BMIE Market 02494
Norfolk County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 11,035 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±688 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,283 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±307 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 8,955 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,740 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $179,720 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,407 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 42.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,492 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±256 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,107,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±89,659 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 2.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02494 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 20.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -15.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -5.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +41.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +1,600.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 16 (range 13–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.36) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 26 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02494. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.36, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 82.6 | 83 | 40% | +33.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 54.2 | 54 | 35% | +19.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 25.8 | 26 | 25% | +6.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 11,035 | 72 | 40% | +28.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 179,720 | 98 | 40% | +39.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,283 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -5.6 | 21 | 35% | +7.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 15.4 | 51 | 25% | +12.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 11,035 | 72 | 20% | +14.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 179,720 | 98 | 20% | +19.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 26 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -15 | 15 | 50% | +7.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -5.6 | 21 | 30% | +6.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 41.7 | 59 | 20% | +11.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (33)
By cuisine
Sandwiches 7 · Bakery 5 · Coffee 5 · Italian 4 · American 3 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Bakery 5 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Other 3 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Bar 1 · Casual dining 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acapulcos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1 1st Ave | open |
| Bickford's Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 669 Highland Ave | open |
| Blue On Highland | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 882 Highland Ave | open |
| Brothers Pizza & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 201 Reservoir St | open |
| C & D Management Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 201 Reservoir St | open | |
| Cafe Fresh Bagel | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 896 Highland Ave | open |
| Crocker & Winsor Seafoods | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Seafood · Bakery | 21 Highland Cir | open |
| D'Angelo Grilled Sandwiches | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 73 Highland Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 1203 Highland Ave | open |
| El Mariachi Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 73 Highland Ave | open |
| Elainco Financial Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 75 2nd Ave Ste 315 | open | |
| Elite Dough Cookies | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Bakery · Juice / smoothies | 54 Highland Ave | open |
| Fuel For Fire | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 60 Kendrick St | open | |
| Gianni's Deli and Pizza | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Italian · Sandwiches · Pizza | 853 Highland Ave | open |
| Itali-Echo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 31 Fremont St | open |
| Just Salad Just Salad | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls · Vegetarian | 669 Highland Ave | open |
| Legal Seafood Chestnut Hill Legal Harborside | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | open | |
| Mandarin Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 238 Highland Ave | open |
| Mi Niña | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 10 Charles St | open |
| Mighty Subs | Other | Sandwiches | 250 Highland Ave | open |
| Most valuable Truckers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 163 Highland Ave | open | |
| Panellas Market | Other | Sandwiches | 50 Central Ave | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 120 Highland Avenue | open |
| Pronti Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 11 2nd Ave | open |
| Rockets Restaurant Group, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 669 Highland Ave | open | |
| Spiga | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 18 Highland Cir | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 513 Highland Ave | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 910 Highland Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1187 Highland Ave | open |
| The Ground Round | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1 1st Ave | open |
| Three Squares Craft Kitchen & Cocktails | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 669 Highland Ave | open | |
| Town House of Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian | 892 Highland Ave | open |
| True Taste Seasonal Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls | 301 Reservoir St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1997 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 19 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 22 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 21 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 28 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 25 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 25 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 26 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 25 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 25 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 26 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 24 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 27 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 26 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 26 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 19 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 21 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |