BMIE Market 44503
Mahoning County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 938 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±207 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 537 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±187 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 1,021 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 438 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $12,274 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,588 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 56.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $402 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±92 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | Data source not yet connected |
| Land area | 0.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 44503 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 127.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -6.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -6.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +36.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -16.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 13 (range 11–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.38) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 20 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 20 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 14 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 28 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 44503. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.38, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 20 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 20.0 | 20 | 40% | +8.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 13.9 | 14 | 35% | +4.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 28.2 | 28 | 25% | +7.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 20 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 938 | 31 | 40% | +12.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 12,274 | 0 | 40% | +0.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 537 | 38 | 20% | +7.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 14 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.3 | 20 | 35% | +7.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 159.9 | 2 | 25% | +0.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 938 | 31 | 20% | +6.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 12,274 | 0 | 20% | +0.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 28 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -6.3 | 22 | 50% | +10.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.3 | 20 | 30% | +6.1 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 36.4 | 56 | 20% | +11.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (54)
By cuisine
Coffee 7 · Italian 6 · American 4 · Mexican 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Dessert 2 · Pizza 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 32 · Bar 19 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 5 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adorbs Paw | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining | Hot dogs · American | 34 N Phelps St | open |
| Avalon Downtown Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 17 W Federal St | open |
| B-Side | Bar | 218 W Rayen Ave | open | |
| Buffalo Wild Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 50 E Federal St | open |
| Cafe Augustine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 340 W Federal St | open | |
| Cafe Cimmento | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 120 E Boardman St | open | |
| Capitol Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 20 Federal Plz W | open |
| Casa di Canzonetta | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian · American | 44 Federal Plz E | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 320 Wick Ave | open |
| Circle Hookah And Bar | Bar | 116 Federal Plz W | open | |
| DOPE Cider House and Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 460 E Federal St Ste B | open | |
| Downtown Draft House | Bar | 219 W Federal St | open | |
| Friends Specialty | Coffee shop | Coffee | 101 W Federal St | open |
| Hot Head Burritos Hot Head Burritos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 315 Elm St | open |
| Inner Circle Pizza-ysu | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 318 Elm St | open |
| Insomnia Cookies | Dessert | Dessert | 135 Lincoln Ave Ste 30 | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 131 Lincoln Ave | open |
| Joe Maxx Coffee Company | Coffee shop | Coffee | 47 E Federal St | open |
| Joe Maxx Coffee Company-fl, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 29 E Front St Ste 200 | open | |
| Los Gallos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 120 E Boardman St | open |
| Market | Café | Coffee | 110 Federal Plz W | open |
| Mh Youngstown Group, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 120 E Boardman St | open | |
| Noble Creature Wild Ales & Lagers | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 126 E Rayen Ave | open | |
| O'Donold's Irish Pub & Grill | Bar | 122 W Federal St | open | |
| One Hot Cookie | Bakery | Bakery | 112 W Commerce St | open |
| Overture | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 260 W Federal St | open |
| Penguin City Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 460 Federal Plz E | open | |
| Pizza Joe's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 20 W Federal St | open |
| Plaza Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 350 W Federal St | open |
| Pogo’s Pub | Bar | 214 W Rayen Ave | open | |
| Pressed Coffee Bar & Eatery | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 215 Lincoln Ave | open |
| Roberto's Italian Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 103 W Federal St | open |
| Roly Poly | Quick service | 137 Lincoln Ave | open | |
| Rye's Craft Beer & Whiskey | Bar | 124 W Federal St | open | |
| Sandbar & grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 116 W Federal St | open |
| Sandys Deli And Catering, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 17 N Champion St | open | |
| So Smooth | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 101 Federal Plz W | open |
| Stone Fruit Coffee Company StoneFruit Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 131 Lincoln Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 210 W Rayen Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 20 W Federal St | open |
| The Fifth Floor | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 201 E Commerce St | open | |
| The Lemon Grove Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 110 W Federal St | open | |
| The Mocha House The Mocha House - Warren | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 120 E Boardman St | open |
| The Social | Bar | 112 W Commerce St | open | |
| The Varsity Club Youngstown | Casual dining · Bar | 131 W Commerce St | open | |
| Touch The Moon Candy Saloon | Dessert | 8 S Phelps St | open | |
| Twisted Roots Luxury Lounge & Sports Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 34 N Phelps St | open | |
| University Pizzeria & Italian Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 133 Lincoln Ave | open |
| V2 Wine Bar and Trattoria | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 100 W Federal St | open |
| Vb Companies Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 315 Elm St | open | |
| West 34 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 34 W Federal St #13 | open | |
| Whistle & Keg | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 101 W Federal St | open | |
| Wichos Pub | Bar | 29 Market St | open | |
| Yonder Brunch & Vibes Youngstown | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Breakfast | 112 W Commerce St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 21 | 18 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 19 | 15 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 18 | 15 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 19 | 14 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 5 | — | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 22 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 9 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 6 | — | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 22 | 15 | 10 | 5 | — | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 4 | — | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 5 | — | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 22 | 17 | 7 | 10 | — | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 22 | 16 | 5 | 11 | — | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 25 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 25 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 7 | — | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 24 | 17 | 8 | 8 | — | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 8 | — | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 22 | 16 | 7 | 9 | — | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 8 | — | 7 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 8 | — | 6 | NAICS2022 |