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BMIE Market 20818

Montgomery County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)1,539
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±366 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households593
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±136 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count1,962
2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units789
2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income$245,982
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±53,171 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age52.7
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rentData source not yet connected
Median home value$1,335,100
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±306,694 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area0.9 sq mi
Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants5
2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20818
Restaurants per 10,000 residents15.3
DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year+25.0%
DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year+25.0%
DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year+150.0%
DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file+400.0%
DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 20285 (range 3–6)
FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.49) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years aheadNeeds more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score65 / 100
MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score64 / 100
MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score56 / 100
MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score78 / 100
MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
Consumer Market Score63.76440%+25.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score55.95635%+19.6
Market Momentum Score78.37825%+19.6
Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
Population (ACS)1,5394040%+16.0
Median household income (ACS)245,98210040%+39.8
Households (ACS)5934020%+7.9
Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
10-year restaurant growth256735%+23.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)32.51825%+4.5
Population (ACS)1,5394020%+8.0
Median household income (ACS)245,98210020%+19.9
Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 78 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
5-year restaurant growth258150%+40.4
10-year restaurant growth256730%+20.2
20-year restaurant growth1508920%+17.8
Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (4)

By cuisine

American 1 · Coffee 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 3 · Café 1 · Casual dining 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1

NameTypeCuisineAddressStatus
Fish Taco - Cabin JohnRestaurant (service type not stated)Mexican7945 MacArthur Blvdopen
Market On The BoulevardSpecialty food shop · Quick service · CaféSandwiches · Coffee7945 Macarthur Blvd #104open
Sal's Italian Kitchen Sal's Italian RistoranteRestaurant (service type not stated)Italian · Pizza7945 Macarthur Blvdopen
Wild TomatoRestaurant (service type not stated) · Casual diningAmerican7945 Macarthur Blvdopen
Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

YearAll food serviceRestaurantsFull-serviceLimited-serviceSnack & beverageBarsIndustry codes
199411SIC1987
199511SIC1987
199622SIC1987
199722SIC1987
19982211NAICS1997
19993211NAICS1997
20002211NAICS1997
20013321NAICS1997
20023321NAICS1997
20032211NAICS2002
20046532NAICS2002
20056532NAICS2002
20064312NAICS2002
20074312NAICS2002
20085321NAICS2007
20095321NAICS2007
20105321NAICS2007
20115321NAICS2007
20125431NAICS2012
20135431NAICS2012
20144321NAICS2012
20154321NAICS2012
20164321NAICS2012
201754NAICS2017
201854NAICS2017
201954NAICS2017
202054NAICS2017
202154NAICS2017
202254NAICS2022
2023653NAICS2022
U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 20818. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTADistanceRestaurantsYear
208121.1 mi12016
208171.7 mi372023
221012.3 mi552023
208162.5 mi142023
208943.6 mi12014
208923.7 mi12011
208143.9 mi1492023
221023.9 mi1062023
208154.5 mi372023
208894.6 mi42023
200164.6 mi602023
Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.