BMIE Market 10703

Westchester County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,586 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,142 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,752 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±553 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	20,301 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,007 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$89,773 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,933 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,813 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±123 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$527,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±43,002 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10703
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-18.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+5.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+125.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 18–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.22) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	28 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10703. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.22, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.7	79	40%	+31.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.1	69	35%	+24.2
Market Momentum Score	27.7	28	25%	+6.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,586	83	40%	+33.4
Median household income (ACS)	89,773	73	40%	+29.2
Households (ACS)	7,752	81	20%	+16.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	5.9	50	35%	+17.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.0	80	25%	+20.1
Population (ACS)	22,586	83	20%	+16.7
Median household income (ACS)	89,773	73	20%	+14.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 28 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-18.2	14	50%	+7.0
10-year restaurant growth	5.9	50	30%	+15.1
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (36)

By cuisine

Sandwiches 8 · Italian 6 · Pizza 5 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Mexican 4 · American 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Quick service 10 · Specialty food shop 7 · Bar 5 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 4 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Buffet 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2sj Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2 Park Ave	open
3 Guidos Italian Deli and Cafe	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Café	Italian · Sandwiches · Coffee	1462 Nepperhan Ave	open
A & V Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	281 Morsemere Ave	open
Angelina's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Sandwiches · Dessert	495 Odell Ave Apt 1	open
Bagel Land	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	122 Lake Ave # A	open
Barista Speciality Coffee House	Café	Coffee	123 Vineyard Ave	open
Bella Rosa Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1455 Nepperhan Ave	open
Buffet Mendoza	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	779 Palisade Ave	open
Cantina 914	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	525 Nepperhan Ave	open
Carvel Carvel Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1223 Nepperhan Ave	open
Coco Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	138 Lake Ave	open
Deli Flores Corp	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	138 Lake Ave	open
Dms	Bar		400 Palisade Ave	open
Domenick's Nepperhan Italian Pastry Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Italian · Dessert	1457 Nepperhan Ave	open
Don Tony Perez Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		927 Old Nepperhan Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	590 Nepperhan Ave	open
Ecuamexican	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	137 Lake Ave	open
Gigi's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	495 Odell Ave	open
Golden Dragon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	114 Lake Ave	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1229 Nepperhan Avenue	open
M2 Restaurant & Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	1460 Nepperhan Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1200 Nepperhan Ave	open
Mickey's Pizzeria	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	136 Lake Ave	open
Morningside Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		127 Morningside Ave	open
Nugent's Pub	Bar · Casual dining		782 Palisade Ave	open
Number Blocked	Bar		12 Vineyard Ave	open
O Cantinho	Restaurant (service type not stated)		143 Lake Ave	open
P Pascal Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	960 Nepperhan Ave	open
Palisades Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	783 Palisade Ave	open
Riverside Gourmet Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	756 Palisade Ave	open
Royal Market And Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	112 Lake Ave	open
Sevens Luncheonette	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	777 Nepperhan Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	594 Nepperhan Ave	open
Taco Bell	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1217 Nepperhan Avenue	open
Tokyo Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	782 Palisade Ave	open
Tres Chaves	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas	46 Orchard St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	16	14	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	18	17	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	17	12	4	7	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	18	14	5	7	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	21	16	6	7	3	2	NAICS1997
2001	19	15	6	7	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	19	14	6	6	2	4	NAICS1997
2003	21	18	6	9	3	2	NAICS2002
2004	20	17	5	9	3	2	NAICS2002
2005	21	17	5	9	3	3	NAICS2002
2006	21	18	6	9	3	2	NAICS2002
2007	23	19	9	8	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	21	18	8	6	4	1	NAICS2007
2009	22	19	8	7	3	1	NAICS2007
2010	25	21	9	7	4	1	NAICS2007
2011	21	17	5	8	4	1	NAICS2007
2012	22	19	7	8	4	1	NAICS2012
2013	20	17	6	7	4	1	NAICS2012
2014	20	16	7	4	5	2	NAICS2012
2015	22	19	8	7	4	1	NAICS2012
2016	21	19	6	8	5	1	NAICS2012
2017	23	21	6	10	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	24	22	4	12	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	24	22	5	12	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	23	21	3	12	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	25	24	5	13	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	19	5	9	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	18	4	9	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 10703. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
10701	0.7 mi	93	2023
07620	2.0 mi	1	2016
10710	2.0 mi	89	2023
10706	2.3 mi	20	2023
10705	2.7 mi	42	2023
10704	2.8 mi	85	2023
10708	3.0 mi	45	2023
10707	3.0 mi	28	2023
10522	3.7 mi	31	2023
10552	3.7 mi	15	2023
10709	3.8 mi	17	2023
07627	3.9 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.