BMIE Market 02460
Middlesex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 10,099 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±891 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,957 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±312 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 8,742 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,774 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $177,837 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,126 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 42.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,654 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±189 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,224,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±78,799 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02460 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 17.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -9.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +26.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +35.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +850.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 19 (range 14–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.11) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02460. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.11, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 81.8 | 82 | 40% | +32.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 68.0 | 68 | 35% | +23.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 41.4 | 41 | 25% | +10.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 10,099 | 71 | 40% | +28.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 177,837 | 98 | 40% | +39.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,957 | 71 | 20% | +14.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 26.7 | 69 | 35% | +24.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 18.8 | 40 | 25% | +10.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 10,099 | 71 | 20% | +14.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 177,837 | 98 | 20% | +19.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -9.5 | 19 | 50% | +9.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 26.7 | 69 | 30% | +20.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 35.7 | 56 | 20% | +11.2 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (36)
By cuisine
Coffee 5 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · American 3 · Asian 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Mexican 2 · Thai 2 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 5 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 2 · Quick service 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aji | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 340 Walnut St | open |
| Amarin of Thailand | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 313 Walnut St | open |
| Annie May’s Sweet Cafe | Bakery | Bakery | 108 Madison Ave | open |
| Blossom Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 318 Walnut St | open |
| Bread And Chocolate | Bakery | Bakery | 108 Madison Ave | open |
| Brewer's Coalition | Bar | 344 Walnut St | open | |
| Cabot's | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 743 Washington St | open |
| Caffè Nero Caffè Nero | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 28 Austin St, Suite 103, Newton, Massachusetts, MA 02460 | open |
| Che! Empanada | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 795 Washington St | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 847 Washington St | open |
| Clover Clover Food Lab | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 835 Washington St | open |
| Comella's Restaurants Comella's Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza · Chicken / wings | 14 Austin St | open |
| COOK. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American · Italian | 825 Washington St | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 829 Washington St | open |
| Fiorella's Cucina Fiorella's Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 187 North St | open |
| George Howell Coffee George Howell Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 311 Walnut St | open |
| Great Harvest | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 316 Walnut St | open |
| Henna Cafe | Café | Coffee | 337 Linwood Ave | open |
| Hong Kong Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Seafood · Asian | 10 Austin St | open |
| Iman Enterprises Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 322 Walnut St # 0 | open | |
| Karoun | Restaurant (service type not stated) | German / Eastern European | 839 Washington St | open |
| Kevorks Catering Inc. Kevorks Catering Inc. Dba Tri-city Win | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 197 North St | open | |
| Kneads More Sprinkles | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 310 Newtonville Ave | open |
| Ledu Thai Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 313 Walnut St | open |
| Los Amigos Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 335 Walnut St | open |
| MIDA | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 261 Walnut St | open | |
| Mochiko Hawaiian Fried Chicken & Bubble Tea Shop | Quick service · Food truck · Delivery-focused | 324 Walnut St | open | |
| Newtonville Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 322 Walnut St | open |
| OTTO OTTO | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 344 Walnut St | open |
| Pluck | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 897 Washington St | open | |
| Rancatore's Ice Cream and Yogurt Rancatore's Ice cream & Yogurt | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 333 Walnut St | open |
| Rice Valley | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 821 Washington St | open |
| Rox Diner | Casual dining | American | 335 Walnut St | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 16 18 Austin Street | open |
| Tri-City Wings & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 197 North St | open |
| Yogurt Beach Yogurt Beach | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 665 Watertown St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1997 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 16 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 16 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 20 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 23 | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 23 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 19 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 21 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 18 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 17 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 20 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |