BMIE Market 98391

Pierce County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	59,240 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,993 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	20,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±646 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	44,309 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	16,281 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$135,037 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,596 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,265 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±154 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$626,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,482 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	38.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	68 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 98391
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+38.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,600.0% DERIVED: 2004 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	77 (range 69–85) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +2.8 per year, r² 0.86) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	97 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	87 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	89 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 98391. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +2.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.86, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	96.5	97	40%	+38.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	87.3	87	35%	+30.6
Market Momentum Score	89.0	89	25%	+22.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 97 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	59,240	98	40%	+39.4
Median household income (ACS)	135,037	94	40%	+37.6
Households (ACS)	20,500	98	20%	+19.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.5	66	25%	+16.6
Population (ACS)	59,240	98	20%	+19.7
Median household income (ACS)	135,037	94	20%	+18.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 89 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	38.8	87	50%	+54.4
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+34.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (114)

By cuisine

Coffee 21 · American 18 · Pizza 12 · Asian 11 · Mexican 11 · Burgers 10 · Japanese 8 · Sandwiches 7 · Bakery 6 · Italian 6 · Sushi 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Dessert 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Thai 3 · Chinese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Greek 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 66 · Quick service 25 · Café 19 · Bar 18 · Coffee shop 17 · Casual dining 13 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A.M. Coffee House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	17136 WA-410	open
Action Sports Bar Sumner	Bar · Casual dining		17136 WA-410	open
Al Lago Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	3110 Sumner Tapps Hwy E	open
Alfy's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	20870 State Route 410 E	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	9430 192nd Street East	open
Avanti Espresso	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	19421 WA-410	open
Babalouie's	Bar · Casual dining	American	20833 WA-410	open
BakeHouse Bagels	Bakery	Bakery	18325 138th St E	open
Baskin-Robbins	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	20911 State Route 410 E	open
Ben's Espresso	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	21121 WA-410 E	open
BLT Karaoke Regulars	Bar · Quick service		State Route 410 E	open
BLT Sports Bar and Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		18212 WA-410	open
Bonney lake bbq	Bar		19944 S Prairie Rd E	open
Bonney Lake Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	9712 210th Ave E	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	21211 WA-410	open
Buttered Biscuit Too	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	9801 219th Avenue Pl E	open
Buzz On In Espresso	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	18215 9th St E	open
C J's Deli & Catering	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches	18401 Veterans Memorial Dr E	open
Café Elite Café Elite	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	21002 WA-410	open
Cafe Vie	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	21201 State Route 410 E	open
Caffé D’arte - Tehaleh Café	Coffee shop	Coffee	19001 Cascadia Blvd E	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks and Wings Charleys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	19205 WA-410	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	19205 State Route 410 E	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	20402 98th St E	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	20416 98th St E	open
Coffee Vault	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	314 182nd Ave E	open
Crazy Taco	Food truck	Mexican	18321 State Route 410 E	open
Crockett's Public House Crockett's Public House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	Burgers · American	20631 State Route 410 E	open
Crumbl - Bonney Lake	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	20411 98th St E	open
D'Lara Mediterranean Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Middle Eastern · Mediterranean	9441 192nd Ave E	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	18204 WA-410	open
Doggie Style Enterprises L.l.c	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21185 State Route 410 E	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	19679 Hwy 410 E	open
Don Chuy Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	19920 S Prairie Rd E	open
Elbe Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		54312 182nd Ave	open
Emerald City Smoothie Emerald City Smoothie	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	20075 WA-410 E	open
Espresso Stop Espresso Stop	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	9910 233rd Ave E	open
Forest Canyon Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	17008 Forest Canyon Rd E	open
Frankie's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	20870 WA-410	open
George's Bonney Lake Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		HWY 410 E	open
George's Bonney Lake Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		18212 WA-410	open
Glow Martini Lounge	Bar · Casual dining		20631 WA-410	open
Godfather's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	20625 State Route 410 E	open
Habit Burger & Grill The Habit Burger Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	20411 98th St E	open
Happy Pho Time	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	20829 State Route 410 E	open
Honto Teriyaki II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	19567 State Route 410 E	open
Hops n Drops Hops n Drops "A Neighborhood Gathering Place"	Casual dining · Bar	American	21290 WA-410	open
