BMIE Market 02492
Norfolk County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 21,424 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±687 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,303 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±283 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 19,931 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,382 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $226,645 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,846 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,070 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,291 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,218,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±43,679 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 9.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 41 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02492 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 14.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +32.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +41.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +127.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +1,266.7% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 44 (range 40–48) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.79) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 83 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02492. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.79, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 88.8 | 89 | 40% | +35.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 73.5 | 73 | 35% | +25.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 82.7 | 83 | 25% | +20.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 21,424 | 83 | 40% | +33.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 226,645 | 99 | 40% | +39.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,303 | 80 | 20% | +16.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 41.4 | 78 | 35% | +27.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 19.1 | 40 | 25% | +9.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 21,424 | 83 | 20% | +16.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 226,645 | 99 | 20% | +19.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 83 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 32.3 | 84 | 50% | +42.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 41.4 | 78 | 30% | +23.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 127.8 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (63)
By cuisine
Coffee 8 · Pizza 8 · American 7 · Italian 7 · Asian 6 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 5 · Japanese 5 · Sushi 4 · Indian 3 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · European 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Mexican 2 · Thai 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · French 1 · Greek 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 45 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 6 · Bar 5 · Café 5 · Casual dining 5 · Quick service 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 Morningside | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs · Breakfast | 50 Morningside Rd | open |
| Abbott's Frozen Custard Abbott's Frozen Custard | Dessert · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 934 Great Plain Ave | open |
| Acorns Bakery & Cafe | Café | Coffee | 1032 Great Plain Ave | open |
| Bagels' Best | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 113 Chapel St | open |
| Barstool Bites | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1257 Highland Ave | open | |
| Bertucci's Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1257 Highland Ave | open |
| Bidmc | Bar | 392 Chestnut St | open | |
| BoonyBunz Cafe | Café | Coffee | 1056 Great Plain Ave | open |
| Capella Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 45 Chapel St | open |
| Comella's Comella's Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 1095 Great Plain Ave | open |
| Conrad's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 1257 Highland Ave | open |
| Cook Needham | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 109 Chapel St | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 240 Chestnut St | open |
| Dragon Chef | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 332 Chestnut St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 260 Chestnut St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 399 Great Plain Ave | open |
| Foodgod Truffle Fries | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1257 Highland Ave | open | |
| French Press Bakery & Cafe | Bakery · Coffee shop · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 74 Chapel St | open |
| Fresco Fresco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 35 Chapel St | open |
| Fuji Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse | 1430 Highland Ave | open |
| Gari Japanese Fusion Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1019 Great Plain Ave | open |
| Gluten-Free Food Program | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 20 Pickering St. | open | |
| Gyro and Kebab House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 1056 Great Plain Ave | open |
| Hazel's Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 459 Great Plain Ave | open |
| Hearth Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 974 Great Plain Ave | open |
| Home Kitchen, Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 324 Chestnut St | open |
| Hungry Coyote | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1185 Highland Ave | open |
| Kosta's Pizza & Seafood | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 315 Chestnut St | open |
| Latina Kitchen & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Mediterranean | 30 Dedham Ave | open |
| Little Spoon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 952 Great Plain Ave | open |
| Masala Art | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 990 Great Plain Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 340 Chestnut St | open |
| Monsoon Indian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 324 Chestnut St | open |
| Mr. Beast Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1257 Highland Ave | open |
| Nascar Refuel | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1257 Highland Ave | open | |
| Needham House of Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Greek | 914 Great Plain Ave | open |
| Needham Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 915 Great Plain Avenue | open |
| Nicholas' Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 33 Chapel St | open |
| Noodle Doodles | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 998 Great Plain Ave | open |
| Not Your Average Joe's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 109 Chapel St | open | |
| Olin College Dining Hall | Buffet | 1000 Olin Way | open | |
| Petit Robert Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French | 45 Chapel St | open |
| Pomodoro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 967-999 Great Plain Ave | open |
| Quince Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1019 Great Plain Ave | open |
| Ray's New Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Sushi · Japanese · Chinese | 40 Chestnut Pl | open |
| RFK Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 30 Dedham Ave | open |
| Select Group Inc Fresco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 35 Chapel St | open | |
| Stacy's Juicebar | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 1257 Highland Ave | open |
| Sweet Basil | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 942 Great Plain Ave | open |
| Sweet Tomatoes Neapolitan Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 320 Chestnut St | open |
| Takara Japanese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 151 Linden St | open |
| The Common Room | Bar · Casual dining | American | 30 Dedham Ave | open |
| The Cookie Monstah Cookie Monstah Food Truck | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1257 Highland Ave | open |
| The Farmhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 970 Great Plain Ave | open |
| The James Pub, Needham | Café · Bar · Casual dining | Coffee | 1027 Great Plain Ave | open |
| The Rice Barn | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Asian · American | 1037 Great Plain Ave | open |
| The Sangria Lady | Winery / distillery / taproom | 935 Great Plain Ave | open | |
| Three Sons Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 315 Chestnut St | open | |
| Thunder Mud | Coffee shop | Coffee | 630 Chestnut St | open |
| Tigermac | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 1450 Highland Ave | open |
| Tu Y Yo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 66 Chestnut St | open |
| Village Fish Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 970 Great Plain Ave | open |
| Zucchini Gold Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1037 Great Plain Ave | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1997 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 20 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 19 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 28 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 20 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 28 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 26 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 27 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 33 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 28 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 32 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 34 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 34 | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 34 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 33 | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 34 | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 34 | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 36 | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 37 | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 37 | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 41 | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 35 | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 39 | 34 | 20 | 7 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 45 | 40 | 19 | 11 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 47 | 41 | 20 | 11 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |