BMIE Market 10502

Westchester County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,197 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±375 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,945 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±135 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,487 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,973 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$250,001 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$3,501 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$845,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±42,499 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10502
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	36.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-20.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-24.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+5.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+5.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 13–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.7 per year, r² 0.83) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	42 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	17 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10502. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.83, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.6	78	40%	+31.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41.9	42	35%	+14.7
Market Momentum Score	17.4	17	25%	+4.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,197	64	40%	+25.5
Median household income (ACS)	250,001	100	40%	+39.9
Households (ACS)	1,945	61	20%	+12.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-24	13	35%	+4.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	30.7	19	25%	+4.8
Population (ACS)	6,197	64	20%	+12.8
Median household income (ACS)	250,001	100	20%	+20.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 17 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-20.8	12	50%	+6.2
10-year restaurant growth	-24	13	30%	+3.8
20-year restaurant growth	5.6	37	20%	+7.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (38)

By cuisine

Coffee 8 · Italian 6 · Bakery 5 · Pizza 5 · American 4 · Asian 4 · Chinese 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Breakfast 2 · Dessert 2 · Japanese 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Indian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Café 6 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 4 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Catering 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Ardsley Cucina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	935 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Ardsley Diner	Casual dining	American	731 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Ardsley Market Fresh & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	645 Saw Mill River Rd Ste 1	open
Bella's Trattoria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Seafood	473 Ashford Ave	open
Booskerdoo Coffee and Baking Co. Booskerdoo Coffee & Baking Co.	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	716 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Calcutta Wrap & Roll	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	465 Ashford Ave	open
Carvel Carvel Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	666 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Ciccone's Ardsley Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	25 Center St	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	875 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Fiamma	Café	Pizza · Italian · Coffee	473 Ashford Ave	open
Fiesta Mexico Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	468 Ashford Ave	open
Fong Xing	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	696 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Fratfam Restaurant Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		698 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Golden Wok Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	875 Saw Mill River Rd	open
L & M Catering, Inc Dba Ardslaeydiner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		731 Saw Mill River Rd	open
L'inizio	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	698 Saw Mill River Rd	open
La Catena Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	871 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Madaba III	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café	Sandwiches · Coffee	694 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Mes Amis French Cafe	Café	Breakfast · French · Coffee	469 Ashford Ave	open
Moga Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		925 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Momo’s Cafe	Café	Coffee	909 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Neung Thai Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	800 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Planet Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	721 Saw Mill River Rd	open
PourHouse Bar & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		468 Ashford Ave	open
Pumpernickel Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	925 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Riviera Bakehouse	Bakery	Bakery	660 Saw Mill River Rd	open
S & S Westchester Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		875 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Sazan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	729 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Stagioni	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	2 Bridge St	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	716-718 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Sterling Culinary Concepts	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering · Bakery	Bakery	11 McKinley Pl	open
Subway	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	666 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Sunshine Bagels & Doughnut Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	717 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Szechuan City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	875 Saw Mill River Rd	open
The Cafe At House Of Sports	Café	Coffee	1 Elm St	open
The Shop Ardsley	Bakery	American · Breakfast · Bakery	711 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Umami Sushi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	724 Saw Mill River Rd	open
Yogurt By You	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	726 Saw Mill River Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	19	18	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	20	20	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	20	19	10	6	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	21	20	11	5	4	—	NAICS1997
2000	23	21	13	5	3	—	NAICS1997
2001	22	20	13	5	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	23	21	11	6	4	—	NAICS1997
2003	20	18	8	6	4	—	NAICS2002
2004	21	17	7	6	4	—	NAICS2002
2005	24	20	8	7	5	—	NAICS2002
2006	22	17	9	4	4	1	NAICS2002
2007	23	17	8	6	3	3	NAICS2002
2008	22	18	7	6	5	2	NAICS2007
2009	21	18	7	7	4	1	NAICS2007
2010	23	20	9	7	4	1	NAICS2007
2011	22	19	8	7	4	1	NAICS2007
2012	27	23	12	6	5	1	NAICS2012
2013	30	25	13	7	5	2	NAICS2012
2014	29	24	11	8	5	1	NAICS2012
2015	31	26	11	11	4	2	NAICS2012
2016	29	25	13	8	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	28	23	12	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	29	24	11	8	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	29	23	11	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	26	21	10	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	25	21	10	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	23	19	10	5	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	23	19	11	4	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 10502. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
10522	1.2 mi	31	2023
10530	1.7 mi	45	2023
10533	1.9 mi	19	2023
10706	2.1 mi	20	2023
10503	2.1 mi	1	2004
10607	2.5 mi	18	2023
10710	2.9 mi	89	2023
10583	3.1 mi	85	2023
10606	3.4 mi	26	2023
10523	3.5 mi	33	2023
10707	3.7 mi	28	2023
10964	3.8 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.