BMIE Market 07974

Union County, New Jersey · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,349 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±537 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,069 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±343 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,768 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,300 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$172,894 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,635 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,993 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±164 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$758,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,030 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 07974
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	22.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+20.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	25 (range 21–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	36 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 07974. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Jersey and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 567, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.0	84	40%	+33.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.9	64	35%	+22.4
Market Momentum Score	35.7	36	25%	+8.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,349	75	40%	+29.9
Median household income (ACS)	172,894	98	40%	+39.2
Households (ACS)	5,069	74	20%	+14.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	35%	+18.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.0	43	25%	+10.7
Population (ACS)	13,349	75	20%	+15.0
Median household income (ACS)	172,894	98	20%	+19.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	50%	+8.9
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	30%	+16.0
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (49)

By cuisine

Coffee 9 · Bakery 7 · American 5 · Italian 5 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Dessert 4 · Burgers 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Chinese 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Mexican 2 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Café 8 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 6 · Quick service 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Avenue Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1272 Springfield Ave	open
Bacci Brick Oven and Italian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1260 Springfield Ave	open
Bagel Cafe NJ	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	1292 Springfield Ave	open
Bakehouse by Joe Murphy	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1253 Springfield Ave	open
Baxley Xiv, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1771 Springfield Ave	open
Bellariva Trattoria & Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1275 Springfield Ave	open
Beyond Delicious Catering	Café	Coffee	133 South St	open
Bistro Seven Three	Casual dining · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Coffee	1288 Springfield Ave	open
Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1266 Springfield Ave	open
Celestino's Pizza & Restaurant (New Providence)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	590 Central Ave	open
Chen's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1268 Springfield Ave	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1260 Springfield Ave Ste 2	open
Chopt Creative Salad Co. Chopt Creative Salad Co.	Fast casual · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	1260 Springfield Ave Spc 18	open
Coppola Ristorante & Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	590 Central Ave	open
Costarican Cravings	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	76 Marion Ave	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	1255 Springfield Ave	open
Fan Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	8 South St	open
Farm to Cup	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Juice / smoothies · Sandwiches	593 Central Ave	open
Get YO Frozen Yogurt	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	12 South St	open
Gourmet Plus Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		598 Central Ave	open
Harlee's Tap and Grille	Casual dining · Bar		1260 Springfield Ave	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	1260 Springfield Ave.	open
Jose's Mexican Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	24 South St	open
Kawa Ramen House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho	133 South St	open
Latin American Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		76 Marion Ave	open
Maple Candy Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	64 Chestnut St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1771 Springfield Ave	open
Moe's Tapas Bar & Bistro	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	535 Central Ave	open
Muscle Maker Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1260 Springfield Ave	open
New Providence Bagel Co Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1253 Springfield Ave	open
Noah's Bagels	Bakery	Bakery	1253 Springfield Ave Ste 3	open
Old Glory Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1259 Springfield Ave	open
Paolo's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	162 South St	open
Pastrami House New Providence	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1294 Springfield Ave	open
Porto Heli Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1318 Springfield Ave	open
Prestige Diner & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1318 Springfield Ave	open
Ribau & Giordano Food Services Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1260 Springfield Ave	open
Samone's House	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	12 South St	open
Smashburger Smashburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	1260 Springfield Ave.	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1260 Springfield Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1269B Springfield Ave	open
Sweet Touch NJ	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	1682 Springfield Ave	open
Szechuan Delight Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	598 Central Ave #4	open
Tables For Two	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	580 Central Ave	open
The Juice House The Juice House	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	1280 Springfield Ave	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1271 Springfield Ave	open
Untied Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		140 Spring St	open
Zitas Homemade Ice Cream	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery	1790 Springfield Ave	open
Shubh Aashay Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1269B Springfield Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	20	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	23	22	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	28	27	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	28	21	9	6	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	29	22	9	7	3	—	NAICS1997
2000	33	22	9	7	3	—	NAICS1997
2001	29	20	11	7	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	25	17	10	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	25	18	12	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	23	18	11	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	19	14	8	3	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	22	18	10	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	34	29	11	9	8	—	NAICS2002
2008	34	28	12	6	10	—	NAICS2007
2009	33	27	11	6	10	—	NAICS2007
2010	33	27	10	7	10	—	NAICS2007
2011	27	20	10	6	4	—	NAICS2007
2012	31	25	12	7	6	—	NAICS2012
2013	28	22	9	7	6	—	NAICS2012
2014	33	26	11	9	6	—	NAICS2012
2015	31	26	9	11	6	—	NAICS2012
2016	32	26	9	10	7	—	NAICS2012
2017	31	26	8	11	7	—	NAICS2017
2018	32	27	7	12	8	—	NAICS2017
2019	29	24	6	11	7	—	NAICS2017
2020	26	22	6	10	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	28	26	8	13	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	29	27	9	13	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	26	24	8	12	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 07974. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
07922	1.9 mi	24	2023
07928	2.0 mi	32	2023
07901	2.3 mi	63	2023
07092	2.5 mi	9	2023
07933	2.8 mi	10	2023
07081	3.6 mi	48	2023
07935	3.6 mi	1	2016
07023	3.9 mi	11	2023
07069	4.1 mi	19	2023
07090	4.5 mi	71	2023
07940	4.5 mi	50	2023
07976	4.5 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.