BMIE Market 85378
Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 9,765 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,066 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,033 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±471 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | Data source not yet connected |
| Housing units | Data source not yet connected |
| Median household income | $56,444 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,794 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,514 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±292 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $274,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±55,659 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85378 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | Not yet derived |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +50.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +500.0% DERIVED: 2009 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 8 (range 6–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.63) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85378. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.63, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 51.9 | 52 | 40% | +20.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 73.0 | 73 | 35% | +25.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 90.9 | 91 | 25% | +22.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 9,765 | 70 | 40% | +28.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 56,444 | 24 | 40% | +9.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,033 | 71 | 20% | +14.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 100 | 92 | 35% | +32.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 6.1 | 88 | 25% | +21.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 9,765 | 70 | 20% | +14.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 56,444 | 24 | 20% | +4.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 91 (Medium confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 50 | 90 | 50% | +56.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 100 | 92 | 30% | +34.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (37)
By cuisine
American 10 · Coffee 5 · Mexican 5 · Italian 3 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Pizza 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Café 4 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Casual dining 2 · Food truck 2 · Quick service 2 · Catering 1 · Dessert 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12675 West Bell Rd. Scooter's Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 12675 W Bell Rd | open |
| 5 & Diner | Casual dining | American | 11340 W Bell Rd Ste 125 | open |
| Ac Bell Mar Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11340 W Bell Rd Ste 118 | open | |
| Angry Crab Shack Angry Crab Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 11340 W Bell Rd | open |
| Bell Mar Plaza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 11340 W Bell Rd | open |
| Birt's Bistro &Bookstore | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 16752 N Greasewood St | open |
| BoSa Donuts BoSa Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Coffee | 17061 Ave of the Arts Ste 102 | open |
| Brothers Market and Bakery | Bakery | Bakery · Middle Eastern | 12801 W Bell Rd #109 | open |
| Coyote Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 18800 N Coyote Lakes Pkwy | open |
| Don Ruben's Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 11340 W Bell Rd | open |
| Fat Ox BBQ | Food truck · Catering | BBQ | open | |
| Hurricane Grill & Wings Hurricane Grill & Wings | Bar · Casual dining | American | 11340 W Bell Rd Ste. 104 | open |
| I and J Fountain Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 12221 W Bell Rd | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 12621 W Bell Rd | open |
| Las Cazuelas Mexican & Seafood Restaurant Surprise | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 16551 N Dysart Rd #101 | open |
| Los Carrillos | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 12315 W Paradise Ln | open |
| Lou's Tivoli Gardens | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Italian | 12555 W Bell Rd | open |
| Luby's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 12551 W Bell Rd | open | |
| Luma Tea | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 16551 N Dysart Rd Ste 110 | open |
| McDonald's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 13180 W Bell Rd | open |
| Mr Smokeys Bbq Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 15445 N Greasewood St | open | |
| My Daddy's Italian Bakery & Café | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Italian · Coffee | 11677 W Bell Rd #1 | open |
| My Daddys Bakery Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11677 W Bell Rd Ste 1 | open | |
| Picazzo's Organic Italian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 11340 W Bell Rd | open |
| Portofino West Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 12851 W Bell Rd #124 | open |
| Puffy Taco Shack Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 16426 N Greasewood St | open | |
| Red Eagle Tortilla Factory | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 12946 W Santa Fe Dr | open |
| Runners Sports Bar | Bar | 12751 W Bell Rd #117 | open | |
| Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 12675 W Bell Rd | open |
| Sofi's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Breakfast | 12851 W Bell Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 12751 W Bell Rd | open |
| Taco Loco Chihuahua Mexican Grill Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 12851 W Bell Rd Ste 120 | open | |
| TuttisFrutis Snack Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 16035 N Nash St | open |
| Water Fountain | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 12801 W Bell Rd #3 | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 12701 W Bell Rd | open |
| Bite Me Breads & Cookies | Bakery | Bakery | 11340 W Bell Rd Ste 120 | closed |
| Octane Lounge | Casual dining · Bar | 13420 W Bell Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 3 | 3 | 2 | — | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 4 | 3 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 3 | 3 | 2 | — | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 4 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 5 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 5 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 7 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 6 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 5 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 4 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 6 | 6 | 5 | — | — | — | NAICS2022 |