BMIE Market 20816
Montgomery County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 18,140 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,181 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±382 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 16,208 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,666 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $232,656 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,899 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,674 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±283 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,217,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±48,632 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20816 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 6.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +7.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +7.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +16.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 17 (range 14–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.36) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 44 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20816. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.36, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 87.2 | 87 | 40% | +34.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 74.4 | 74 | 35% | +26.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 44.1 | 44 | 25% | +11.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 18,140 | 80 | 40% | +31.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 232,656 | 99 | 40% | +39.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,400 | 78 | 20% | +15.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 7.7 | 52 | 35% | +18.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 7.7 | 81 | 25% | +20.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 18,140 | 80 | 20% | +15.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 232,656 | 99 | 20% | +19.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 44 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 7.7 | 52 | 30% | +15.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 7.7 | 38 | 20% | +7.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (27)
By cuisine
Pizza 5 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 3 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · American 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Café 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acquanails Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4701 Sangamore Rd Ste M8 | open | |
| Bakery from Germany | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery from Germany LLC c/o Bethesda Market, 4611 Sangamore Rd | open |
| Bethesda Market | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 4611 Sangamore Rd Ste D | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 7309 Macarthur Blvd | open |
| Domino's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5110 Ridgefield Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Breakfast | 4600 Sangamore Rd | open |
| Georgetown Bagelry | Bakery | Bakery · Breakfast | 5227 River Rd | open |
| Glen Echo Pizza & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7307 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Gregorio's Trattoria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 4611-a sangamore Rd | open |
| Hunan Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 5253 River Rd | open |
| Ice & Creme Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5241 River Rd | open | |
| Kanpai Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 7307 Macarthur Blvd # A | open |
| La Cobanerita | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 5110 River Rd | open | |
| Ledo Pizza Ledo Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5245 River Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5214 River Rd | open |
| Passion Fin | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Sushi · Japanese | 4611 Sangamore Rd | open |
| Piccoli Piatti | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 5306 Zenith Overlook | open |
| Praline Bakery Praline Bakery & Bistro | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 4611 Sangamore Rd | open |
| Sarah's Handmade Ice Cream River Road | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · American | 5241 River Rd | open |
| Sense of Thai Westbard Sense of Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 5400 Westbard Ave | open |
| Silver and Sons BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 5362 Westbard Ave | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4611 Sangamore Rd | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 5320 Zenith Overlook | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 4611 Sangamore Rd Ste M | open |
| Tomazar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4701 Sangamore Rd | open | |
| West River Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 5110 Ridgefield Rd Ste 102 | open |
| Shouk | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher | 5438 Westbard Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 12 | 12 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 12 | 12 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 15 | 15 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 18 | 18 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 19 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 19 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 16 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 19 | 15 | — | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 17 | 15 | — | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 20 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |