +31.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 245,031 | 100 | 40% | +39.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,653 | 76 | 20% | +15.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 5.1 | 50 | 35% | +17.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 25.3 | 26 | 25% | +6.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 16,215 | 78 | 20% | +15.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 245,031 | 100 | 20% | +19.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 40 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -16.3 | 15 | 50% | +7.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 5.1 | 50 | 30% | +15.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 115.8 | 86 | 20% | +17.2 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (63)
By cuisine
Dessert 10 · Asian 9 · Coffee 9 · Bakery 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Pizza 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Indian 5 · American 4 · Chinese 3 · Italian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Mexican 3 · Thai 3 · Breakfast 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Burgers 1 · European 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Bakery 12 · Dessert 11 · Coffee shop 8 · Quick service 6 · Café 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Bar 2 · Fast casual 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbott's Frozen Custard Abbott's Frozen Custard | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1853 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Akame Nigiri and Sake Omakase | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 1707 Massachusetts Ave #2 | open |
| Alexander's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 180 Bedford St | open |
| Anam Cara Therapeutic Massage | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 394 Lowell St Ste 6 | open | |
| Arka Indian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 135 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Avenue Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1806 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Barbara Gosselin, PT | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 109 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Barstool Bites | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1777 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Beijing Chinese Dining | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1709 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Bertucci's Brick Oven Pizza & Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1777 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| BIY Foods Bakery Café | Bakery | Bakery | 317 Woburn St | open |
| Bollywood Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 135 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Burgers On The Green | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Mediterranean | 13 Depot Sq | open |
| Cake Niche | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1707 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Chang Hai Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 321A Woburn St | open |
| Clay Oven | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · American · Asian | 1666 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Coco Fresh Tea & Juice | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 1764 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 137 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Dessert · Coffee shop · Quick service · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert | 10 Woburn St | open |
| Dunkin' | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 317 Woburn St | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 277 Bedford St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 141 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 1707 Massachusetts Ave Ste 1 | open |
| Foodgod Truffle Fries | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1777 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Fruitee Yogurt | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1707 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Gl Gourmet Group Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1709 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Great Harvest Lexington MA | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea | Bakery · Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies | 233 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| il Casale Lexington | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 1727 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Inspire Bowl n Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual | Juice / smoothies · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1686 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Ixtapa Mexican Grill & Cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 177 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Jackson's Kitchen in Lexington Massachusetts | Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 50 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Kin Dee Thai & Pho (Take Out) | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Vietnamese · Asian | 182 Bedford St | open |
| Kuldip & Sons Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7 Meriam St | open | |
| La Dolda | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1736 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Larray's Loaded Mac | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1777 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Lexington House of Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 399 Lowell St | open |
| Little India Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 321 Woburn St | open |
| Love at First Bite Thai Kitchen and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 1710 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Lucky Star Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 321A Woburn St | open | |
| Margaritas | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 440 Bedford St | open |
| Mario's Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 1733 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Nascar Refuel | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1777 Massachusetts Ave | open | |
| Nick's Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 197 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Nick's Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American | 197 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Nourish | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1727 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Panera Bread | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual · Café | Coffee · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1684 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Parfait | Café · Food truck · Dessert | Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 229 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Peet's Coffee Peet's Coffee | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1749 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 46 Bedford St | open |
| Rabiha's | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | open | |
| Rancatore's Ice Cream and Yogurt Rancatore's Ice cream & Yogurt | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1752 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Rice Cube Thai Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 397 Lowell St | open |
| Royal India Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 7 Meriam St | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 1729 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 60 Bedford St | open |
| Sweet Thyme Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1837 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Taipei Gourmet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 211 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Tio Juans Margaritas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 438 Bedford St | open | |
| Très Petite | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 1707 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Via Lago | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Sandwiches | 1845 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| When Pigs Fly Breads | Bakery | Bakery | 1756 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Wicked Bagel | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 171 Massachusetts Ave | open |
| Yangtze River Restaurant Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 25 Depot Sq | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1997 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 20 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 25 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 32 | 25 | 12 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 33 | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 32 | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 27 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 35 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 36 | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 35 | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 40 | 35 | 13 | 14 | 8 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 39 | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 45 | 39 | 14 | 16 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 44 | 40 | 16 | 15 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 46 | 44 | 17 | 17 | 10 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 50 | 47 | 18 | 18 | 11 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 47 | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 57 | 49 | 19 | 20 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 54 | 44 | 16 | 16 | 11 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 48 | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 47 | 41 | 14 | 16 | 11 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 48 | 40 | 16 | 15 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 47 | 41 | 16 | 16 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |