BMIE Market 10607

Westchester County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,466 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±874 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,320 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±290 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,824 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,374 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$168,603 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,701 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,141 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,454 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$673,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±42,638 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10607
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	30.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 11–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.09) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	34 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10607. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.09, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.5	78	40%	+31.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43.7	44	35%	+15.3
Market Momentum Score	33.9	34	25%	+8.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,466	64	40%	+25.8
Median household income (ACS)	168,603	98	40%	+39.1
Households (ACS)	2,320	63	20%	+12.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	35%	+5.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	27.8	22	25%	+5.6
Population (ACS)	6,466	64	20%	+12.9
Median household income (ACS)	168,603	98	20%	+19.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	30%	+4.9
20-year restaurant growth	12.5	41	20%	+8.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

Pizza 6 · Bakery 4 · Coffee 4 · Italian 4 · Dessert 3 · Sandwiches 3 · American 2 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Bakery 5 · Quick service 4 · Dessert 3 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Bar 1 · Buffet 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Applebee's Grill + Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	395 Tarrytown Rd	open
Bagel Emporium Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)		31 Tarrytown Rd	open
Bagel Oven Inc	Bakery	Bakery	401 Tarrytown Rd	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	81 Knollwood Rd	open
Benjamin Steakhouse - Westchester Benjamin Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	610 Hartsdale Rd	open
Cerbone of Naples	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	413 Tarrytown Rd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	405 Tarrytown Rd	open
Dave's Hot Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	489 Tarrytown Rd	open
Duck Donuts Duck Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	393 Tarrytown Rd Suite 393	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	482 Tarrytown Rd	open
Great Wall Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		237 Tarrytown Rd	open
La Manda’s Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	251 Tarrytown Rd	open
Little Caesars - Kmart	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	399 TARRYTOWN RD	open
Max Deli and Grocery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Breakfast	241 Tarrytown Rd	open
Nesto's Pizza & Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	24 Tarrytown Rd	open
New Great Wall	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	237 Tarrytown Rd	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	377 Tarrytown Rd	open
Planet Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	290 Tarrytown Rd	open
Racanelli's Original Pizza & Brew	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	85 Knollwood Rd	open
Riko’s Pizza of White Plains Riko's Pizza Carolina Beach	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	423 Tarrytown Rd	open
Royal Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	77 Knollwood Rd	open
Sabrosito Restaurant Express Sabrosito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	31 Tarrytown Rd	open
Salad House White Plains Salad House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	439 Tarrytown Rd	open
Sdb Restaurant Greenburgh Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		85 Knollwood Rd	open
Sizzler	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	409 Tarrytown Rd	open
Smashburger Smashburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	49 Tarrytown Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	201 Tarrytown Rd	open
Super Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	425 Tarrytown Rd	open
Umi Buffet Umi premier Sushi & Seafood Buffet - Deptford	Buffet	Japanese · Sushi · Seafood	395 Tarrytown Rd	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service		24 Tarrytown Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	15	15	7	5	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	15	14	7	5	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	14	14	8	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	14	14	6	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	16	16	6	6	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	16	16	8	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	20	19	10	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	20	19	9	6	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	17	16	9	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	21	20	9	5	5	—	NAICS2002
2008	19	18	6	7	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	22	20	8	8	3	1	NAICS2007
2010	22	21	8	8	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	21	19	9	7	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	21	20	10	6	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	22	21	10	7	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	16	16	8	5	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	16	16	8	5	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	16	16	9	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	20	18	8	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	18	8	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	18	9	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	18	9	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	15	6	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	15	6	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	18	7	8	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 10607. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
10530	1.1 mi	45	2023
10523	1.5 mi	33	2023
10603	1.9 mi	27	2023
10606	2.2 mi	26	2023
10533	2.3 mi	19	2023
10502	2.5 mi	19	2023
10601	2.5 mi	121	2023
10522	3.4 mi	31	2023
10503	3.4 mi	1	2004
10591	3.6 mi	68	2023
10583	3.7 mi	85	2023
10595	3.7 mi	14	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.