Ichi 5 Teriyaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	19916 S Prairie Rd E	open
Information Center at Tehaleh	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	19001 Cascadia Blvd E	open
Island Lodge by Al Lago	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20818 Island Pkwy E	open
Java2Go	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	18116 WA-410	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	21180 WA-410 Ste 180	open
Kairos Ice cream Inc	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2022 198th Ave E	open
Kalamar Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		5906 218th Ave E	open
L&L Hawaiian Barbecue - Bonney Lake	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20621 State Route 410 E	open
La Central Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	20936 WA-410	open
La'Art Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	20077 WA-410	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	21170 WA-410	open
Lost Woods Brewery	Brewery / taproom		19944 S Prairie Rd E	open
Mad Dogs Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	21155 State Route 410 E	open
Mariachi Alegre	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	29401 SR 410	open
Mazatlan Restaurant Mazatlan Restaurant Puyallup	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	21616 WA-410	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	21007 Hwy 410	open
McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	19205 Sr 410 East	open
Menchie's Menchie's	Dessert · Bar	Dessert	21210 State Route 410 East, Bonney Lake, WA	open
MOD Pizza MOD Pizza	Quick service · Fast casual	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	20411 98th St E Unit A	open
Modern Hippie Cafe	Café	Coffee · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	21191 WA-410	open
Mr. Jalapeno	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	21160 WA-410	open
New Peking Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Chinese	21179 WA-410	open
niko teriyaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	21241 WA-410 e	open
Oatmeal Elegance	Bakery · Food truck	Bakery	3908 176th Ave E	open
Okasan Teriyaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	9805 214th Ave E	open
Old School Frozen Custard	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	21210 State Route 410 E # E-8458	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	19461 State Hwy 410 East Space C Space C	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Quick service		20502 98th Street East	open
Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	20610 State Route 410 E	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	21302 wa 410	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9805 214th Avenue East	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Pizza Time	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	18315 Veterans Memorial Dr E	open
Post & Pour	Café · Bar	Coffee · Sandwiches	19001 Cascadia Boulevard East	open
Rainier Pizza Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	8415 Myers Rd E	open
Rainier Valley Coffee Co. Rainier Valley Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	18311 Veterans Memorial Dr E	open
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Red Robin Gourmet Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	9415 192nd Ave E	open
Robin Hood Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9925 214th Ave E Ste K	open
Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	21117 WA-410	open
Señor Guacamole	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	8413 Myers Rd E	open
Sonic Drive-In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	19855 South Prairie Road East	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	20904 Sr 410 E	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	19461 Highway 410 East A	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	20980 WA-410	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	19579 State Route 410 East, Suite A 19	open
Sumalee's Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	20831 WA-410	open
Sumo Sushi Bonney Lake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	21109 State Route 410 E	open
Sushi Kuma	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	9441 192nd Ave E	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	21131 State Route 410 E	open
Taco Del Mar	Quick service		17012 27th St E	open
Taco Time Taco Time NW	Quick service	Mexican	21503 State Route 410 E	open
Tacoma Java Co	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	18207 Veterans Memorial Dr E	open
Tealicious Drinks & Desserts	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	20839 State Route 410 E	open
Tehaleh by Richmond American Homes	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	15429 205th Ave E	open
Teriyaki Wok & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	9925 214th Ave E	open
The Burger Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Burgers	20805 State Route 410 E	open
The Mantel	Restaurant (service type not stated)		19001 Trilogy Pkwy E	open
Thian Thai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	18313 Veterans Memorial Dr E	open
Tina's Ice Cream Shop	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	20206 Island Pkwy E	open
Tortellinis Ristorante Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	8413 Myers Rd E	open
Trapper's Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	20625 State Route 410 E	open
Trattoria Sophia Bonney Lake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	20307 72nd St E	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	19205 WA-410	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	19012 141st St Court East	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	18211 State Route 410 E	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	21109 Washington 410	closed
Rms Bonney Lake Subway Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		19579 State Route 410 E	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2004	5	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	7	2	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	18	16	5	7	4	1	NAICS2002
2007	35	34	12	14	8	—	NAICS2002
2008	39	37	11	16	10	—	NAICS2007
2009	41	40	14	17	9	—	NAICS2007
2010	42	41	15	15	11	—	NAICS2007
2011	37	37	16	13	8	—	NAICS2007
2012	39	37	15	14	8	1	NAICS2012
2013	36	34	14	14	6	1	NAICS2012
2014	35	33	14	14	5	1	NAICS2012
2015	46	44	18	18	8	1	NAICS2012
2016	51	48	17	18	13	2	NAICS2012
2017	49	47	18	18	11	—	NAICS2017
2018	52	49	18	19	12	3	NAICS2017
2019	57	49	17	18	14	3	NAICS2017
2020	54	49	18	19	12	3	NAICS2017
2021	60	54	19	22	13	3	NAICS2017
2022	64	58	19	25	14	4	NAICS2022
2023	71	68	21	30	17	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 98391. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
98390	3.8 mi	43	2023
98385	4.3 mi	3	2023
98321	4.7 mi	16	2023
98372	5.0 mi	37	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.