BMIE Market 10307
Richmond County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 15,512 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,452 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,211 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±337 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 14,096 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,354 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $147,184 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,727 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,821 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±272 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $801,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±78,858 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10307 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 12.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +10.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +72.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +158.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +287.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 40 (range 35–45) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.3 per year, r² 0.80) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10307. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.80, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 84.2 | 84 | 40% | +33.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 74.8 | 75 | 35% | +26.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 78.6 | 79 | 25% | +19.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 15,512 | 77 | 40% | +30.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 147,184 | 96 | 40% | +38.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,211 | 75 | 20% | +15.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 72.2 | 88 | 35% | +30.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 20.0 | 37 | 25% | +9.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 15,512 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 147,184 | 96 | 20% | +19.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 10.7 | 68 | 50% | +34.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 72.2 | 88 | 30% | +26.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 158.3 | 90 | 20% | +17.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (58)
By cuisine
Italian 10 · Sandwiches 8 · Pizza 7 · Coffee 6 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Mexican 4 · Chinese 3 · American 2 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Japanese 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Quick service 11 · Bar 9 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 6 · Specialty food shop 6 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aloysia's Lounge | Bar | 7097 Amboy Rd #1403 | open | |
| Angelinas of Tottenville | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 399 Main St | open | |
| Antonio's Gourmet | Specialty food shop | Italian | 7319 Amboy Rd | open |
| B & E's Neighborhood Pub | Bar | 225 Main St | open | |
| Belli Baci Bakery. | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 7358 Amboy Rd | open |
| Burger King | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 245 Page Ave | open |
| Campania Coal Fired Pizza Campania Coal Fired Pizza - Eltingville | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 240 Page Ave | open |
| Campania Provisions Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 240 Page Ave | open | |
| Carvel Carvel Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 240 Page Ave | open |
| Chef Hong Ii | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 7226 Amboy Rd | open |
| Cookies N Cream Cookies N Cream Dyker Heights | Dessert · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery | 7323 Amboy Rd | open |
| Coral Bay Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Coffee | 722 Rockaway St | open |
| Dani's Italian Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 7331 Amboy Rd | open |
| Deluca's Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 7324 Amboy Rd | open |
| Don Cesar Restaurant & Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Spanish / tapas | 7528 Amboy Rd | open |
| Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 7316 Amboy Rd | open |
| E Squared Cafe | Bar | 240 Page Ave | open | |
| Fina's Farmhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 20 Ellis St | open | |
| Frankie's Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · American | Park Avenue | open |
| G-knows On The Go | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 275 Page Ave | open |
| Gigi's Cafe & Keke's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7423 Amboy Rd | open |
| Hinge Of Staten Island | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5373 Arthur Kill Rd | open | |
| Hot Dog Stand | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 123 Main St | open | |
| J KIKI'S DELI | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Delivery-focused | Sandwiches | 249 Main St | open |
| Johns Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 7423 Amboy Rd | open |
| Kim's Island | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 175 Main St | open |
| Large vacant Restaurant for lease | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7528 Amboy Rd | open |
| Main Street Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 173 Main St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 260 Page Ave | open |
| Mi Cocina Mi Cocina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 509 Main St | open |
| Mikey Bagels | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 7420 Amboy Rd | open |
| Mizu Hibachi & Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse | 240 Page Ave | open |
| Mushy, Button, Ralphie, Frankie & Roscoe’s place. | Quick service · Bar | 51 Girard St | open | |
| Paradise Island | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 225 Ellis St | open |
| Peking Taste | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 240 Page Ave | open |
| Pgj Food Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7517 Amboy Rd | open | |
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 158-Page Ave | open |
| QDOBA Mexican Eats Qdoba | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 7001 Amboy Rd, Unit 106 | open |
| Randazzos Bar/Restaurant and Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Pizza | 5262 Arthur Kill Rd | open |
| Rita's Italian Ice Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 163 Main St | open |
| Rita’s of Tottenville NY Rita's Italian Ice | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | open | |
| Rocky's Pizza Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 7339 Amboy Rd | open |
| Sal's Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 245 Richmond Valley Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 303A Page Ave | open |
| Taqueria Oaxaca | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 167 Main St | open |
| Taqueria Restaurant Tres Amigos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7528 Amboy Rd Fl 1 | open | |
| The Chocolate Suite | Dessert · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Bakery | Bakery · Sandwiches | 7321 Amboy Rd | open |
| The Spot In Tottenville | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | open | |
| Tim Hortons | Coffee shop | Coffee | 7001 Amboy Rd | open |
| Towne Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian | 5373 Arthur Kill Rd | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 7001 Amboy Rd | open |
| Uncle Louie G | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 7507 Amboy Rd | open |
| Uncle Louie'gee I | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 101M Ellis St | open |
| Villa Monte Pizzeria South | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 7001 Amboy Rd | open |
| Villaggio Pizzaria Restaurante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 7517 Amboy Rd | open |
| W's Bar And Restaurant | Bar | 7001 Amboy Rd | open | |
| Reggiano's Brick Oven Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7339 Amboy Rd | closed |
| Tottenville Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 7507 Amboy Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 10 | 8 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 9 | 7 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 12 | 10 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 12 | 11 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 21 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 21 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 21 | 16 | 10 | 6 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 19 | 16 | 9 | 7 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 20 | 16 | 11 | 5 | — | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 23 | 18 | 11 | 7 | — | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 23 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 23 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 24 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 27 | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 27 | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 29 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 32 | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 33 | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 37 | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 36 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 34 | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 31 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 33 | 31 | 14 | 12 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |