BMIE Market 10706

Westchester County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,183 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±337 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,468 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±272 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,679 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,621 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$190,833 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±31,842 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,877 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±176 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$867,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±31,848 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10706
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+17.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+66.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	21 (range 18–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.34) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	70 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10706. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.34, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.1	81	40%	+32.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.3	63	35%	+22.2
Market Momentum Score	69.6	70	25%	+17.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,183	70	40%	+27.8
Median household income (ACS)	190,833	99	40%	+39.5
Households (ACS)	3,468	69	20%	+13.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	17.7	61	35%	+21.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.8	33	25%	+8.2
Population (ACS)	9,183	70	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	190,833	99	20%	+19.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	17.7	61	30%	+18.3
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (40)

By cuisine

American 9 · Coffee 6 · Bakery 4 · Italian 4 · Mexican 3 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · Breakfast 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Quick service 4 · Dessert 2 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Am Jo's Culinary Corner	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	290 Farragut Ave	open
Antoinette's Patisserie	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	417 Warburton Ave	open
Blue Moon Mexican Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · American	19 Main St	open
Boro6 Wine Bar	Bar		549 Warburton Ave	open
Bread & Brine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	19 Main St	open
By the Way Bakery By The Way Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Halal / kosher · Dessert	574 Warburton Ave	open
Chick-fil-A	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		Mile 6, NY State Thruway	open
Comfort Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	583 Warburton Ave	open
Diriso	Restaurant (service type not stated)		42 Main St	open
Divino Cucina Italiana	Bar	Italian	524 Warburton Ave	open
Drink Llc Dba The Mill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		583 Warburton Ave	open
Fort Pond Bay Company Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 River St # 0.0	open
Forty North	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	100 River St	open
Ha Vine Restaurant Group Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		155 Southside Ave # A	open
Harvest on Hudson	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1 River St	open
Hastings Center Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	540 Warburton Ave	open
Hastings Hospitality Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		19 Main St # Store	open
Hastings Own Bagel	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	8 Main St	open
Hastings Station Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	134 Southside Ave	open
Hudson Valley Health & Tennis Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 River St	open
Juniper	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	19 Main St	open
Maud's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	149 Southside Ave	open
Monkey Bar Collective	Bar		5 Glenn Pl	open
New China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	531 Warburton Ave	open
Penny Lick Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	580 Warburton Ave	open
Pink Panther Truck	Food truck	Mexican	Saw Mill River Rd	open
Pizza Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	535 Warburton Ave	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	Mile Post 6 North-Ny State Thruway	open
Sakura Garden Japanese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	531 Warburton Ave	open
Slices	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	14 Main St	open
Soup Man	Restaurant (service type not stated)		87 Main St	open
Starbucks Burger King	Quick service · Coffee shop	Coffee · Burgers · American	NY Thruway, Mile Post 6 North	open
Tacos On Hudson	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	575 Warburton Ave	open
Taiim Falafel Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean · Indian	598 Warburton Ave	open
The Good Witch Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	134 Southside Ave	open
The Speakeasy At Divino	Bar		524 Warburton Ave	open
Tyga Bites	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	87 Main St	open
Uncle Leftys	Casual dining · Bar		583 Warburton Ave	open
Wild Culture Waffles and Frozen Yogurt	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · Breakfast	579 Warburton Ave #5	open
Buffet De La Gare	Restaurant (service type not stated)	European	155 Southside Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	15	13	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	19	17	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	19	13	9	3	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	18	12	9	2	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	19	13	10	2	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	20	12	8	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	20	14	8	5	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	19	15	9	5	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	21	15	9	5	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	23	14	7	6	1	4	NAICS2002
2006	21	16	8	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	19	15	7	7	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	19	14	8	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	16	11	7	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	21	15	10	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	23	16	10	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	22	17	10	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	23	17	11	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	20	15	9	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	22	16	8	7	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	25	19	11	6	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	26	19	10	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	21	16	9	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	22	17	10	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	24	18	9	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	24	18	9	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	18	9	6	3	3	NAICS2022
2023	26	20	10	6	4	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 10706. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
10522	1.4 mi	31	2023
10710	1.9 mi	89	2023
10502	2.1 mi	19	2023
10703	2.3 mi	18	2023
10503	2.5 mi	1	2004
07620	2.9 mi	1	2016
10964	2.9 mi	4	2023
10701	3.1 mi	93	2023
10707	3.2 mi	28	2023
10533	3.3 mi	19	2023
10530	3.7 mi	45	2023
10976	3.8 mi	8	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.