BMIE Market 48607
Saginaw County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 1,614 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±506 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 654 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±137 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 1,774 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 1,100 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $37,973 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,366 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 32.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $989 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±99 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $73,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,175 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 48607 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 16.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -50.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -60.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 6 (range 2–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 32 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 27 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 42 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 27 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 48607. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 32 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 26.7 | 27 | 40% | +10.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 41.6 | 42 | 35% | +14.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 26.7 | 27 | 25% | +6.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 27 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 1,614 | 41 | 40% | +16.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 37,973 | 5 | 40% | +2.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 654 | 42 | 20% | +8.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 42 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 33.3 | 73 | 35% | +25.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 24.8 | 27 | 25% | +6.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 1,614 | 41 | 20% | +8.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 37,973 | 5 | 20% | +1.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 27 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -50 | 4 | 50% | +2.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 33.3 | 73 | 30% | +22.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -20 | 14 | 20% | +2.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (40)
By cuisine
American 8 · Bakery 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Mexican 4 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Asian 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Pizza 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Bar 7 · Quick service 6 · Bakery 5 · Casual dining 5 · Food truck 4 · Dessert 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bancroft Wine & Martini Bar | Bar | 101 S Washington Ave | open | |
| Blending Bowl | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian | 203 S Washington Ave | open |
| Bonez BBQ & Soul Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · BBQ | 203 S Washington Ave | open |
| Bradley's Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 216 Federal Ave | open | |
| Cinnamom | Bakery · Quick service | Bakery | 203 S Washington Ave | open |
| Cob King | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 100 S Washington Ave | open |
| Crudup’s | Casual dining · Bar | BBQ · American | 203 S Washington Ave | open |
| Delicious Sweets | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 203 S Washington Ave | open |
| Derf's Deli & Catering | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 203 S Washington Ave #19 | open |
| Egyptian Koshery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher | 203 S Washington Ave | open |
| El Farolito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 203 S Washington Ave | open |
| Falafel Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 203 S Washington Ave | open |
| Fit & Fat - Saginaw | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 415 S Jefferson Ave | open | |
| Goose Tooth Co | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | Pizza | 203 S Washington Ave Suite 100 | open |
| Gordie's Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 118 E Genesee Ave | open | |
| Heidelberg Inn | Bar | 411 S Franklin St | open | |
| Honey's Tasty Potatoes | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | open | |
| HopCat | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 208 5th Ave | open |
| Horizons Conference Cent | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | 203 N Washington Ave | open | |
| Iron Dragon Pastries | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea | Bakery · Juice / smoothies | 203 S Washington Ave | open |
| Magic Kitchen Magic Wash | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1209 Wadsworth Ave | open | |
| Makin' Bacon | Food truck · Café | Coffee · American | 203 S Washington Ave | open |
| Nitro Creamery & Craft Soda | Dessert | Dessert | 203 S Washington Ave | open |
| Pearl's Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 203 S Washington Ave | open |
| Rally's Checkers and Rally's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 420 E Genesee Ave | open |
| Ramons Taco Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 602 N Washington Ave | open |
| Rita's Southern Soul Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 110 N Washington Ave | open |
| Rite spot | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 1205 Lapeer Ave | open |
| Saigon Sandwich Company | Other | Sandwiches · Vietnamese · Asian | 203 S Washington Ave | open |
| Savoy Bar | Casual dining · Bar | 127 S Franklin St | open | |
| The Lemonade Lady | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies | 203 S Washington Ave | open |
| The Salad Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 203 S Washington Ave | open |
| Tim Hortons | Coffee shop | Coffee | 303 Johnson St | open |
| ValarieBeas Cream Cakes | Bakery · Food truck · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 203 S Washington Ave | open |
| Valerie's Downtown | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | American · Sandwiches | 216 S Washington Ave | open |
| Vargas and Sons Tortillas Tortilla | Bakery | Bakery · Mexican · Latin American (other) | 125 S Park Ave | open |
| Yum, Yum Cereal Bar | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 203 S Washington Ave | open |
| Happy Little Treats Llc | Café | Coffee | 203 S Washington Ave | closed |
| Put A Fork In Me Downtown | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 216 Federal Ave | closed | |
| Sushi Remix | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 203 S Washington Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 12 | 10 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 13 | 11 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 11 | 8 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 14 | 10 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 3 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 5 | 3 | — | 3 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 6 | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 10 | 8 | 4 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 11 | 8 | 4 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 10 | 8 | 5 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 6 | 3 | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 5 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | NAICS2022 |