BMIE Market 94134
San Francisco County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 38,633 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,371 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 12,262 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±629 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 40,798 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 11,867 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $119,567 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,368 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 42.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,874 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±248 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,068,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,026 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 2.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 44 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94134 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -4.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +18.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +57.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +175.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 54 (range 48–60) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.50) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 91 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 44 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94134. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.50, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 91.3 | 91 | 40% | +36.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 75.2 | 75 | 35% | +26.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 44.2 | 44 | 25% | +11.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 91 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 38,633 | 93 | 40% | +37.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 119,567 | 90 | 40% | +36.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 12,262 | 90 | 20% | +17.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 18.9 | 62 | 35% | +21.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 11.4 | 67 | 25% | +16.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 38,633 | 93 | 20% | +18.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 119,567 | 90 | 20% | +18.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 44 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -4.4 | 23 | 50% | +11.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 18.9 | 62 | 30% | +18.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 57.1 | 70 | 20% | +13.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (64)
By cuisine
Coffee 17 · Asian 11 · Chinese 11 · Bakery 7 · Mexican 6 · Dessert 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Vietnamese 5 · Tea / bubble tea 4 · American 3 · Pizza 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Italian 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 41 · Café 14 · Bakery 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Bar 6 · Dessert 5 · Casual dining 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Quick service 4 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1945 Restaurant Bar and Lounge | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 5 Leland Ave | open | |
| Amdjadi Enterprises | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2011 Bay Shore Blvd | open | |
| Aroma Buena Cafe | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Latin American (other) | 2155 Bayshore Blvd | open |
| Baba's Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2701 San Bruno Ave | open | |
| Banh Mi and Rolls | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Vietnamese · Coffee · Sandwiches · Asian | 2646 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Banh Mi House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Sandwiches · Asian | 2701 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Bayside Cafe | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | American · Coffee | 2011 Bayshore Blvd | open |
| Breakfast At Tiffany's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 2499 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Bruno's Pizza & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Pizza · Italian | 2414 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Buffalo Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 107 Leland Ave | open |
| Celtic Catering Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 167 Leland Ave | open | |
| Chef Li's Cafe Hong Kong Barbecue | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Chinese · Asian | 2726 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Dim Sum Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2520 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Executive Cafe | Other | Sandwiches | 150 Executive Park Blvd Ste 2000 | open |
| Fancy Wheat Field Bakery | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 2684 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Fat Beli Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 2598 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Ferment.Drink.Repeat | Brewery / taproom | 2636 San Bruno Ave | open | |
| Five Degree Tea House | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 2527 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Four Barrel Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 2 Burrows St. | open |
| G & L Bakery and Restaurant | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 198 Leland Ave | open |
| Giant Scoop Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 2708 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Happy Donuts Happy Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 2600 Bayshore Blvd #2602 | open |
| Hawaiian Drive Inn Hawaiian Drive In | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2600 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Hey Neighbor Cafe | Coffee shop | Coffee | 2 Burrows St | open |
| Hi Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 2591 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Hong Kong BBQ Restaurant Hong Kong Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2728 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Imperial Garden Seafood Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Seafood | 2626 San Bruno Ave | open |
| J & Y Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee · Chinese | 2546 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Jim Georgie's Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 2462 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Kim's Garden Cafe | Café | Coffee | 5 Thomas Mellon Cir Ste 127 | open |
| La Joya Cafe | Café | Mexican · Coffee | 28 Leland Ave | open |
| La Nueva Bota | Bar | 2470 San Bruno Ave | open | |
| Ling Ling Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2517 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Little Quiapo Bakeshop | Bakery | Bakery | 169 Leland Ave | open |
| Los Reyes Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Mexican | 2101 Geneva Ave | open |
| Luen Fat Bakery and Restaurant | Bakery | Asian · Vietnamese · Bakery | 110 Leland Ave | open |
| Ming Hui Dim Sum | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2495 San Bruno Ave | open |
| NKG Cafe | Coffee shop | Coffee | 28 Leland Ave | open |
| Out The Road | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2636 San Bruno Ave | open | |
| Panda Boba | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Tea / bubble tea | 2763 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Pho Nation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 2428 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Pupusería Ilobasco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 2680 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Queen's Louisiana Po-Boy Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 3030 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Ramen House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 2623 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Red House Bakery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2495 San Bruno Ave | open | |
| Red House Bakery and Cafe | Café · Bakery | Coffee · Chinese · Bakery | 2818 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2660 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Saigon BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese | 2633 San Bruno Ave | open |
| San Francisco - San Bruno Ave Round Table Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2660 San Bruno Avenue | open |
| SF Smoke | Bar | 2901 San Bruno Ave | open | |
| Specs' Twelve Adler Museum Bar | Bar · Café | Coffee | 12 Alder St | open |
| Street Meet Taco Truck | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2380 San Bruno Ave | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2599 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Sunshine Wheat Field Dim Sum | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 2668 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Taco Truck Loma Linda | Food truck | Mexican | 2509 Bayshore Blvd | open |
| Taqueria El Buen Sabor | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 98 Leland Ave | open |
| Taqueria Gonzalez | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2531 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Taquería Las Katrina's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2426 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Tea Plus | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 2541 San Bruno Ave | open |
| The Good Chocolate | Dessert | Dessert | 25 Leland Ave | open |
| Top's Cafe | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Breakfast | 2460 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Vip Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2473 San Bruno Ave | open | |
| Wing Hing Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · BBQ | 2550 San Bruno Ave | open |
| Ying Hui Song Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2517 San Bruno Ave | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 17 | 16 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 16 | 15 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 23 | 22 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 24 | 21 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 24 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 25 | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 25 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 28 | 22 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 31 | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 27 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 29 | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 33 | 30 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 36 | 32 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 39 | 35 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 39 | 35 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 40 | 35 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 39 | 35 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 42 | 37 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 44 | 39 | 23 | 13 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 49 | 46 | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 50 | 44 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 48 | 44 | 20 | 16 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 51 | 46 | 20 | 17 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 51 | 45 | 18 | 16 | 11 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 49 | 44 | 15 | 18 | 11 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 57 | 51 | 18 | 21 | 12 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 54 | 50 | 23 | 19 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 48 | 44 | 20 | 20 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |